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Today’s Eco BS From The Telegraph

August 14, 2017
tags:

By Paul Homewood

 

 

Part II from the Telegraph’s woeful weekend!

It is written by Maurice Tulloch, who is chief executive of international insurance at Aviva:

 

 

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The insurance industry exists to manage risk; as far as possible we aim to prevent or minimise the impact of losses before they happen. Burning fossil fuels gives rise to short, medium and long-term risks for insurers, investors, and our customers and society alike. And yet governments continue to promote the production of oil, gas and coal with subsidies.

The OECD estimates that $160bn to $200bn (£123bn to £154bn) a year goes towards supporting fossil fuel production and consumption in OECD countries and key emerging economies. This actively contributes to air pollution, health problems and premature deaths, as well as the increase in extreme weather events that comes with climate change. This policy costs taxpayers twice – firstly for the subsidies, and then again as public funds are needed to deal with health costs and climate change.

 

Just recently, the Health and Environment Alliance launched a report that laid out the costs of the health impacts that come from fossil fuel subsidies. In the UK, health costs arising from fossil fuel driven air pollution are almost five times higher than the subsidies paid. Over $6bn of public money is spent on the industry, and the health costs from premature deaths linked to air pollution run to over $30bn.

Globally, it is estimated that every year there are 6.5 million deaths from respiratory infections, strokes, heart attacks, lung cancer and chronic lung disease that are directly attributable to the combustion of fossil fuels. Besides the immediate public health impacts of bad air, the broader effects of climate change come with real costs.

A recent report by the Lancet Commission on Health and Climate Change made a compelling case that global morbidity and mortality rates are intimately linked to climate change.

Warmer temperatures create water scarcity and food insecurity in certain regions, resulting in malnutrition and even starvation. Deadly heatwaves have become a threat to one third of the world’s population. Viral pandemics are being exacerbated by warmer temperatures, as mosquito-born diseases like Zika and dengue fever thrive in a hotter, wetter world.

Ending subsidies to fossil fuels would produce a broad win for society

These combined impacts are taxing public health systems and private insurers alike, on top of the costs of property damage and loss brought about by sea level rises and storm surges, flooding, and other extreme weather events. Yet world leaders continue to underwrite one of the contributing causes.

The report argues that ending subsidies to fossil fuels would produce a rare quadruple win for society. First, national budgets could grow and deficits shrink with increased revenue from taxes currently unpaid by oil, gas and coal companies, generally delivered in the form of tax breaks and concessions.

Second, those budgets could go further with less to spend on the healthcare costs associated with local air pollution. Third, the current and eventual costs of reacting to and adapting for the impacts of climate change would be reduced.

Finally, the public would be healthier and more productive in the workforce, providing even more of an economic boost.

None of this is straightforward. There are people who rely on subsidised fuel. Any transition needs to be managed carefully to mitigate any social impacts and to ensure continuity of energy supply. And we must recognise the knotty issue of carbon entanglement, where governments and asset owners may be vested in the status quo.

The fact remains that having a price that reflects the true cost of the fuel would enable these discussions to happen with more transparency.

The G7 have, in fact, already promised to end fossil fuel subsidies by 2025. We should congratulate Canada, for example, for announcing moves to end its own subsidies in its recent budget. Italy, which next chairs the G20, has published a subsidy inventory.

These are steps in the right direction. They won’t solve the problem of climate change alone, and more countries need to get involved. But the fact remains that subsidies are ultimately unsustainable.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/08/11/fossil-fuel-subsidies-relic-past/

 

It is hard to know where to start with this pile of garbage. As usual though, the commenters talk a lot more sense!

 

 

The OECD estimates that $160bn to $200bn (£123bn to £154bn) a year goes towards supporting fossil fuel production and consumption in OECD countries and key emerging economies.

What other countries do is purely up to them, and has nothing to do with us. Many of these subsidies go to consumption, as cheap affordable energy is important for people all around the world. Such subsidies have nothing to do with subsidising fossil fuels as such.

