Is Winter Rainfall Becoming More Extreme?
By Paul Homewood
Is winter rainfall becoming more extreme in the UK?
There are three long running and high quality sites, which are published by the Met Office – Oxford, Durham and Armagh.
Below are the charts showing the Top 50 rainfall months during December, January and February.
These three sites offer a pretty good section of the country, and I would invite anybody to identify an increase in extreme rainfall at any of them.
The nearest any has come to a record month in recent years is Oxford, with 146.9mm in January 2014. This was, of course, the month when we had massive floods down the Thames Valley. Yet even that was less than the 147.9mm which fell in December 1914.
It is easy to see how the impression of extreme rainfall increasing can be given if a start point of, say, 1950 or 1960 is used, a common trick.
I look forward to the Met Office sharing this information with the public!