GISS Still Diverging From Satellites
By Paul Homewood
Joe Romm seems to be getting worked up again about “record temperatures”!
There had never been as hot a 12-month period in NASA’s database as February 2014–January 2015. But that turned out to be a very short-lived record.
NASA reported this weekend that last month was the second-hottest February on record, which now makes March 2014–February 2015 the hottest 12 months on record. This is using a 12-month moving average, so we can “see the march of temperature change over time,” rather than just once every calendar year.
We are experiencing the continuation of the global warming trend that made 2014 the hottest calendar year on record. The very latest science says we should expect an acceleration in surface temperature warming to start quite soon. What is happening now is consistent with that.
In fact, the 12-month running average of 0.70C is only one hundredth of a degree higher than it was in May 2007, after a similar run of El Nino months.
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v3/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
Meanwhile Romm forgets to mention that GISS temperatures continue to diverge from both UAH and RSS satellites.
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A memo to Gavin !! 2015, the hottest year..
The divergence between GISS and reality started about when Gavin took over.
He is on a mission !!!
I am wondering why all data sets are not updated, like RSS?
http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:1987/to:2016/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2002/to:2015/trend/plot/hadcrut3gl/from:1987/to:2016/plot/hadcrut3gl/from:2002/to:2016/trend/plot/rss/from:1987/to:2016/plot/rss/from:2002/to:2016/trend/plot/hadsst2gl/from:1987/to:2016/plot/hadsst2gl/from:2002/to:2016/trend/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:1987/to:2002/trend/plot/hadcrut3gl/from:1987/to:2002/trend/plot/hadsst2gl/from:1987/to:2002/trend/plot/rss/from:1987/to:2002/trend
The 1998 El Nino was an “event” that caused a warming step
The following is more correct.
http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:1987/to:2016/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2002/to:2015/trend/plot/hadcrut3gl/from:1987/to:2016/plot/hadcrut3gl/from:2002/to:2016/trend/plot/rss/from:1987/to:2016/plot/rss/from:2002/to:2016/trend/plot/hadsst2gl/from:1987/to:2016/plot/hadsst2gl/from:2002/to:2016/trend/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:1987/to:1997/trend/plot/hadcrut3gl/from:1987/to:1997/trend/plot/hadsst2gl/from:1987/to:1997/trend/plot/rss/from:1987/to:1997/trend
Yes, earth has an intricate way of storing energy in the oceans. There is also earth’s own volcanic action, lunar interaction (mixing of warm and cooler waters), the turning of Earth’s inner iron core, electromagnetic force changes, etc. It seems to me that a delay of about 5 years either way on the actual Gleissberg cycle is quite normal. It is possible to see the effect of the Gleissberg by looking at maxima and minima, rather than looking at means.
Especially the rate of change in degrees C or K per annum against time gives you some interesting results and shows exactly what is happening…
The strong solar cycles through the latter half of last century put a lot of energy into the system.
It is starting to dissipate but how long before the coming weak solar cycles kick in properly is anyone’s guess.
The second small peak of the current cycle held things up a bit too, I suspect.
Time will tell.
Watch for the satellite temps to drop first. Gavin will do everything he can to maintain GISS and its subsidiaries warming, or at least trendless.
Reblogged this on JunkScience.com and commented:
I must have lived in the UAH/RSS zones in February because I froze my butt.
Andy says
The strong solar cycles through the latter half of last century put a lot of energy into the system.
Henry says
True, and it makes people think that it [warming] will last. You and I know it won’t.
Andy says
It is starting to dissipate but how long before the coming weak solar cycles kick in properly is anyone’s guess
Henry says
True, but like you said, Gavin and them [non skeptics] are still “proposing” it is still warming because they still believe that the original laws concerning CO2 [from Svante Arrhenius, 100 or more years ago] must be correct. They still have not even figured that CO2 increase always follows warming, it does not cause it.
Andy says
Watch for the satellite temps to drop first. Gavin will do everything he can to maintain GISS and its subsidiaries warming, or at least trendless.
Henry says
I don’t even trust UAH as I figured that there are actually people on our side of the fence who would want to keep the debate going, as it produces their income…
Nevertheless: don’t worry. People still having to shove snow in late spring will soon begin to doubt that the world is still warming….
Reblogged this on Centinel2012 and commented:
NASA ans NOAA have been corrupted; science doesn’t matter only the political message!
You’re all wrong. 2016 is the hottest year on record….:-)
According to my various calculations, the rate of cooling will be at its highest around 2016, but that it is [just me] looking at energy in (maxima).