Is Tulloch really suggesting that people be forced to pay more for energy, presumably as a way of reducing their consumption. Is he suggesting that they be forced to rely on even more expensive renewable energy?

 

 

This actively contributes to air pollution, health problems and premature deaths, as well as the increase in extreme weather events that comes with climate change.

Most such health problems around the world arise not from fossil fuels, but from burning wood and dung.

There is little real world evidence to support the notion that clean power plants and transport are having the effects implied.

There is also no evidence either that extreme weather events are increasing, as even the IPCC is forced to admit.

 

Just recently, the Health and Environment Alliance launched a report that laid out the costs of the health impacts that come from fossil fuel subsidies. In the UK, health costs arising from fossil fuel driven air pollution are almost five times higher than the subsidies paid. Over $6bn of public money is spent on the industry, and the health costs from premature deaths linked to air pollution run to over $30bn.

The Health and Environment Alliance is yet another green lobby group, and is funded by the EU. They clearly are not a reliable source.

They claim that $6bn is spent “on the industry” in the UK. As we will see, this is nonsense, as there are no such subsidies at all.

 

 

Globally, it is estimated that every year there are 6.5 million deaths from respiratory infections, strokes, heart attacks, lung cancer and chronic lung disease that are directly attributable to the combustion of fossil fuels.

It may be estimated, but there is no evidence whatsoever to back up this claim.

 

 

A recent report by the Lancet Commission on Health and Climate Change made a compelling case that global morbidity and mortality rates are intimately linked to climate change.

Warmer temperatures create water scarcity and food insecurity in certain regions, resulting in malnutrition and even starvation. Deadly heatwaves have become a threat to one third of the world’s population. Viral pandemics are being exacerbated by warmer temperatures, as mosquito-born diseases like Zika and dengue fever thrive in a hotter, wetter world.

Another report that has been utterly debunked. Global food production has been growing steadily for years. There have always been local famines, and always will be – there is zero evidence that these have anything to do with the little bit of warming seen in recent years.

Regardless of what the climate is doing, it is modern technology, equipment and fertilisers (all courtesy of fossil fuels) which have improved food output and generally raised living standards across the world, to a degree that could not have been envisioned a few decades ago.

Does Tulloch propose that we cut back on fossil fuels and return to those earlier times?

He also claims that there will be water scarcity in a wetter world! As for those viral pandemics, scientists who study these things would say he was talking through his hat.

 

 

The report argues that ending subsidies to fossil fuels would produce a rare quadruple win for society. First, national budgets could grow and deficits shrink with increased revenue from taxes currently unpaid by oil, gas and coal companies, generally delivered in the form of tax breaks and concessions.

Notice the last sentence, generally delivered in the form of tax breaks and concessions.

In other words, fossil fuel companies are not on the whole subsidised, they actually pay tax. Talk of tax breaks is a deliberate ploy to draw readers’ attention away from this fact.

In the UK, for instance, all companies pay Corporation Tax, based on the profit they make. The profit is, of course, calculated by deducting expenses from revenue. There are various rules, applying to all companies, as to which costs are allowable for deduction, and whether they can be deducted up front or over a period of time.

There is nothing unique about any of this as far as oil, gas and coal companies are concerned. And they most certainly are not subsidies, or even tax foregone. But don’t take my word for it; the UK Government, the EU and the IEA all say the same:

https://s5.postimg.org/8h81a3mzb/DECC_No_fossil_fuel_subsidies_-_Review_of_the_F.jpg

https://s5.postimg.org/8h81a3mzb/DECC_No_fossil_fuel_subsidies_-_Review_of_the_F.jpg

Naturally, for an industry like North Sea oil, with its high upfront development costs, back end decommissioning and long life cycle, there needs to be some industry specific rules and a certain amount of flexibility. (The pharmaceutical industry is a similar case).

But in overall terms, since the start, North Sea oil producers have consistently paid more tax than other companies, via extra taxes such as royalties, supplementary charges and petroleum revenue tax.

image_thumb2_thumb

https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/government-revenues-from-uk-oil-and-gas-production%E2%80%942

In addition to this, motorists pay nearly £30bn a year extra in vehicle duty.

