Skip to content

England & Wales Precipitation Series For 2017

January 8, 2018

By Paul Homewood

 

 image

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadukp/data/monthly/HadEWP_monthly_qc.txt

 

The England & Wales Precipitation Series has now been updated for last year.

Precipitation totalled 952mm during the year, slightly above the series average of 918mm. In ascending order, 2017 ranked 158th.

There seems to be little evidence of any real trends. Whatever trend can be winkled out of the numbers will likely be too small to notice, and swamped by the natural variability in the data.

 

The wettest years remain 1872 and 1768. The driest were 1788 and 1921.

 

A look at the wettest months shows no indication that monthly rainfall is becoming more extreme.

 image

 https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadukp/data/monthly/HadEWP_monthly_qc.txt

 

The wettest month in recent years was November 2009, with 192.1mm. Yet this was only 9th wettest on record.

Advertisements
10 Comments
  1. Chris Lynch permalink
    January 8, 2018 6:22 pm

    You should know by now that facts, data, science and statistics are constructs of the racist Western white heterosexual male patriarchy. Ditch facts and run with feelings Paul!

    • catweazle666 permalink
      January 10, 2018 6:48 pm

      “The data doesn’t matter. We’re not basing our recommendations on the data. We’re basing them on the climate models.”

      ~ Prof. Chris Folland ~ (Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research)

  2. January 8, 2018 6:39 pm

    The whole of modern global civilisation is supposed to be a construct of racist Western white heterosexual male patriarchy except that in reality that patriarchy has been far more inclusive than has it has ever been given credit for otherwise its positive products would not have been so widely disseminated.
    What we see now is various less inclusive single interest groups competing for power for themselves and their primary strategy is to first dismantle that alleged patriarchy.

    Anyway, back to the point, the lack of any discernible trend in UK rainfall statistics is giving the lie to the AGW prognosis that the UK could expect a more Mediterranean climate.

  3. January 8, 2018 6:43 pm

    There is a trend in the data – it has increased by 48+/-25mm with an Fstat of 0.06 over the period

    • MrGrimNasty permalink
      January 8, 2018 7:32 pm

      But then before the Victorians figured out you could actually get more than an inch of rain in a day, and automatically emptying rain gauges were invented, many extreme rain events went likely unrecorded……………..

      So historically rainfall was in all probability under recorded, so any minor increasing trend is less, possibly really zero, or negative!

      All that you can say with certainty is that there is no notable or worrying increase.

  4. January 9, 2018 7:14 am

    Here is a month by month analysis
    https://ssrn.com/abstract=2929159

  5. Bitter@twisted permalink
    January 9, 2018 9:39 am

    Here in East Anglia, we are being told that thanks to a “drier than average Autumn” Summer hosepipe bans are likely.
    Nothing to do with an exploding population and no investment in infrastructure….

    • Athelstan permalink
      January 9, 2018 9:57 am

      a tad ironic really when you consider the Fens and low lying land in East Anglia – the battle was always to rid the land of water and engineer drainage solutions.

      Pretty soon though, they’ll have us all back on the land, water shortages aside,with Africa and Asia moving north and west – famine is a possibllity – too.

  6. Phoenix44 permalink
    January 9, 2018 11:18 am

    It actually looks more like 60 years cycles than anything.

    • catweazle666 permalink
      January 10, 2018 6:46 pm

      Yep, looks like that to me, too.

      So no surprise there…

Comments are closed.

%d bloggers like this: