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Another Cold Summer!

September 3, 2015
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By Paul Homewood

   

2015_14_MeanTemp_Anomaly_1981-2010

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/anomacts

 

 

Another cold and damp summer in the UK, finishing at 0.5C below the 1981-2010 average, and the third in the last five years to fall below.

Indeed, no summers since 1998 have been as cold as 2011, 2012 and 2015. There is clearly no sign of summer temperatures increasing in the last decade, as the Met Office have repeatedly forecast.

 

 

 

image

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets

 

Looking at the longer running Central England Temperature Series, we find very little changing. This summer only ranks the 178th warmest out of a list of 357 years, tying with years such as 1668!

 

image

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html

 

 

Looking at the more recent past, by far the hottest summer still remains that of 1976, and again we see that since 2006 temperatures have been well below the levels set in the 1990’s and early 2000’s.

 

image

 

 

Finally, despite one hot day in July this year, we find that the almost total absence of really hot days since 2006 has continued. Apart from the 32.7C recorded on 1st July, the only other temperature over 29C since 2006 was 29.7C set in 2013. This is unusual even by early 20thC standards.

 

image

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html

23 Comments
  1. September 3, 2015 12:45 pm

    0.3C above average in East London, 116% rainfall and 84% sunshine. Much of Iberia has had a hot summer, as has a lot of central and southern Europe. No 3-month anomaly chart yet but here is July http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/regional_monitoring/1ctan1.png

  2. tom0mason permalink
    September 3, 2015 12:46 pm

    Paul,
    You appear to have forgotten 2015 is the hottest year ever!
    The UK maybe cool but the world is virtually hot.

    • September 3, 2015 4:31 pm

      Virtually hot? So it isn’t hot yet?

    • September 3, 2015 5:55 pm

      And that’s exactly where the heat will remain, in the Met Office’s virtual models.

      • tom0mason permalink
        September 3, 2015 6:11 pm

        🙂

    • tom0mason permalink
      September 3, 2015 7:12 pm

      The Met Office understands that in this modern world when things are virtually hot they are really cool, and when they are virtually cool they are real hot!
      Welcome to the Met Office’s virtualize world of interchangable orthoganal literal descriptors.

  3. 1saveenergy permalink
    September 3, 2015 1:05 pm

    But… but we gave the met-office a £97million supercomputer to get better forecasts & were told that 2015 would be the ‘hottest year ever’, the forecast cant be wrong (that would be ‘unprecedented’), therefore the data needs to be adjusted.

    Gay Paree is just around the corner we cant have people thinking it’s cold !!

    Writing this in Tee shirt & Shorts……
    + thick trousers, socks, shirt, thin jumper (as it’s summer), fleece & cap…indoors !!!

    • tom0mason permalink
      September 3, 2015 6:09 pm

      A mere £97million supercomputer has improved the forecasting to the level only seen back in 1967. True value for money as the Met Office inverts the story of ‘Back to the Future’

  4. Eric Hutchinson permalink
    September 3, 2015 2:12 pm

    No good saying that weather and climate are different animals when replying to “warmists” and then pleading that a cool summer or two mean that there is no|or little warming of the globe. What most of us want is unbiased and factual information about what is happening. Is the earth warming because of man’s interference? Is the earth warming at all? Please let us
    escape from the blame game and start to respect alternative points of view. As an amateur follower of science for five plus decades I feel completely confused!

    • September 3, 2015 3:19 pm

      I can understand your confusion. If there’s a heat wave in the USA, it’s proof of global warming. Melting glaciers are proof of global warming, according to Obama. Forest fires are proof, even when there are far fewer fires. You only need a couple to convince people the world is burning to ground. Yet every time it get cold (like freezing in August where I live), no correlation, no proof of an error in the theory. Originally, one could not link climate change to single weather phenomena, but suddenly there are many papers on the California drought and global warming. This is what happens when science marries politics. Science gives up more and more objectivity to support politics.