 

 

Tulloch is clear that he wants to reduce fossil fuel usage. Yet if he gets his way, it will put at risk billions of tax revenue. Perhaps he would care to explain how he plans to make up for this shortfall.

The Telegraph seems to be making a habit of offering space to all sorts of renewable lobbyists, allowing them to print highly biased and often woefully inaccurate columns.

49 Comments
  1. Joe Public permalink
    August 14, 2017 1:19 pm

    “(Burning fossil fuels) actively contributes to air pollution, health problems and premature deaths … ”

    https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/life-expectancy-globally-since-1770

    Those & many other charts & tables here:

    https://ourworldindata.org/life-expectancy/

    Perhaps the author Maurice Tulloch, chief executive of international insurance at Aviva, would advise from an actuarial standpoint, if life-insurance premiums are rising or falling, and why?

    • richard verney permalink
      August 14, 2017 5:00 pm

      The atmosphere is far cleaner than in the past (say 1950s to 1970s), people are living longer and life assurance premiums are falling.

      The premature death claim is essentially junk science.

      • CheshireRed permalink
        August 14, 2017 5:38 pm

        Every single KPI of crop yields, infant death rates, quality of life, inc’ life expectancy, is up. Capturing energy from fossil fuels has been THE single greatest achievement for the advance of humanity in history. Every single development since has come off the back of FF electricity.

    • Jack Broughton permalink
      August 15, 2017 9:21 am

      The increasing CO2 level is more directly and sensibly correlated with life expectancy than it is with global temperature. The rising CO2 causes increased crop growth and possibly slightly beneficial temperature rises: both good for humanity.

      Of course power generation correlates even better and the recent problems with this may relate to the fact that life expectancy has stopped increasing for the first time in recent history.

  2. Dung permalink
    August 14, 2017 1:20 pm

    Your headline title for this article says it all, I need to look for some sand to bury my head in -.-

  3. August 14, 2017 1:24 pm

    It is true that the burning of wood puts more carcinogens into the atmosphere than does the burning of fossil fuels.

    • Nigel S permalink
      August 14, 2017 1:41 pm

      Ironic therefore that Drax (see other woeful Telegraph article below) gets subsidies to burn wood pellets from USA (substituting for coal) to reduce CO2!

      • richard verney permalink
        August 14, 2017 4:57 pm

        But burning biomass emits far more CO2 since it has a considerably lower calorific value compared to coal and gas.

        It is only ENRON type accounting that enables activists to claim that biomass is CO2 neutral it is no such thing.

        If we are interested in reducing CO2 emissions from today, ie as from 2017, it matters not that a tree sequestered CO2 in 1950, 1951, 1952 etc, or whether coal sequestered CO2 more than 100 million years ago.

        It may be that if we were to plant a tree today and cut it down in 2080 to burn that tree would be carbon neutral, but presently the biomass being used at DRAX, and other places, is anything but CO2 neutral and is increasing the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere more than would be the case had DRAX not been converted from coal.

  4. Harry Passfield permalink
    August 14, 2017 1:31 pm

    I listened to Tulloch the other morning on Today banging on about this and the fact that climate change means that every business must have a risk/insurance plan to cover them for climate change and all that that could entail. It sounded more like a shill for the insurance and renewable industries. There was nothing in his pitch that you couldn’t hear coming from the likes of Gore and his acolytes. It was all done to get the message across to those who easily believe – the rest of us just end up shouting at the radio again.

    But you wait. Rather as the airlines had to slap on passenger taxes to cover ‘enviro-costs’, other businesses will soon find they will have to have AGW cover for their business or they won’t get government contracts. Tulloch pretty much said so.

  5. August 14, 2017 1:34 pm

    ‘Is he suggesting that they be forced to rely on even more expensive renewable energy?’

    Of course. But they will no doubt (?) be consoled by knowing they might possibly behelping to ward off a few mosquitos 😉

    • Tom O permalink
      August 14, 2017 3:26 pm

      But only if they can afford to ward of hypothermia first from the inability to pay for heating their homes.

  6. dave permalink
    August 14, 2017 1:41 pm

    How can a heart attack be directly [sic*] attributable to use of a fossil fuel?
    Perhaps if someone threw a lump of coal at my chest hard enough to stun my heart!

    Really; “thinking,” now that we have universal indoctrination masquerading as education and a MSM totally without integrity, regressed first to the level of the Middle-Ages, and then to that of the Dark Ages, and is now at the level of Savages cowering from demons. Soon it will be below the level of monkeys!

    * Dictionary definition: *”without intervening factors or intermediaries.”

    • dave permalink
      August 14, 2017 1:55 pm

      Mr Tulloch was educated in Canada in Business Studies. As far as I know, he has no education in science.

  7. August 14, 2017 1:50 pm

    Great work.

  8. August 14, 2017 2:05 pm

    This man with a high powered sounding job comes across as a dangerous simpleton.

    “Globally, it is estimated that every year there are 6.5 million deaths from respiratory infections, strokes, heart attacks, lung cancer and chronic lung disease that are directly attributable to the combustion of fossil fuels.”

    Of course he cannot say who makes these “estimates”. Complete bull excrement. Naturally. “Directly attributable…”. More ordure, and how on earth can he postulate this. No evidence whatsoever.

    But what strikes me about him and many others, who seem to demand that death should be stopped, what are they thinking about ?
    The world is well over populated already. If we, somehow, prevented this particular 6.5 million deaths, surely there would be many other millions of preventable deaths, and what would happen to the global population and our inadequate resources ?

    This mentality is of a very low level and uninquisitive nature !

    • McNeil permalink
      August 14, 2017 4:59 pm

      “The world is well over populated already.”

      What is the correct number of souls that should be allowed to exist at any one time?

    • dennisambler permalink
      August 15, 2017 9:41 am

      He is selling insurance. To do that you need to generate a perception of risk so that it can be insured and financial products sold.

      • August 15, 2017 9:46 am

        Yep. Scammers unite, and defraud the world. Great show !

  9. John of Cloverdale, WA, Australia permalink
    August 14, 2017 2:08 pm

    I like the water vapor in the photo, you know the white stuff, same as fluffy clouds.

    • waterside4 permalink
      August 14, 2017 2:22 pm

      Yes John, the obligatory picture of steam emanating from cooling towers. This is used to keep the sheeple in the fold.

  10. August 14, 2017 2:22 pm

    “extreme weather events that comes with climate change”

    No evidence to relate that to fossil fuels
    https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2997420

  11. August 14, 2017 2:52 pm

    I gave up on the Telegraph years ago. Apart from Christopher Booker and a few occasional articles, it is not worth wasting time on.

    • Dung permalink
      August 14, 2017 3:23 pm

      In reality what newspaper IS worth reading, the DT even seems to have silently got rid of even Mat!
      I read the Spectator but that is it.

      • Dung permalink
        August 14, 2017 3:23 pm

        extra ‘even’ was totally free of charge ^.^

    • Mike Jackson permalink
      August 14, 2017 8:20 pm

      No evidence of extreme weather at all, that I have seen. All we have had this year so far is a single Cat 1 (Franklin) and the occasional record like Seattle’s lack of rain but if anything we seem to be having less in the way of extreme weather.

      I can understand that could well piss off an insurance salesman!

  12. Joe Public permalink
    August 14, 2017 4:14 pm

    “The insurance industry exists to manage risk ….. ”

    Bullshit.

    The insurance industry exists to make a profit.

    E.g. If they voluntarily offer Flood Insurance in UK, it’s a near certainty your property has very low risk of flooding.

