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Record Arctic Sea Ice Growth In September

September 25, 2016

By Paul Homewood 




Since hitting its earliest minimum extent since 1997, Arctic sea ice has been expanding at a phenomenal rate.

Already it is greater than at the same date in 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2015. Put another way, it is the fourth highest extent in the last ten years.





Even more remarkably, ice growth since the start of the month is actually the greatest on record, since daily figures started to be kept in 1987.






Experts call this phenomenon the final collapse of sea ice!

  1. CheshireRed permalink
    September 25, 2016 3:41 pm

    This information is not relevant to the narrative of climate catastrophe, so is forbidden. Report for your re-education in media compliance immediately.

    • Ben permalink
      September 26, 2016 2:46 pm


  2. markl permalink
    September 25, 2016 3:44 pm

    Nature has always been in control.

    • JPC The Nayer permalink
      October 2, 2016 11:20 am

      Don´t you mean “Nature” tries to be in control? (But now with their pants down).

  3. Malcolm Bell permalink
    September 25, 2016 4:13 pm

    This data on growth of sea ice highlights a concern of mine:

    One thing that always seems missing in the “warming” data is the absence of the other half of the picture. We get lots of graphs of maximum hot spots and their timing. But where are the parallel
    Graphs of minimum temperatures and their timings? When are first and last frosts? What are the lowest temperatures in the same locations as the hot spots and how do they compare with the “cold spots”? That way we can generate a better sense of what is really happening.

    • Mike Jackson permalink
      September 25, 2016 4:42 pm

      There have long been theories that any increase in average temperature is due in great part to increases in the overnight minima with a corollary that at least a part of that is due to increased UHI effect.

      The Crimate Science Community has built an evermore shaky Tower of Babel on the convoluted foundation of CO2+/-“forcings” of one persuasion or another and has persistently advised us to ignore the UHI behind the curtain (“it’s only very small really”, quoth Prof Jones).

      I can’t answer for the long-term minima but I can certainly provide anecdotal evidence (only from an in-car thermometer which should give the “professionals” a laugh — but as they insist on pointing out it’s not the absolute temperature that counts but the anomaly) that the temperature difference between central Edinburgh and rural West Lothian can be up to 4°; the same for East Lothian, and for Midlothian which, admittedly is about 300 feet higher, anything up to 6°.

      Unscientific this may be but I suspect this difference is at least a degree or so more than it was even 25 years ago when Jones tried to convince us (on his say-so if I recall) that the UHI was only of the order of 0.5°.

      The thing is we will probably never know because there is no incentive to find out in case it upsets the apple-cart or derails the gravy train, or something.

      • September 25, 2016 7:43 pm

        A “radiative forcing” as they call it – no matter what they attribute as the cause, CO2 or anything they like – is explicitly a claim that heat transfers from cold to hot.

        They would never have the courage to make this claim outright because the whole of thermodynamics is based on the exact opposite !

        Heat only transfers from hot to cold in any irreversible natural process – nothing else has ever been observed or postulated until “modern climate science” !

        Obviously, we have invented ways to overcome this natural tendency but our inventions all add work utilizing external energy and hence are in no way similar to any natural irreversible process.

        So they invent sciency sounding mumbo-jumbo to say exactly that – they say heat transfers from cold to hot !

        I just can’t understand why Academia allows this nonsense to continue.

        Either correct all of the thermodynamics texts and admit the science we have been going by for a few centuries was wrong OR admit the bleeding obvious – that a “radiative forcing” is nothing more than transferring heat from a cold emitter to a hotter receiver and defies the natural order and hence must be wrong !

      • Mentularum permalink
        September 28, 2016 1:17 pm

        Not much of an Urban Heat Island effect in the Arctic, is there? Despite which the Arctic is watmig three times as fast as the Earth as a whole.

      • September 28, 2016 4:15 pm

        There has been no warming in the Arctic for the last twenty years, and temperatures are broadly where they were in the 1930s.

        Check out my Arctic tab if you disbelieve me.

