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The Weather Follies: Is Climate Change To Blame For Germany’s Flooding?

July 21, 2021

By Paul Homewood

 

Reposted from Climate Change Dispatch:

 

 

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Greta Thunberg has declared the floods in Germany, Belgium, and the Netherlands to be the product of man-made climate change, adding: ‘We’re at the very beginning of a climate and ecological emergency, and extreme weather events will only become more and more frequent.’

Well, that’s sorted out that one, then.

We hardly need Angela Merkel or the Prime Minister of the Netherlands, Mark Rutte, to confirm it for us.

Nor, indeed, do we need to hear from Michael Mann – aka Mr. Hockey Stick – to tell us that the floods are the living embodiment of what climate scientists have been warning us about for decades.

It was climate change wot flooded Germany and that is that – there is no reason for any further debate on the issue; indeed, even to suggest that there is a debate to be had is to mark yourself out as an evil ‘denialist’, intent on blinding yourself to deadly reality, and probably in the pay of on an oil company.

Except there is just one niggling little doubt at the back of my mind – and which perhaps ought to be leaping up and down in the minds of Greta and Chancellor Merkel, too.

Far from predicting more summer rainfall in the German Rhineland, climate models have tended to do the opposite: to predict less.

Full story here,

13 Comments
  1. MrGrimNasty permalink
    July 21, 2021 10:55 am

    Notrickszone has this story nailed, repeatedly – best place to go.

    There is a link to the flood history of the Ahr Valley in one of the articles showing it is nothing new.

    Realistically there is no mitigation works that could completely stop these types of events, but these days you should at least get enough warning to avoid mass deaths.

    Netweather also has a good description of the event.

    Meanwhile at home, we have another windpower failure, 4th day, only a few days after the end of another prolonged failure!

  2. Johnnie permalink
    July 21, 2021 11:43 am

    As I understand it they DID have warning, but they just ignored it!

    • MrGrimNasty permalink
      July 21, 2021 12:02 pm

      Exactly – it was the incompetence of the authorities.

  3. David Allan permalink
    July 21, 2021 12:16 pm

    Did you hear Kerry on R4 this morning? Shameless climate change propaganda. Who is pulling his strings/paying his wages?

  4. johnbillscott permalink
    July 21, 2021 12:33 pm

    The German Media are beginning to pick up the real acts and their ought to be an Official Enquiry because of the unnecessary deaths due to, maybe willful, incompetence by the Authorities. Climate Change is now ideological to the point of religious fervor for many. Like Lenin and Stalin, deaths to prove an ideological point are legitimate and for, in their opinion, greater good of the Nation. We know that the Green Blob will do anything to carry their agenda forward and just maybe the decision to ignore warnings was deliberate and carried out to prove their corrupt idea of CO2 being the result of us humans needed some positive reinforcement. After all the science is settled so go with the flow.

  5. Ray Sanders permalink
    July 21, 2021 12:38 pm

    ” unnecessary deaths due to, maybe willful, incompetence by the Authorities.”
    I can (just about) stomach the endless deranged ravings from idiots about climate change but the thought that they could wilfully cause fatalities is what really makes my blood boil. It is similar in many ways to a “false flag” operation to start a war. A truly disastrous turn of events.

  6. John Peter permalink
    July 21, 2021 12:41 pm

    There is an interesting survey of flooding recorded from historical evidence at Basle here

    https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/02626667.2011.583613

    Key quote “All except two (1999 and 2007) of the 43 identified severe events (SEs: defined as having runoff > 5000 and < 6000 m 3 s ‐1) occurred prior to 1877. Not a single SE is documented from 1877 to 1998. The intermediate 121-year-long “flood disaster gap” is unique over the period since 1268." History does not matter when it gets in the way of the Climate Change edict.

  7. Broadlands permalink
    July 21, 2021 1:01 pm

    ‘We’re at the very beginning of a climate and ecological emergency, and extreme weather events will only become more and more frequent.’

    It remains an enigma how a teenage “oracle” can command such respect on a topic in which she has no knowledge. No scientific background. Clearly a puppet for ideological puppeteers pulling the strings from behind the scene. Follow the money?

  8. Mike Maloney permalink
    July 21, 2021 1:09 pm

    I’ve read a lot of books about climate science and had lots of arguments with friends about it but no-one can answer my question. What is the hard scientific evidence that the current warming phase is primarily due to human CO2 emissions? What does it consist of? How would you design a scientific experiment to prove or disprove this hypothesis?

  9. Beagle permalink
    July 21, 2021 2:40 pm

    It’s certainly no good just moaning about CO2 and hoping that come 2060 when China might have reduced their emissions and places are still flooding realizing you have been wrong all along. Flood prevention needs to start NOW with proper defenses and warning systems.

  10. John Dearden permalink
    July 21, 2021 2:58 pm

    A few years ago I took a photograph of a house close to the River Danube in Germany that had marked on it the heights to which flooding had reached. The highest flood was in 1501.

  11. Wellers permalink
    July 22, 2021 4:31 pm

    Six years ago I cycled up the Ahr Valley from Remagen on the Rhine to Altenahr. It was a beautiful placid area with a few vineyards, but I am not surprised that it is prone to flooding as the valley is not so broad in places and it descends rapidly. The water flow at Bonn (first city downstream of where it joins the Rhine) only reached 6,600 m3/s, compared with five occasions over the last hundred years when it exceeded 10,000 m3/s. The flow this month only reached 57% of the record set in 1926.

    Apparently the authorities in Belgium and Holland heeded the flood warnings and moved people out of harm’s way, but in Germany they failed even to lower the water levels in their dams despite having several days’ warning. The politicians have been trying to use the excuse of global warming for the catastrophe, but the public aren’t stupid (at least those who didn’t bunk off school).

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