    • M E Emberson permalink
      August 15, 2017 4:25 am

      That is true. In New Zealand, where earthquakes are happening more than the Insurance industry estimated they would, it is becoming very complicated to work out how much it will cost at some future time to rebuild your house or premises , but that is the sum you can expect to receive nowadays. Total replacement of the building demands a crystal ball glimpse of availability of materials and building contractors, which is impossible.
      They have invented sea level rise insurance to compensate themselves somewhat when insuring coastal properties which will be inundated because of ‘warming and Antarctic sea ice melting” Therefore they need belief in global warming to make the profits.

  13. CheshireRed permalink
    August 14, 2017 4:26 pm

    These reports are typical of current political activism, where reliable and accurate information has been replaced on virtually all points of the political compass with propaganda, deceit, half-truths and outright falsehoods.
    Take the ‘fossil fuel subsidies’. It doesn’t seem to matter how many times it’s pointed out to be nonsense on toast, this trope continues to live on. It’s a zombie lie, and ONLY from the left.
    Likewise the general attacks on fossil fuels. If we think they ’cause 6.5 million deaths due to respiratory problems’ then no problem, just shut down ALL fossil fuels. In no time that’ll:
    A. ‘save 6.5 million lives’
    but also
    B. cause the deaths of hundreds of millions through cold, starvation and medical emergencies. Choices, choices.
    Activist clowns everywhere and I’m sick of them.

    • Mike Jackson permalink
      August 14, 2017 8:27 pm

      Pollution looks like being the next bogeyman. CO2 is wearing thin and climate is starting to get boring. Sustainability and biodiversity never quite took off (maybe six syllable words are too much — and that’s at least a semi-serious point) so we need something new to keep up with Mencken’s adage: The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

      • August 14, 2017 9:07 pm

        Very prescient, Mike!

        Look out for my post tomorrow.

      • near Ballagan Beds breakthrough... permalink
        August 15, 2017 3:02 am

        As if on cue, First Minister Sturgeon announced yesterday that M8’s Link opening would not only cut emissions via decreased travel times but also that it would better enable the incorporation of electric vehicle charging points across the major road network and therefore help mitigate the threat of climate change.

        Thirty years ago, Scotland had energy security within wider UK energy security. Here we are, a generation and a bit later, collectively facing an electricity supply problem common to all UK.

        Within Scotland, within the last seven years we’ve lost all coal, we limp around with a half-capacity Peterhead gas whilst futured to decommission our two remaining nuclear stations, Hunterston B and Torness, by 2025/2030, respectively. And a cross-party political agreement to ‘no-nuclear build’ phantasy, ever.

        Quite the money-grubbing politicised control over ‘energy’….

  14. Gamecock permalink
    August 14, 2017 4:53 pm

    Delicious decadence. Without fossil fuels, Tulloch would be dead within a month.

    He attacks that which keeps him alive.

  15. August 14, 2017 6:07 pm

    I loved that pic showing “local air pollution”. So water vapour is now a pollutant? Ban clouds?

  16. August 14, 2017 6:08 pm

    Insurance may actually be a bigger scam than AGW in the UK. I worked in Switzerland for a few years, rang around to get car insurance quotes and found them all to be the same! The govt must have regulated the price. Compare that with the wondrous “Free Market” in the UK, umpteen companies, fortunes spent on advertising and comparison websites, and guess who pays for all that.

    Insurance could easily be controlled entirely by a small office of people somewhere, property insurance funded via Council Tax, car insurance via the road tax, job done.

    • Nordisch-geo-climber permalink
      August 14, 2017 10:04 pm

      I like many others have long believed that insurance in the UK – of all types, but especially statutory insurance like car insurance, is massive state-sponsored robbery. Agree it should be simpler and transparent.

      • Gerry, England permalink
        August 15, 2017 12:45 pm

        What really is state robbery is applying a tax to something you are legally obliged to have. Introduced by a chancellor who pretended to be conservative.

  17. Stevie B. permalink
    August 14, 2017 6:21 pm

    This claim that being allowed to deduct costs before paying tax is a subsidy is one of those claims that infuriate me.

