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WMO Demolish NOAA/NASA Claims Of Hottest Year

January 17, 2015

By Paul Homewood





If anybody is still in any doubt that it is UNSCIENTIFIC to make claims about hottest years, without taking into account error bars, I would advise what the WMO had to say on the issue in their report on global temperatures for 2006:


“All temperature values have uncertainties, which arise mainly from gaps in data coverage. The size of the uncertainties is such that the global average temperature for 2006 is statistically indistinguishable from, and could be anywhere between, the first and the eighth warmest year on record.”

  1. Rud Istvan permalink
    January 17, 2015 6:33 pm

    Paul, apparently NASA and NOAA know that, calculated the probabilities, but did not refer to them in the 2014 press announcements. Judith Curry spotted the official doc once Gavin had tweeted it. The link is far downthread over at Climate Etc. So the poltiticized media spin is now transparently self evident. Regards.

  2. Ron C. permalink
    January 17, 2015 7:53 pm

    The situation for warmists is dire. Since they fundamentally believe rising CO2 causes rising temperatures, and CO2 continues to rise, temperatures cannot be seen to decrease. They can talk around a plateau, calling it a “pause”, but they absolutely must prevent a decline. First they got rid of the high temperatures in the 1930s, then 1998 went, now 2014 is the new record. Yet future years must surpass this last one, in order to hide a decline. Future cooling is not an option.

  3. January 17, 2015 8:39 pm

    Inasmuch as the CO theory has largely been discredited as the main culprit of GW, proponents have now begun substituting another culprit, METHANE. Therefore the battle will shift from one gas to another while ignoring the true cause, the Sun which we need but are powerless to change.

    • Nathaniel Chase permalink
      February 24, 2015 8:13 am

      It is not only the Sun, but also The Australian, the Wall Street Journal, Fox News, and a number of other contributors, like the Telegraph.

  4. January 17, 2015 10:15 pm

    Reblogged this on Climate Ponderings.

  5. January 17, 2015 10:32 pm

    Thanks Paul. Hottest year was already claimed months ago… This was thus no surprise, but if it wasnt for december… The mere fact that these “scientists” at NASA and NOAA dont care/mention the uncertainties of the numbers shows they are not scientists but politically driven manipulators.

  6. TonyM permalink
    January 21, 2015 2:55 am

    If NOAA and NASA are using “adjusted” surface temperature data from the very suspect surface temperature transmitters, the claim becomes even more comical. Unfortunately, the press is a powerful medium and most people don’t look past the headline.

  7. Nathaniel Chase permalink
    January 31, 2015 7:34 am

    Account for methane venting from Siberia, and shallow seas.


  1. hot claims, Gore and the ‘big loser’ … | pindanpost
  2. GISS ‘Hottest Year’ Claims On Dodgy Ground | The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)
  3. Hottest Year Claim: Miniscule Change in Imaginary Number | NoFrakkingConsensus
  4. 2014: The Most Dishonest Year on Record | Atlas Monitor

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