    • markl permalink
      September 25, 2016 5:55 pm

      Malcolm Bell commented: “…One thing that always seems missing in the “warming” data is the absence of the other half of the picture….”

      By design….but you already know that. Keeping the contrary data away from the populace makes it pure propaganda.

    • calumetkid permalink
      September 27, 2016 3:00 am

      Excellent questions.

    • September 27, 2016 4:31 pm

      Australia still has snow on the mountains (it’s early spring there) while Whistler, BC has had snow already.

    • Rainer Skerra permalink
      September 29, 2016 1:54 pm

      Here is a good address to look-up Arctic sea ice extent for periods from 2002 up to the present (daily updated) by the Alfred Wegener Institute and University of Bremen:

  4. A C Osborn permalink
    September 25, 2016 4:50 pm

    If you want to see it, (not in the MSM of course) look at

    You will see lots of reports of earlier starting/later finishing Snow and Frosts along with record breaking lows on Iceagenow
    and on realclimate comparisons of current so called records compared to historic temps (mostly USA based) with anecdotal evidence to back up the historic un-adjusted data.

    The fraud is rampant and getting worse.

    • David Richardson permalink
      September 25, 2016 5:52 pm

      Yes AC – not everyone likes iceagenow because of its ambulance chasing nature but I think it is indespensible for highlighting many anomalous cold events. Iceagenow covers this stuff and I don’t have to look for it.

      Anyone not familiar with it should just scroll back to January 2016 and have a look through this year – you don’t have to look deep, but many severe happenings never made it to the MSM, and that tells you a lot on its own.

      • Richard permalink
        September 27, 2016 10:52 am

        Iceage now-

        it’s an excellent website, i like to compile a list of several months of headlines and post on various alarmist sites, they always shoot back this is just weather. Makes me laugh.

  5. jjs permalink
    September 25, 2016 5:15 pm

    This makes sense and was expected to happen since Gov Brown and the waco left passed the “Cow must stop farting” bill in early September. As you can see it is already working.

  6. David Richardson permalink
    September 25, 2016 5:46 pm

    Arctic sea ice will follow the well established path of all inconvenient climate data – 10 years of total denial (half of that has already gone) which will include a slight slow down in the hysterical ” it will all be gone by next summer” story – then slow but grudging acceptance of reality over a couple of years – followed by a number of papers demonstrating how CO2 causes the sea to freeze.

    It’s a good job we all have a sense of humour isn’t it?? isn’t it?

    • Mike Jackson permalink
      September 25, 2016 7:36 pm

      “It’s a good job we all have a sense of humour isn’t it?? isn’t it?”

      Indeed it is, David. I’m only hoping mine will last out my few remaining years. There are already bits where I can see daylight through it!

  7. September 25, 2016 6:03 pm

    Reblogged this on Climatism.

  8. John F. Hultquist permalink
    September 25, 2016 7:47 pm

    Prof. Peter Wadhams has gone to the Arctic (? whatever that really means) many times and has been given the honorary title of “expert.” Results have proven the title is not deserved.
    In his dishonor, the term “Wadhams [note the italics] has now been suggested as an areal measurement (surface space) of sea ice.
    Now would be a good time for the Professor to retire, never to be heard from again, and Wadhams can continue as a useful term and his footnote in the history of science.

    • September 26, 2016 12:01 pm

      “Prof. Peter Wadhams has gone to the Arctic (? whatever that really means)”

      Perhaps a brain freeze caused by too much iced tea?

  9. Steven Fraser permalink
    September 25, 2016 9:52 pm

    Wadham’s prediction is now a FAIL. 4 years and counting…

  10. N. Wayne Liston permalink
    September 25, 2016 10:26 pm

    Is there any comment anywhere on possible causes of the startling 750,000KmSq loss of Antarctic sea ice in just 16 days from day 240?
    Surely some sort of major newsworthy event must have taken place… a nuclear test perhaps?
    The charts seem to be at odds with the satellite photos as well. Are my eyes or mind going?

    • September 26, 2016 9:38 am

      NSIDC have said nothing.

