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Coal Plants Under Construction In China & India Rising At Alarming Levels

October 25, 2016

By Paul Homewood 

 

image

http://et-advisors.com/wp-content/uploads/ETA-Asia-Coal-Juggernaught_final.pdf

 

So much for Paris! 

 

The above analysis is from Energy Transition Advisors, a green propaganda group, who are, somewhat naively, alarmed about what is going on in China and India.

According to their Global Coal Plant Tracker, this is the coal fired capacity in the pipeline:

 

GW China India Total
Announced 232 56 288
Pre-Permitted 147 78 225
Permitted 26 43 69
Construction 205 65 270
Total 610 242 852

GW New Pipeline Coal Plant Capacity

 

CHINA

To put the numbers into perspective, according to the China Statistical Yearbook, thermal generating capacity was 923 GW in 2014. (No split is given between coal, oil and gas). Capacity utilisation was 55%.

Not all of the pipeline will end up getting built, but even just based on the Permitted and Under Construction plants, an extra 221 GW would increase current capacity by 24%.

Some of this will inevitably replace old, polluting power stations, which are causing so much air pollution. New plant will be much cleaner, and also sited well away from urban areas. Nevertheless, 594 GW of thermal capacity is less than 10 years old, so it is hard to see any of this being shut prematurely.

Much has been made of China’s commitment to increase wind/solar capacity to 300 GW by 2030, but these already stood at 121 GW in 2014. In other words, they only plan to build an extra 179 GW. Given likely capacity utilisation of well below 20%, this extra capacity will probably add less than 5% to current electricity generation in China, and will certainly be dwarfed by the new coal capacity being built.

 

INDIA

As for India, according to the EIA, coal fired capacity is currently 186 GW, and supplies 62% of the country’s electricity. New capacity in the pipeline will soon double this figure.

Wind and solar, in contrast, contribute only 3.6% of total generation. There are plans to increase capacity by 132 GW, but again, with capacity utilisation of around 15%, the actual contribution to total generation will be minimal compared to the planned increase in coal power.

 

    

CCS

There looks to be little chance of carbon storage coming to the greenies’ rescue either, as ETA report:

 

This study finds painfully slow progress towards deployment of CCS. In China, four large scale CCS projects are awaiting final investment decisions. If these went ahead they would capture 6 million tonnes CO2 annually, compared with IEA assumptions for 240MT CO2 in China and India by 2030.

 

 

 

 

The ETA report whittles on about carbon prices, caps on coal consumption, stranded assets, and how China and India would be so much better off just relying on renewables.

But it never ceases to amaze me how none of these self appointed experts have got around to working out that renewable energy simply does not work on any scale as to be useful.

Fortunately for the Chinese and Indians, their governments are not so naive.

 

 

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13 Comments leave one →
  1. October 25, 2016 7:39 pm

    Reblogged this on Climatism and commented:
    Aside from lifting billions out of abject poverty, through the use of cheap, efficient and reliable fossil-fuel based energy, (smart) China and India recognise the growing manufacturing vacuum left by a “global warming” obsessed West destroying their jobs and industries with draconian climate policy and overreaching green regs.

    • posa permalink
      October 26, 2016 4:27 pm

      The Chinese, Indians and most of the developing sector will not buy into economic suicide and neo- Dark Ages economies. In decades to come, The West will fade away to obscurity.

      Oligarchical elites are responsible for this turn but so are big chunks of the general population, especially the professional “educated” strata who have expressed a Will to Believe bogus sciency- sounding” catastrophe scenarios.

      The main danger is that the elites will start a nuclear war rather than relinquish their dying empires,

  2. markl permalink
    October 25, 2016 8:43 pm

    It’s part of the plan for China and India to become the manufacturing/industrial centers of the world. The lip service by China of cutting CO2 emissions is being spun by the media into capitulation to the AGW meme. Western nations will pump more money through the UN into these countries under the auspices of cutting CO2 emissions when in fact they’ll use the money to shore up their industries. It’s all going on blatantly in front of the World’s nose and no one is doing anything to stop it.

  3. Ross King permalink
    October 25, 2016 9:11 pm

    This will be music to the ears of the likes of diCaprio and Joel Solomon (Hollyhock cabal; Tides Fdn) who appear to want to revert to a pristine pre-Industrial Revolution state ….. namely a reversion to Feudalism for us int he West, run by a few diCaprios & Solomons fiefdoms of this world, in walled castles, living in a state of luxury. “Manpowered” — literally — will be provided by us serfs, and woman-powered by our daughters for servile duties & selective breeding purposes. We proles will be owned by Lord diCaprio, or Lord solomon, et al.
    We spent centuries eliminating feudalism .. for one, I will fight these self-serving reactionaries & retards in the streets. Starting with the AGW Scam.

  4. October 25, 2016 9:36 pm

    China will no doubt hope it can sell lots of vastly expensive CCS to gullible governments with more money than sense.

  5. Ben Vorlich permalink
    October 25, 2016 10:41 pm

    Interesting that the BBC reports Renewable energy capacity overtakes coal

    Buried half way through the article is this little caveat:

    At this stage, it is the capacity to generate power that has overtaken coal, rather than the amount of electricity actually produced.

    Renewables are intermittent – they depend on the sun shining or the wind blowing, for example, unlike coal which can generate electricity 24 hours a day all year round.

    So renewable technologies inevitably generate a lot less than their capacity.

    The BBC headline writer forgot to add but it’s still useless

    • Green Sand permalink
      October 26, 2016 9:32 am

      Dear Emily at the lamented Telegraph spins the same story:-

      “Global renewable power capacity overtakes coal as 500,000 solar panels installed every day”

      http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/10/25/global-renewable-power-capacity-overtakes-coal-as-500000-solar-p/

      “………However, the actual amount of power produced by renewable electricity generators was still significantly lower than that from coal, accounting for 23pc of global power production, compared with almost 40pc from coal plants.

      This is because power plants do not generate at their full capacity all the time, with sources like wind and solar able to generate at their maximum capacity only when the wind blows or the sun shines…….”

      “Maximum capacity” Are you sure Emily?

      • John Palmer permalink
        October 26, 2016 9:40 am

        Little Emily did admit later in the puff-piece that 71% of all renewable output is from hydro, 15% wind, 8% biomass and 4% from solar

    • October 26, 2016 8:42 pm

      They have the capacity to confuse the poor old public and that’s about it.

  6. October 26, 2016 3:17 am

    Fake commentary as well as fake facts.

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