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Cold Summer In UK Continues

August 5, 2015
tags: ,

By Paul Homewood 

 

 image

 https://youtu.be/spAbRiG2cB4

 

 

As I indicated a couple of weeks ago, July has been another miserably cold affair, despite a couple of hot days at the start of the month.

The UK as a whole has been 0.7C below the 1981-2010 average, with the west and north particularly cool. In Scotland, it was the coldest July since 1998.

 

 

 

July 2015 Mean temperature 1981 - 2010 anomaly

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/anomacts

 

This is the third cool month on the trot, making the May to July start to the holiday season the coldest since 1996.

 

image

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/datasets/Tmean/date/UK.txt

 

 

Needless to say, the Met Office did not spot this coming at the end of April:

 

image

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/l/l/A3_plots-temp-MJJ_v2.pdf

 

The best their “observations, models and expert judgement” could come up with was  – “not much of a clue really, but it’s global warming, innit?” 

[Interestingly, they  mention the cold Atlantic, but say it will not significantly influence conditions until later in the year. Cold winter anyone?]

  

Despite a mild winter and early spring, UK temperatures year to date are now running 0.2C below the 1981-2010 average.

 

image

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/datasets/Tmean/date/UK.txt

21 Comments
  1. August 5, 2015 9:59 pm

    I see that map shows less cold temperatures around Tyneside, can’t say I’ve noticed. But seriously, it is mildly intriguing that it appears the urban part of Northumberland/Tyne and Wear that shows as warmer than the surrounding countryside.

    • David taylor permalink
      August 6, 2015 8:39 am

      I wonder whether this is because the met office reading is taken at Newcastle airport ?

  2. August 5, 2015 10:02 pm

    Reblogged this on the WeatherAction News Blog.

  3. Joe Public permalink
    August 5, 2015 10:11 pm

    “Overall, the probability that the UK-mean temperature for May-June-July will fall into one of our five categories is 100%.”

    There, that’s fixed it for them.

  4. August 5, 2015 10:40 pm

    Paul, TRUTH IS REVEALED ON 70th HIROSHIMA ANNIVERSARY

    As reported today in comments on the end of WWII in Japan Times,

    http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2015/08/05/national/history/japan-times-reported-atomic-bombings-hiroshima-nagasaki/#.VcJm8Nm9Kc3

    In August 1945 while standing in the ruins of Hiroshima, Kuroda correctly realized, “the birth of the world may have been just like this.”

    In 1956, Kuroda predicted the natural nuclear reactor that was discovered in the Oklo uranium mine at Oklo in 1972.

    In 1960, Kuroda reported decay products from extinct Plutonium-244 in Earth’s atmosphere.

    In 1964, Marvin Rowe and Kuroda discovered decay products from extinct Plutonium-244 in the Pasamonte meteorite.

    Later, Kuroda and Myers used the decay products from Uranium-238 and Plutonium-244 in the Earth, Moon and meteorites to show our chemical elements were made in a super-nova explosion five billion years (5 Ga) ago at the birth of the solar system.

    For seventy years (1945-2015) truth about Earth’s heat source and the Creator, Destroyer and Sustainer of atoms in the solar system have been hidden from the public.

    Click to access Solar_Energy.pdf

  5. Coeur de Lion permalink
    August 6, 2015 5:26 am

    Yesterday the Met Office got a hammering on BBC R4 Today programme esp their ‘climate change’ forecasting. ‘Should it be privatised?’. “No one would buy it” heh heh. This was unusual and nice to see. Costs also mentioned.

  6. August 6, 2015 7:05 am

    I don’t recall this year having an early spring. Last year definitely did, but this spring the plants in my garden were well behind.

    • Ben Vorlich permalink
      August 6, 2015 10:44 am

      Philip,
      as a school holiday visitor to the East Midlands all I can add is that it hasn’t been particularly warm there during any of our times in Derby.

  7. August 6, 2015 7:22 am

    When the Met office and IPCC give probabilities they are like bookies odds but without any commitment to the punter. I first noticed this trend to pretence at scientific probability (i.e. implying a relationship to probability-distribution of events) when looking at the radiative forcing function that drives global warming (or cooling).

    IPCC then used it repeatedly in their summaries for policy makers.

    Further abuse of science to further political goals: the scientists involved should be drummed-out of their ivory towers. They are merely giving an opinion a subjective value.

  8. August 6, 2015 7:35 am

    Forecasts stating a 20% chance of rain etc are pointless. I want to know if it will rain, yes or no!

  9. Eliza permalink
    August 6, 2015 8:29 am

    People do notice…long term. I’d say the AGW movement would be losing about 3% believers per year as the earth does not warm up visibly to them. Their down to 50% so give it another 10 years to vanish.. LOL

  10. Hugh permalink
    August 6, 2015 10:06 am

    Well. Yeah, its been very cold in many parts of Europe during the summer.

    What does it prove, other than that Met is not really up to their forecasts?

    I’m quite tired of using weather as an argument related to global warming. Only global trend spanning at least 15 years is important. The pause is becoming very important, since it shows the most extreme models are broken.

  11. Bloke down the pub permalink
    August 6, 2015 10:55 am

    Needless to say, the Met Office did not spot this coming at the end of April:

    Never mind though, I’m sure they’ll still get their bonuses, bless their cotton socks.

  12. August 6, 2015 12:20 pm

    A cooler July?
    You must be mistaken,
    Incorrect readings
    Must have been taken;
    We have global warming,
    The science is settled,
    So before you report temperatures
    Make sure they’ve been fettled!

    http://rhymeafterrhyme.net/real-world-observations-a-threat-to-us-all/

  13. Martyn Farmer permalink
    August 6, 2015 12:32 pm

    Paul, did you hear the BBC’s Radio 4 The World Tonight News feature – How Global Warming & rises in Sea Level have contributed to an increase in the number of rapes of teenage girls in Bangladesh? Or was I already asleep and having a ridiculous dream?

  14. August 8, 2015 1:51 am

    Hi Paul, talking of things cooling down. I’m happy to report that outgoing long wave IR is up and the same time as the temperature is down. Exactly contrary to the classical climate models. The study is based on the same time period as the ‘The Bet’. All the best. http://www.kiwithinker.com/2015/08/global-energy-emissions-during-the-climate-bet/

Trackbacks

  1. Met Office economy with truth: Scotland coldest July since 1998 | Scottish Sceptic
  2. The ice age cometh – Iceland has coldest summer in over 20 years | The k2p blog

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