    • Billy Liar permalink
      September 26, 2016 4:26 pm

      I wondered about that too. Ice reaching above 55°S and visually little different from recent years – it must all be ‘rotten ice’.

    • A C Osborn permalink
      September 26, 2016 6:14 pm

      Well it certainly isn’t due to Temperatures.
      Take a look at NuSchool Earth, temps down ther around the Continent’s edges are very low, averaging around -20 C, yes -20 you don’t get much Ice melting at those temps.

    • subtle2 permalink
      September 27, 2016 4:30 pm

      !.5 standard deviation loss in only 15 days. Thought it was a string a bad posts.

  11. September 25, 2016 11:20 pm

    Reblogged this on Climate Collections.

  12. stuartlarge permalink
    September 25, 2016 11:48 pm

    I have been following ‘Sunrise’s Swansong’ and he has predicted this,
    The Arctic this summer has been cloudy and stormy and the ice has piled up into pressure ridge’s with lots of open water leads, allowing ocean heat to escape, and of course when it gets cold again these open water leads are going to rapidly freeze.

  13. Dorian permalink
    September 26, 2016 5:26 am

    I think its time to send another ship of Global Cooling deniers to the Arctic, that will fix them.

  14. Bloke down the pub permalink
    September 26, 2016 10:33 am

    Your ice extent growth chart looks very cyclical, almost as if there was a negative feedback system in operation. Who knew?

  15. DennyOR permalink
    September 26, 2016 5:53 pm

    I’m a certified global warming “denier”, but in this case you’re squeezing the data until it says “uncle”.

  16. Patrick Carroll permalink
    September 26, 2016 8:47 pm

    Some expert!

  17. Ardy permalink
    September 27, 2016 10:25 pm

    In looking at the sea ice minimum in the Arctic 2016, I found this from NSIDC:

    ‘During the first ten days of September this year, the Arctic lost ice at a faster than average rate. On average, the Arctic lost 34,100 square kilometers (13,200 square miles) per day compared to the 1981 to 2010 long-term average of 21,000 square kilometers (8,100 square miles) per day.’ –

    Now I am no scientist but something is wrong here. You cannot achieve the growth rate reported by NOOA over September when NSIDC claim major losses. If NSIDC is correct then there are 14 days to get to the NOOA figure.

    What’s going on here? Can some smartie pants please explain.

    • AndyG55 permalink
      September 28, 2016 12:12 am

      Here are the net changes from Sept 1 to Sept 26 for the last 10 years (from NSIDC)

      2007 -0.252
      2008 -0.175
      2009 0.028
      2010 -0.126
      2011 0.185
      2012 0.087
      2013 0.111
      2014 -0.012
      2015 0.449
      2016 0.528

      2016 bottomed out early and is growing fast.

    • AndyG55 permalink
      September 28, 2016 12:15 am

      ie, yes it dropped fast in first 8 days, because of a storm, then it bottomed out on 8th Sept, )equal to 2015) and re-iced rather quickly.

    • AndyG55 permalink
      September 28, 2016 12:17 am

      ps, Looks like 2011 also bottomed out on 8th Sept.

      Other years were later.

      • Ardy permalink
        September 28, 2016 1:39 am

        Thanks Andy, quite a dynamic environment up there.

      • AndyG55 permalink
        September 28, 2016 1:55 am

        Just got the latest update from NSIDC.

        September 1 – 26 net sea ice change looks like this the last 10 years

        2007 -0.239
        2008 -0.099
        2009 +0.126
        2010 -0.071
        2011 +0.18
        2012 +0.162
        2013 +0.113
        2014 -0.003
        2015 +0.458
        2016 +0.638

        2016 is growing very fast.

  18. tom0mason permalink
    September 28, 2016 12:24 am

    Oh no!

    There’s less than 5 thick Wadhams of ice left!

    • AndyG55 permalink
      September 28, 2016 1:56 am

      Its now more than 5 Wadhams. (NSDIC)

      • tom0mason permalink
        September 28, 2016 4:10 am



  1. Record Arctic Sea Ice Growth In September | The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)
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