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Time Is Wrong–Climate Change Will Not Make Us Hungry

May 15, 2022

By Paul Homewood

 

 

Latest nonsense from Time:

 

image

https://time.com/6172270/ukraine-food-price-crisis-climate-change/

The article naturally focusses on Ukraine, but then proceeds with a series of lies about climate change:

 

The ripple effect of the Ukraine crisis on global grocery bills, however, is just a taste of what is to come as climate change disrupts the world’s agricultural areas. As temperatures rise due to increasing greenhouse-gas emissions, so too will the price of food. Humanitarian aid is likely to suffer first, with donors’ funds losing their purchasing power when prices of basic commodities like wheat and oil increase.

“The full impact of climate change will make the Ukraine crisis’s impact on food prices look like kindergarten,” says Enock Chikava, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation’s interim director for agricultural development. “We are already living in a one-degree warmer world, and we are already seeing more pests, more droughts, more heat. If we continue on this trajectory, to 1.5°C or even 2°C, all hell will break loose.”

Add to this the impacts of rising global temperatures and the effects could be devastating for economically disadvantaged countries. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s landmark report released in February, rising temperatures are likely to increase drought, flooding, and fire in once-reliable agricultural areas like California and southern Europe, which all could send production numbers tumbling.

In some places, it is already happening. A record-setting heatwave in India has reduced this year’s wheat crop, just as the country was planning an export surge to make up for the Russian and Ukrainian shortfalls. And, as the Associated Press reports, China’s agriculture minister Tang Renjian warned last month that the country’s winter wheat harvest will be poor after wheat growing regions were hit by major flooding.

Beyond the agricultural impacts of a warming world, catastrophic weather events in key ports ranging from Baltimore to the Black Sea could suddenly stop exports. Food prices will rise, and with them the chance of internal unrest, like what we are already seeing in Sri Lanka and Pakistan. Chronically food-insecure regions, such as the Horn of Africa and the Sahel, will be hit by the double whammy of drought and high prices, reducing both governmental and international aid agencies’ abilities to provide for a famished populace.

Again we see the “one-degree of warming” scare. Does Bill Gates really think a return to the climate of the Little Ice Age would improve food production?

In the real world, output of cereal crops has tripled since the 1960s, and set yet another record in 2020:

chart

https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#compare

And, heatwaves or not, exactly the same trend is visible in India for wheat, where the main factor is not temperature but the monsoon. The recent heatwave has hit crop yields, as often happens in India, and the Indian government has now cut its forecast harvest from a record 111 million tonnes to 100 million, which would still be the third highest on record:

 

chart(2)

Weather events have always disrupted food production somewhere in the world, and will continue to do so. But there is no evidence that the tiny amount of warming in recent years has impacted this in any way.

On the contrary, a combination of better technology, bioengineering, higher levels of carbon dioxide and longer growing season will continue to lead to ever higher food production and reduced hunger around the world.

15 Comments
  1. In The Real World permalink
    May 15, 2022 1:16 pm

    The Green loonies are getting more desperate with their lies .
    Over the last 50 odd years , crop production has increased by 280% , which is over twice the population increase https://ourworldindata.org/crop-yields.

    So increased CO2 has been a benefit to the world . The vast majority of the increase has come from natural sources , and the human produced amount is so tiny as to be insignificant .
    But the facts have never stopped the Global Warming lies from getting more ridiculous .

  2. Broadlands permalink
    May 15, 2022 2:34 pm

    “We are already living in a one-degree warmer world, and we are already seeing more pests, more droughts, more heat. If we continue on this trajectory, to 1.5°C or even 2°C, all hell will break loose.”

    Hello! Try living in a world without oil. Without fuels for transportation because lowering CO2 emissions to zero by 2050 is the goal. Something will break loose and it won’t be pleasant.

    • jimlemaistre permalink
      May 15, 2022 4:03 pm

      I am sorry Mr. Broadlands but you are being propagandized . . . over the last 10,000 years temperatures have been going up and down by 2 degrees about every 1,000 years sometimes 1,5 degrees . . . sometimes 2 degrees . . . NATURE has ALWAYS controlled this . . . NOT humans . . . we are just big dogs making a noise in the Elephant’s room . . . get real!

      • Harry Passfield permalink
        May 15, 2022 5:31 pm

        Did you miss the quote-marks, Jim? BL is the very last person to be ‘propagandised’.

      • jimlemaistre permalink
        May 16, 2022 1:59 am

        Good catch Mr. Passfield ! . . . OOPS

    • Matt Dalby permalink
      May 15, 2022 9:21 pm

      Quite agree. There’s an estimated 25 million tonnes of wheat in Ukraine that can’t be exported because of the war. What do the green lunatics expect Ukraine to do with their exports in the future without fossil fuel powered cargo ships?
      Harvests are likely to be lower this year because of a shortage of fossil fuel derived fertilisers from Russia. What do green lunatics think will happen in the future if there are no more fossil fuels produced and no more fertiliser? Hint, take a look at Sri Lanka.
      We may be facing long term problems with global food supply, but it will be because governments have listened to the eco-nutters not because of an increase in carbon dioxide.

      • jimlemaistre permalink
        May 16, 2022 1:53 am

        Yup !

  3. Martin Brumby permalink
    May 15, 2022 2:47 pm

    We are definitely seeing more pests.

    Especially the mandacious barstewards who dance to Bill and Melinda’s tune.

  4. Cheshire Red permalink
    May 15, 2022 5:34 pm

    An endless production line of lies from the Green Blob.
    Deception, outright lies and a refusal to have any sort of honest discussion are their hallmarks.

  5. marlene permalink
    May 15, 2022 9:45 pm

    People are being censored for what their government calls “mis-dis-mal-information because it’s only the state’s mis-dis-mal-information they will tolerate. Collectively, we must bide the beat of the State’s drum – or else. Well, the world’s been through tyrants likes these before, and we don’t cotton to such egregious censorship. Especially in a free, sovereign country.

    • bobn permalink
      May 16, 2022 1:03 am

      Yes marlene, but i’m struggling to find any country i can still call free and sovereign. Not here in the West. Maybe they’re in the southern hemisphere? Oops not Aus or NZ anymore. The search continues.

  6. Phoenix44 permalink
    May 16, 2022 7:22 am

    A small increase in global average temperatures caused largely by higher minimums and higher temperatures in the Arctic is not going to have any effect on food production.

    These claims are not based on even the fantasies of the modellers.

    • jimlemaistre permalink
      May 16, 2022 7:52 am

      Well . . . as any regular contributor to this site will tell you . . . I do NOT believe in Man-Made climate change . . . however Nature is changing. Last year as one example, Canada’s production of Canola and wheat were both down by 40% thanks to a Heat Wave during the summer months, and that did extend down into the USA. Then in the Early fall, where I live, Vancouver, we had a single storm that brought 9″ of rain in 24 hours and 12″ of rain in that same week, PS if you track that storm it continued across Canada, then the Atlantic and then into Europe that brought extensive flooding and it continued on into Asia . . . Nature is changing in some fairly significant ways . . . as it always has. Let’s NOT be glib about the consequences or the potentials. No it is NOT man-made but the evolving changes are real . . . not to be ignored . . .

  7. europeanonion permalink
    May 16, 2022 9:25 am

    A segway too far. It was once de rigueur to inter-mix footage of napalm exploding in any narrative to enforce the posturing on the left, whatever the topic. Our take on such presentation now inevitably cuts to climate change. Why think when you can cut and paste?

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