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The Shape of British Summers To Come?

August 20, 2018

By Paul Homewood

 

 

A reminder from Paul Matthews about how our expert climate scientists used to predict cool, wet summers, (because of Arctic warming, naturally!):

image

Following this summer’s long heat wave, with weeks of hot sunny weather and hardly a drop of rain, there’s been a lot of talk about whether this is the new normal, thanks to man-made climate change.

Fortunately, the Guardian’s climate expert Fiona Harvey has an article that sets the record straight on this, helped by top climate scientists such as Peter Stott of the Met Office.

The article explains:

when it comes to global warming, we can forget the jolly predictions of Jeremy Clarkson and his ilk of a Mediterranean climate in which we lounge among the olive groves of Yorkshire sipping a fine Scottish champagne. The truth is likely to be much duller, and much nastier – and we have already had a taste of it. “We will see lots more floods, droughts, such as we’ve had this year in the UK,” says Peter Stott, leader of the climate change monitoring and attribution team at the Met Office.

And it’s not just a one-off, it’s part of a trend:

Read the rest of Paul’s article here.

 

BTW- The Guardian article he writes about was written by the rather dopey looking Guardian journalist, Fiona Harvey, in 2012:

Fiona Harvey

https://www.theguardian.com/science/2012/aug/08/shape-of-british-summers-to-come

 

Perhaps dopey Fiona might like to look again at the summer rainfall trends for the UK, and tell us whether British summers are getting wetter, drier, or anything other than what they have been in the past!

UK Rainfall - Summer

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/actualmonthly

25 Comments
  1. August 20, 2018 8:56 pm

    One swallow does not a summer make.

    Nor does one summer a climate make.

  2. CheshireRed permalink
    August 20, 2018 9:02 pm

    You want another Guardian side-splitter? Try this one. Too absurd for words.
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/aug/20/summer-weather-is-getting-stuck-due-to-arctic-warming

  3. August 20, 2018 9:11 pm

    Whatever you think or the facts it’s not very nice to call someone “dopey looking”. People are who they are and usually tend to try to be the best they can. “judging” their looks and categorising them as such isn’t helpful.

    • BLACK PEARL permalink
      August 20, 2018 9:16 pm

      Well I guess your right but when your deliberately misleading the public there should be some penalty !

    • Simon permalink
      August 21, 2018 12:55 pm

      Agreed.

      • Mark Hodgson permalink
        August 21, 2018 8:18 pm

        Can I add my vote for avoiding personal comments, please. This is an excellent site, and the work Paul does stands on its merits; but those merits are downgraded when use is made of “dopey looking” and the like. By all means criticise poor journalism or inaccurate reporting, but please try to keep the moral high ground.

  4. BLACK PEARL permalink
    August 20, 2018 9:11 pm

    “Perhaps dopey Fiona might like to look again at the summer rainfall trends for the UK, and tell us whether British summers are getting wetter, drier, or anything other than what they have been in the past!”

    More than her jobs worth I would think
    More political agenda than either science or true investigative reporting.
    This is why Trump just tweets ( before thinking sometimes ) as the media is just a sham.
    ….. but hasn’t it always been so, only difference being there is so much more of it these days wall to wall mainstream BS & half truths every which way 🙂

    • HotScot permalink
      August 21, 2018 1:01 am

      BLACK PEARL

      I presume dopey is another gun for hire the guardian uses instead of paying full time resident journalists to actually do a job instead of scrounging from any media that will pay them a fee.

      Talk about zero hours contracts.Journalists bitch about them enough on behalf of the many people who are quite happy with the convenience of a zero hour contract, but can’t, or won’t organise themselves to object to them on their own behalf. Instead they submit drivel to the guardian, a failing socialist propaganda rag that probably won’t be around much longer with any luck.

  5. tom0mason permalink
    August 21, 2018 1:52 am

    Sorry Paul but from your graph it is obvious that in recent years the usual periods of thundery summer warmth with drizzle are being interrupted by droughts, extreme heat, and deluges of an unprecedented nature evident only while the kids are off from school, and Wimbledon tennis predominates afternoon viewing.

    From this correlation both children should not be allowed out of school during the summer, and tennis matches involving UK player may not be televised during the summer holiday period.