      The only way to actually learn what’s going on is to read the papers themselves, including the science section of the IPCC documents. Then decide if you think the paper you are reading was well done (meets standard research criteria) and are there others to support it? You don’t need a degree in climate science to spot questionable research.

      Also, as is done here, actually looking at the temperature changes in the world helps. While there is a claim of warming, there are many places that are much colder. What you may begin to wonder is “Does the Global Average Temperature have any real world meaning at all? Is it just a game of statistics with a political theme rather than science?”

  5. SteveB permalink
    September 3, 2015 2:37 pm

    Why the random pink spots? The one in North West Scotland, for example. Why would that particular area be 0.5 degrees warmer when most of Scotland was -0.5 to -1.0 degrees cooler?

    • John F. Hultquist permalink
      September 3, 2015 3:22 pm

      random pink spots

      They are not random. The one you point out seems to be an odd place called Russel. Not much there. These sorts of maps are nearly useless for such things.
      Note the color scale. A value of 0.501 will more a place that might have been 0.499 from white to pink.
      Norwich and places on that east coast show a pattern and, thus, of some interest. Hardly anything to get excited about.

  6. Eric Hutchinson permalink
    September 3, 2015 2:37 pm

    Incidentally, I really respect those who have the balls to use their own names rather than hide behind some indecipherable sudonym. Why cannot you confess to your beliefs/claims – using your own identity? Are you afraid of some personal contradiction? I don’t fear contradiction. I respect it.

    • tom0mason permalink
      September 3, 2015 6:53 pm

      Incidentally, I really understand those who have to use some sudonym instead of their real name. Why confess your beliefs/claims when it will give you grief at work, with possible sacking and lack of promotion, and also become the victim of cyber bullying, or real bullying?

      Only those securely in their own protectect world should use their real names, everyone else, I strongly advise, should stay safe behind those sudonym, indecipherable sudonym even.

      So Eric Hutchinson, if that is really your name — there is no method of verifying it in this virtual world (and aren’t you really David Appell?); get over it, for in this virtual world we are everything we say we are.
      If you have a problem with this then I’m sorry you misunderstand humans, and how each of us only show limited elements of our real selves at any time, or place, to the selected few; so much remains hidden.
      Most people should stay safely behind their sudonym — get used to it ‘Eric Hutchinson’ whoever you really are!

    • catweazle666 permalink
      September 3, 2015 8:25 pm

      “Incidentally, I really respect those who have the balls to use their own names rather than hide behind some indecipherable sudonym [sic].”

      As I was foolish enough to use a traceable ID once back in the days of the Guardian talkboards and was ‘outed’ by one of their Left-wing trolls who posted my address and suggested that I needed “sorting out”, I have every sympathy with those who use a pseudonym on the Internet.

      Naturally, a complaint to the management of the Guardian not only did not lead to any action being taken against the troll, it led to me being banned myself.

  7. September 3, 2015 3:20 pm

    Paul: Thank you for these write-ups. I have always been one to look at the actual data and your blog is very helpful in finding data and seeing what the actual temperatures are rather than the homogenized data one usually finds on climate science sites.

  8. Jeffery permalink
    September 3, 2015 4:11 pm

    Cold summers? Get ready for three feet sea level rise in the next couple decades! I have it on good authority the world is doomed.

    http://www.takepart.com/article/2015/08/27/sea-levels-are-rising-3-feet-unavoidable?cmpid=ait-fb

    • Billy Liar permalink
      September 5, 2015 11:35 pm

      … at Wimereux, on the Channel coasts of the United Kingdom and northern France

      Anyone who thinks Wimereux can be in two places at once is likely to be a moron.

  9. September 3, 2015 7:29 pm

    My central heating came on unexpectedly yesterday.

  10. dearieme permalink
    September 3, 2015 9:22 pm

    It’s been a two-fleece summer, and no mistake!

  11. September 8, 2015 4:20 pm

    Reblogged this on Climate Collections.

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  1. Another Cold British Summer | The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)

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