    Oil and gas companies in the UK do not actually pay the same taxes as every other business in the UK, no we pay a higher rate of tax. Regular corporation tax is levied at 19%, oil and gas companies pay a CT rate of 30%, but wait there’s more. There is a further 10% Supplementary CT charge which has a slightly different set of rules, you can’t deduct interest on loans but there is a counterbalancing relief called the investment allowance.

    When the Supplementary CT rate was reduced from 20% to 10% and the investment allowance was introduced the ecoloons called those fossil fuel subsidies.

    So typically oil and gas companies pay double the tax of the companies sucking at the subsidy teat in the renewables business. The Government is 100% right when they say there are no fossil fuel subsidies in the UK.

  18. keith permalink
    August 14, 2017 8:07 pm

    Yes, I used to work in insurance and am now retired. Regrettably in many areas it has turned into a scam. The reinsurance cos Munich Re and Swiss Re are busy promoting the AGW scare because they can push up reinsurance premiums and make more profit. Other cos are in bed with the scamming NGO’s, for instance my old co Royal Sun appear to be in bed with WWF and have asked for spare shareholder shares to be donated to WWF!!!
    Years ago before Direct Line appeared on the scene there was one blanket buildings insurance rate for all home buildings insurance countrywide and that included flood cover. Then Direct Line arrived with post code rating and then customers found they couldn’t get insurance for certain risks like flood. Now with all the new insurers in the market, all who are only prepared to provide cover with no risk so to to make a fast buck, the whole issue has became a consumers nightmare.
    As regards the Maurice Tulloch article, I agree it is a load of garbage. Typical from a current so called insurance professional, unfortunately.

  19. Tim permalink
    August 15, 2017 7:23 am

    Interesting that the Sunday Telegraph recently moved Christopher Booker’s page from the main paper to one of the accompanying screeds. Looks as if someone has leaned on them heavily.

    • dave permalink
      August 15, 2017 7:40 am

      “…someone has leaned on them…”

      Not necessary, because they police themselves.

      Now, THIS is actually getting a little interesting:

      • Gerry, England permalink
        August 15, 2017 12:50 pm

        No, the Telegraph is home to the Tory Ultra boys who want to see us walkaway from the EU. Mr Booker points out inconvenient facts as to what the problems will be with that approach and with the government’s clueless proposals. It would cause too much bad publicity to ditch him so they try to hide him. The commenters on his columns are generally raving idiots who can’t face facts and hold a belief that somehow the EU are bluffing and will just give us everything we have now right at the end. They won’t, can’t due to their rules and treaties, and correctly believe that anything that happens to us post Brexit is our government’s fault.

  20. bea permalink
    August 15, 2017 7:45 am

    A year of strong La Nina, followed by a big volano of the right sort, followed by Solar Cycle 25 failing to develop…

    That would be interesting.

  21. Jack Broughton permalink
    August 15, 2017 9:30 am

    A bit of good news: as we all know, the BBC allowed Lawson some time in the interest of balance. The “i” published a letter yesterday criticising the BBC’s treatment of Lawson, Gore the proven science and even Cox for his comments …. what next???

    • dennisambler permalink
      August 15, 2017 9:48 am

      Yesterday, Drivetime on Radio 2 gave Gore another platform with a bigger audience. My wife was in the car and I wasn’t allowed to listen, for safety reasons…

      Meanwhile, former BBC stalwart Alex Kirby is holding out the begging bowl here:

      https://www.truthdig.com/articles/progressive-media-environmental-journalism/

      “My colleagues and I don’t have to bother anymore about cockeyed managerial notions of misconceived “balance.” We tell the story, as far as we can, just as it is. There’s only one problem, and it’s a big one: It costs money to do this.

      Climate News Network has had generous support from foundations and from individuals, but at the end of May 2017 we had to let our freelance editors and writers go because we’d run out of money to pay them. Now the four of us, who average in age in the early 70s, are keeping the daily output going while we scratch our heads and wonder who else we can ask to support us.”

    • dennisambler permalink
      August 15, 2017 9:53 am

      Drivetime on Radio 2 yesterday, gave Gore another platform without challenge, with a larger audience than Radio 4.

      Meanwhile former BBC alarmist Alex Kirby is holding out the begging bowl:

      https://www.truthdig.com/articles/progressive-media-environmental-journalism/

      “Climate News Network has had generous support from foundations and from individuals, but at the end of May 2017 we had to let our freelance editors and writers go because we’d run out of money to pay them. Now the four of us, who average in age in the early 70s, are keeping the daily output going while we scratch our heads and wonder who else we can ask to support us.”

  22. Athelstan permalink
    August 15, 2017 10:12 am

    Tullock is another middle manager who scaled up and is now way out of his league, talking the corporate talk is what he thinks ingratiates him in with the great and the good and – that’s all it is, bluster, bollox and more bluster to set before his betters.

    Then begging and salivating, barking, wagging tail and holding out his tongue for some sweet morsel of fat.

  23. August 15, 2017 11:31 am

    “Globally, it is estimated that every year there are 6.5 million deaths from respiratory infections, strokes, heart attacks, lung cancer and chronic lung disease that are directly attributable to the combustion of fossil fuels”

    Even if those horrible downsides were true (obviously no evidence is provided), the only way of evaluating them properly is to ask if there were also any *benefits* “directly attributable to the combustion of fossil fuels”, and if they saved 6.5 million lives (or even more). That way we’re looking carefully at the big picture and not being biased.

    Just two positive real examples dwarf the “estimated” downside.

    1. At least 82 million less children malnourished largely because of fossil fuels.
    2. 800 million people just in China alone living an additional 10 years or more, largely because of fossil fuels.

    Those are orders of magnitude larger benefits for human life and progress. Imagine your children growing up properly fed, or what you would do with another 10 years of life, the most irreplaceable resource on Earth?

    —-
    1. 82 million less malnourished children. This is largely a factor of modern mechanised farming and synthetic agriculture fertiliser. Virtually all the machinery (harvesters, tractors) runs on oil, and the fertiliser is usually created from natural gas. At present neither can work without fossil fuels and they have helped to almost eradicate hunger in many parts of the world.
    —-

    Nutritional food production (crops, excluding coffee etc) has *tripled* from 1970-2014.

    This increased food production has led to the number of underweight children under 5 falling from 24.8% to 16.5% from 1990-2016. Even though world population rose 2.1 billion in that time, that still means 82 million less children underweight.

    Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators Index.

    —–
    2. 800 million+ people living 10 years longer in China. This is largely due to their fossil fuel powered industrialisation and access to much more electricity and energy.
    —–

    China increased its fossil fuel use by X7-X9 per person between 1970-2010.

    In that same time period, due to access to clean water, hospitals, and industrialised life enabled through that increased access to energy – life expectancy increased from 65 years to 75 years. That’s an extra decade of life spread across, what, 800-1.2 billion people? And that even takes into account effects from smog, if they had better environmental standards it would be even better.

    Sources: BP Statistical Review of World Energy (China Fossil Fuel use), World Bank World Development Indicators (Life Expectancy in China). Both originally quoted by Alex Epstein in MCFF.

  24. Alberto Zaragoza Comendador permalink
    August 15, 2017 4:21 pm

    The OECD report is fraudulent as far as Spain is concerned – I couldn’t be bothered to look into the numbers for other countries but suspect the same absurd accounting is going on.

    Here’s the thing: there are no fossil fuel subsidies in Spain, except for perhaps a few tens of millions € a year for coal mining (not sure if even that is still going on). Taxes make up 50-60% of the cost of gasoline and diesel, and a good chunk of the cost of LPG and natural gas. Yet the OECD ‘found’ over a billion euros in fossil fuel ‘subsidies’ here. How?

    Easy: they took the tax applied to gasoline, and compared it that applied to other fuels (which are still heavily taxed but not as much). They then declared this difference in taxes a subsidy, even though all the ‘subsidized’ fuels still pay the full VAT plus hydrocarbon tax!

    OECD calls for the elimination of fossil fuel taxes

    Obviously, following the OECD’s logic the way to eliminate subsidies is by eliminating taxes.

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