    /sarc-off

  6. Broadlands permalink
    August 21, 2018 2:38 am

    “when it comes to global warming, we can forget the jolly predictions of Jeremy Clarkson and his ilk of a Mediterranean climate in which we lounge among the olive groves of Yorkshire sipping a fine Scottish champagne. The truth is likely to be much duller, and much nastier – and we have already had a taste of it. “We will see lots more floods, droughts, such as we’ve had this year in the UK,” says Peter Stott, leader of the climate change monitoring and attribution team at the Met Office.”

    Ok.. that’s just fine and dandy. BUT…What does Dr. Peter Stott, pray tell, advise that we do about it? Keep monitoring it and getting paid to do it? How will just attributing it to all of us help to make weather more kinder and gentler…less nasty? We have all heard for decades it will be “catastrophic”. What’s your plan Peter? How long will it take and how much will it cost?
    Time to get real?

    • Mack permalink
      August 21, 2018 9:34 am

      Ah, but the settled science of Peter Stott now seems to indicate that jolly old Clarkson wasn’t far off the mark with his Mediterranean climate claims because, you guessed it, he now indicates that summer heatwaves will become the new normal. So forget buying shares in a welly factory, don’t worry about building on a flood plain, just nip up to North Yorkshire and get planting those olive groves pronto. Only in climate science can the MSM allow a so called expert to claim 1+1 = 2 one year and then 5 the next and not call them out on the glaring discrepancy. What is more troubling is that governments actually listen to the advice of such contrarians and their ouija prophecies.

  7. Ben Vorlich permalink
    August 21, 2018 9:45 am

    Was it actually Jeremy Clarkson who said all that first? In my memory it was alarmists rather than the sceptical Clarkson.

    Is this a case of trying to shift the blame because this weeks predictions are for something totally different?

  8. Ben Vorlich permalink
    August 21, 2018 9:50 am

    I meant to add this BBC link from 2005

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk/4091068.stm

    • dave permalink
      August 21, 2018 10:09 am

      “…BBC link from 2005.”

      It has the old mantra “scientists say.” It seems to me this has now changed, in scare propaganda, to the slightly more emphatic “say scientists.”

      A small difference, perhaps, but when discussing Kremlinology…

  9. Athelstan permalink
    August 21, 2018 11:57 am

    Great uncles and aunts (coz I loved that sort stuff) used to tell about winters in early Forties were usually followed by very warm summers and in the Fifties – it hardly ever stopped ‘siling down’ in the summer months, English summers are cool and wet the unusual is dry, long hot uns, we are blessed with a variable climate, thank God man has nothing to do with it, otherwise the freaks of homogeneity (ref EU and NWO) – would make them all the same – effin miserable.

    • bobn permalink
      August 21, 2018 2:56 pm

      Weather in the UK seems to follow the 11yr solar cycle. In Southern england we have @ 5yrs of snow in the winter (2007-2011) then 5 without (2012-17) then repeat. The dry summers seem to follow snowy winters and wet summers follow the snowless winters. Who would ever have thought that the little tiny Sun would influence and drive our climate? Not the guardian / bbc ‘so-called’ scientists it seems.

      • Athelstan permalink
        August 21, 2018 6:01 pm

        ah that Helios, he is has some influence and yes – you make very good points – thank you for that.

  10. David Rose permalink
    August 21, 2018 12:22 pm

    I fear you have spoilt an excellent post by commenting adversely on Fiona’s appearance. I don’t agree with her about much but she is a straightforward, decent person, and the point you make would be stronger without the unnecessary insult.

    • dearieme permalink
      August 21, 2018 1:59 pm

      Don’t be so precious. At least he didn’t allude to her near-ginger hair.

      • Galvanise permalink
        August 21, 2018 5:46 pm

        Is Fiona Harvey Thom Yorke in disguise?

      • Simon permalink
        August 22, 2018 2:02 am

        I agree that personal comments are out of place.

    • Colin Brooks permalink
      August 21, 2018 6:48 pm

      David

      I am a big admirer of your courageous posts in the DM but people here are so sick of MSM BS that anyone who perpetuates it is considered fair game.

    • Simon permalink
      August 22, 2018 2:01 am

      Agreed.

  11. Bitter@twisted permalink
    August 21, 2018 2:02 pm

    Are you sure she’s called Fiona?
    Alice (as in through the looking glass) would be more appropriate.

Comments are closed.