Hurricane Idalia
By Paul Homewood
Sky have gone into full Goebbels mode with this pack of lies:
Heaven knows where they got “unprecedented” from. The headline was probably written even before landfall.
In fact it made landfall as a Cat 3, with sustained winds of 125 mph and central pressure of 949 MB:
There have been 46 other US landfalling hurricanes with 949 MB and lower:
https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hurdat/All_U.S._Hurricanes.html
Initial reports from Fox suggest that storm surge so far has been much less than forecasts of 16ft suggested, though high tide has still to arrive. Maximum surge now is expected to be in the range of 7-11 ft:
![[Image of cumulative wind history]](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT10/refresh/AL102023_peak_surge+png/151539_peak_surge.png)
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/151539.shtml?peakSurge#contents
Sky have resorted to the rapid intensification nonsense to make it appear to be an extreme event, claiming that it is due to climate change:
We simply do not have any reliable data prior to the satellite data to know whether this sort of rapid intensification is in any way unusual. What made Idalia harder to prepare for was the direction it took, as it ran straight north out of the Caribbean, after forming there as a tropical depression on Saturday.
Most Atlantic hurricanes are tracked across the ocean, even before they actually form, giving plenty of warning.
The bottom line is that Idalia was no different to dozens of other hurricanes which have hit the US in the past.
To pretend that it is unprecedented simply shows just how dishonest our media has become.
UPDATE
I suspect the “Unprecedented” claim may have come from US reports. Fox, for instance, that Idalia is the strongest hurricane to strike the Big Bend area – especially near Cedar Key – in 125 years, dating back to an unnamed 1896 storm.
That stretch of coastline is, of course, tiny, about 50 or so miles long.
By the same token, most of the Florida coast has never been hit by a major hurricane, because the strongest winds in a hurricane rarely extend more than a few miles from the centre.
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NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT 
Interesting that she describes the attribution process. Of course the model of bo human CO2 cannot be checked in any way whatsoever so its totally meaningless. Since it’s essentially a model since around 1850, the chances of it being correct are zero. Quite how any scientist has convinced themselves otherwise us beyond me. The models cannot even backcast very well.
‘It is too soon to assess the role of climate change in Hurricane Idalia.’
Then you go on to mention it a half dozen times, anyway. “We can’t blame it on climate, so we are going to blame it on climate.”
‘It takes time to figure that out, by running computer models that represent the current climate and comparing them with those that simulate the Earth had humans not warmed it.’
Wut? Word salad at best, but really just plain stupid.
The all-seeing Gamecock is going to make the bold prediction that they will determine, “Yes, climate change made it more likely.”
‘We also know that climate change is warming the oceans.’
Data free assertion. Anyway, Idalia was not affected by ‘warming oceans,’ it was only affected by the eastern Gulf. Just like Global Mean Temperature, nothing/no one actually experience ‘warming oceans.’
‘And it is heat in the water that fuels tropical cyclones, giving them their energy.’
Uhh . . . Gulf of Mexico in late August is gonna be hot. Every year. Late summer water temperature in the tropical North Atlantic is NOT a limiting factor on hurricane development. It’s ALWAYS hot enough.
‘Climate change is therefore creating the conditions in which more powerful storms can form, intensify rapidly and remain intense until they reach land, while carrying more water.’
So it was caused by climate change? You said it was too soon to tell. Now, it’s not?
‘That’s the verdict of World Weather Attribution, a leading group of scientists who are paid to attribute extreme weather events to climate change.’
Fixed it.
Victoria Seabrook, climate reporter, presents us with science-free, formulaic dogma.
So did MMGW cause the similar or larger hurricane in 1896?
The 1935 Labor Day hurricane came onto the Florida mainland near Cedar Key on September 4th. Much of the reporting about this hurricane is from the FL Keys, especially Long Key on Labor Day. Hurricane Idalia came to land at Keaton Beach, about 58 miles north.
If they were trying to prove this Atlantic hurricane was radically different than all the many others in the last decades/centuries they failed.
Whether so-called climate change – or just slight warming since the early 1800s – ‘boosts’ hurricanes is a recurring topic. They argue here that a warmer (than what?) atmosphere can hold more moisture and make the hurricane season longer. But none of that tells us the cause(s) of any warming, so the rest is the usual alarmist assumptions.
https://phys.org/news/2023-08-climate-boosts-hurricanes.html
“The warmer the atmosphere is, the greater the capacity for water,” he said. “This can mean increased intense precipitation events.”
Wait . . . if the atmosphere can hold more water, wouldn’t you have less intense precipitation events?
So it’s like a selective holding more water? Holds more before the storm, but less afterwards?
https://twitter.com/JohnCookne72201/status/1697139211013423398?s=20
“Columbia University Center on Global Energy Policy” (….No me neither!) run a one month Energy Fellowship https://www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/programs/energy-journalism-fellows/
Seemingly this is where journos are taught the fine arts of Goebellistic deceit.
You will notice SKY’s attack dog and author of the above bullshit article, Victoria Seabrook, is one of their evil spawn. Note how many mainstream media send their staff to this grooming centre.
What is worse though, is her linked bio states:
“Prior to her role as Sky News’s climate reporter, she worked as the science producer, telling all science and climate stories for TV, and as a journalist on Sky’s Ocean Rescue campaign, investigating plastic pollution and the broken recycling system.”
She hasprecisely ZERO science qualifications so I guess par for the propaganda she inflicts on the restof us.
And yes this is a complete Ad Hom but, God she looks evil.
Looking deeper into the course, it states “There is no cost for attending the EJF seminar. EJF will cover the costs of air or train travel and hotel lodging.”
Okay, who is funding this one month course including air fares and hotel bills?
What are the funder’s motives?
‘What is known about climate change
One-eye catching example: on July 24 a buoy off the southern tip of Florida recorded an alarming peak temperature of 101.1 degrees Fahrenheit (38.4 Celsius), readings more commonly associated with hot tubs, and a possible new world record.’
Lie. The buoy is inshore, in Manatee Bay, a shallow, dark water lagoon.
What is known about climate change is that its disciples lie.
I’ve been caught out by the current NHC style that links to the latest version of its graphics instead of to a permanent URL. If you want to pick out a particular one, you have to go via the archive page and then graphics archive and then the item you want
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA_graphics.php?product=peak_surge
Then you have to navigate to and save the particular image for the version you want to your computer for posting. (e.g. from advisory 14)
The storm surge image in the article now relates to the last forecast they made.