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Western Pacific Typhoon Trends

January 5, 2022

By Paul Homewood



For natural reasons, most attention is focussed on Atlantic hurricanes rather than elsewhere.

The Japan Meteorological Agency handily publishes data on the annual count of tropical cyclones reaching at least tropical storm frequency in the western Pacific:



Whatever trend there is appears to be downwards.

The JMA don’t give the split between storms and typhoons, but we can get this from Wikipedia:

The number of cyclones reaching typhoon strength, 74 mph, shows a clear decline.

The trend is less clear for super typhoons, effectively Cat 4 and 5s on the Saffir Simpson scale. There was a sharp drop off in the 1970s and 80s. Since then numbers have reverted to pre-1970 levels.




  1. January 5, 2022 8:22 pm

    These data charts are why I like this site. But why wear the Emperor’s new lies? When the looters fanned out to use lies to convince voters to ban energy and leave us defenseless, their Eternal Truth was Global Warmunism just as The Party’s eternal truth was that Oceania at war with Eastasia and at peace with Eurasia. Indeed, Orwell noted that “The peculiarity of the totalitarian state is that though it controls thought, it does not fix it. It sets up unquestionable dogmas, and it alters them from day to day.” Orwell, Literature and Totalitarianism Vol 2 p. 136. As soon as you cater to the enemy’s terms by also switching to 1960 Soviet Climate Change, you lose, as Petr Beckmann pointed out.

  2. cookers52 permalink
    January 6, 2022 8:06 am

    But there is a human climate emergency even though the climate is much the same as it always has been.

    Sea levels rise and fall, glaciers advance and recede, nothing has changed.

    Most people now believe in human induced climate change and lots of people believe in the supernatural as well .

    What’s wrong is our political policy decisions that actually make us more vulnerable to extreme weather events. The futility of trying to get to net zero is clear but we still believe that if we live our lives differently then all will be well.

    I write this trying to make out if the faint line on my lateral flow self test actually means anything, I suppose it all depends on how I feel.

    • dave permalink
      January 6, 2022 9:17 am

      Modern rulers do not seem to understand that you can force people to do what you want, but you can’t force Nature. Australia, with its extreme attempts to evade Covid-19, is a case in point. Despite turning themselves into one big prison camp, the Omicron variant has arrived there and is clearly completely unstoppable. With 365,000 cases and rocketing infections, they fuss about letting in one unvaccinated tennis player!

      This is a good source of current data about tropical storms and hurricanes in all six basins:


    • cookers52 permalink
      January 6, 2022 10:56 am

      I have now read the instruckshuns for my lateral flow test and the detailed information from the manufacturer on how to interpret the test data. Apparently the accuracy of the test is like all data “it all depends on the context”, so if you want to believe you can, but on the other hand you can ignore it.

      So I did another test following the instructions in fine detail and the faint line was absent this time. Who knows perhaps the biscuit I was eating at the time had an undesirable affect.

      So like cyclone data it all depends on what you want to believe.

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