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Cold Atlantic Brings Gales To UK

November 29, 2015

By Paul Homewood 

   

If anybody is wondering why us lucky blighters in Britain have had plenty of wet and windy weather lately, the BBC spell it out concisely.

Quite simply, there is a mass of extremely cold air in the northern part of the Atlantic, coming up against mild air to the south. It is precisely this stark differential which brought much worse storms in the Little Ice Age, and which global warming/polar amplification were supposed to reduce.

 

 

ScreenHunter_3135 Nov. 29 16.22

 

image

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/34958309

 

 

As I pointed out a few weeks ago, this cold air is associated with some extremely cold sea surface temperatures, some 2 degrees colder than average.

 

sst_anom

http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_daily.php?plot=ssa&inv=0&t=cur

 

The Arctic is, contrary to popular assertion, turning very cold, with DMI showing sea ice extent at its highest level for this time of year since at least 2005.

 

icecover_current

http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/old_icecover.uk.php

23 Comments leave one →
  1. rah permalink
    November 29, 2015 5:06 pm

    The meteorological fact that it takes contrast in temperatures and/or pressures to produce violent weather/winds is obviously lost on the alarmists based on their many predictions for increases in violent weather due to warming.

    • Retired Dave permalink
      November 29, 2015 5:27 pm

      No rah – all you need is one extra molecule of CO2 in every 10,000 molecules of air. Those storms don’t like it.

  2. Retired Dave permalink
    November 29, 2015 5:13 pm

    Any meteorologist knows that to get more wind energy in the Northern Hemisphere you need an increased temperature gradient between the Pole and the Equator – it is what drives it all.

    When alarmists first said that the Arctic would warm faster than the rest of the hemisphere and then in the next breath told us storms in the Atlantic would be stronger and more frequent we knew we were being fed steer droppings.

    • NeilC permalink
      November 29, 2015 5:39 pm

      As you say, the sad fact is 97% of climate alarmists know virtually nothing about meteorology and its short and long term effects.

      • November 30, 2015 12:41 pm

        That would be 75 climate alarmists. whittled out of the vast remaining database of 77.

  3. November 29, 2015 5:31 pm

    I would like to participate but am having ongoing trouble with emails that seem to get blocked from some sources, including Not…. and WUWT, where I usually ask for any replies to be notified to me by email. Cannot sort this problem by myselg, and neither can my provider. Has anyone any suggestions?

    • November 29, 2015 6:36 pm

      email notification is notoriously unreliable and sometimes needs enabling or it stops
      If you can find you email subscriptions page, might be waiting for you to enable. Or maybe not.
      To get fast notify of articles and maybe comments this is superb
      https://en.support.wordpress.com/jabber/

    • November 29, 2015 6:53 pm

      Are they being deleted by your spam filter?
      Sometimes that happens to mine.

  4. polemic permalink
    November 29, 2015 5:38 pm

    Should we not look at total arctic ice without masking seen here http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icecover.uk.php ?

    • November 29, 2015 7:10 pm

      There is also the difference that the masked one looks at 30% ice coverage, rather than 15%.

      DMI regard both as vaild

    • Billy Liar permalink
      November 29, 2015 11:51 pm

      Plus there’s only 4 years of history on the absolute extent graph.

      • John F. Hultquist permalink
        November 30, 2015 12:36 am

        funny

  5. NeilC permalink
    November 29, 2015 5:42 pm

    Did you notice that the UKMO, got Met Eirann to name storm clodagh. From what I’ve seen from observations today it looks like Named storms 3 UKMO/ME 0.

  6. John F. Hultquist permalink
    November 29, 2015 5:57 pm

    The first image shows “Clodagh” way over in the Gulf of Riga, or there about.
    I thought, that’s funny — then I wondered if that was the name of the blue-dress weather presenter. But being an internet sleuth of stupendous ability, I quickly learned her name is Helen. My theory demolished by fact.

    Then I find Britain has been battered by severe gales of up to 70 mph as Storm Clodagh

    Ah! Neither the river of the Comeragh Mountains nor a female deity, but rather a name usurped by the over excited weather folks to elevate a slightly stronger storm than usual into the ranks of global warming hysteria.
    Uff da!

    • November 29, 2015 7:11 pm

      It’s the forecast for tomorrow, John!

    • Billy Liar permalink
      November 29, 2015 11:53 pm

      There’s an anticyclone called MONDAY at bottom right of the chart!

      • John F. Hultquist permalink
        November 30, 2015 12:38 am

        That “funny” was intended to go here.

  7. November 29, 2015 6:44 pm

    Bit rough in N.West England today.

    ‘Gales of 75mph are expected in the region and the weather has already caused traffic disruption, with a number of roads blocked by fallen trees.’
    http://www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/news/liverpool-news/public-warned-stay-away-new-10521041

  8. November 29, 2015 6:57 pm

    I thought it was because the Jet stream was centred over the UK at the moment.

  9. rah permalink
    November 29, 2015 7:25 pm

    You know you folks aren’t out of the woods after the winter. It is likely that this current El Nino will be followed by a deep La Nina starting next year. Typically during a La Nina year the SSTs in the tropical Atlantic spike up but at the same time the SSTs in your northern waters would be expected to remain lower than normal due to the negative AMO. And there’s that contrast again. Of course we in the US will get it worse because nice break of over a decade now we’ve enjoyed without a major (CAT 3 or higher) Hurricane coming ashore is bound to end with the much more active tropical storm season that should result. Of course I’m just a truck driver and don’t know much so take that all with a grain of salt.

  10. November 29, 2015 7:29 pm

    Wonder if the meja will mention the massive recovery of polar ice: they were very quick to claim doom when it looked as though it was going to be a minimum a few months back….silly me, forgot Paris COP21.

  11. November 30, 2015 1:12 pm

    My family and I were caught in the Great Appalachian Thanksgiving Snow Storm of 1950. I was 6 and my parents, 2 older brothers and I were headed back to WV after spending Thanksgiving with friends in Michigan. Traffic slid to a halt in Ohio as the snow fell and drifted in the high winds. We had chains on the car which Ohioans did not use. We also had food, blankets and warm clothing. Finally someone came to the car and got us out to spend the night on a farmhouse floor with about 20 other people. We heard that, with chains, you could get through to Akron. One angry trucker w/ a load of new cars vowed to “smear” us if we tried to get around him. Others got him into a service station w/ a lunch counter while we slipped out and made it to Akron. At the motel we found that the traffic was being held on the PA Turnpike and with chains we could get to Pittsburgh and then to Uniontown. We then came on to Morgantown, but could not get up our long driveway. So my brothers and dad shoveled out enough of the neighbor’s drive to hold our car and we all mushed up to the house. I just saw on the internet that there were winds of 110 mph in New Hampshire. We had about 36″ of snow, but Pickens, WV had 57″. School was cancelled for the only time while I was in either public schools or WVU.

    Oh, and no one named the storm, but people have heard of the “Great Thanksgiving Snow Storm of 1950.” We experienced it, up close and personal.

  12. Stephen permalink
    December 12, 2015 8:11 am

    There’s some recent work been published on cold North Atlantic Ocean and link to storminess. Looks like we will get back to normal stormy levels in next few years, but it will feel like extreme storminess to people with just 10 or so years for context.

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