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Climate change could bring tourists to UK–David Viner 2006

September 6, 2017
tags: ,

By Paul Homewood

 

In 2006, David “Snow is a thing of the past” Viner promised that Blackpool would soon become the new Benidorm:

 

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Climate change could "dramatically" change the face of British tourism in the next 20 years, with European tourists flocking to the UK to escape unbearably hot continental summers, experts say.

Research shows that European tourists may choose to holiday in Britain as resorts nearer to home become too hot.

Weather changes may provide revival opportunities for northern seaside towns such as Blackpool and put new strains on roads and development in southern coastal resorts, a study in the Journal of Sustainable Tourism said.

Academic David Viner, a researcher at the University of East Anglia’s Climatic Research Unit in Norwich, produced the report after analysing the work of experts around the globe.

"The likelihood [is] that Mediterranean summers may be too hot for tourists after 2020, as a result of too much heat and water shortages," the study said.

There were "opportunities for the revival of northern European resorts, including Blackpool, in the next 20 years, as climate change and rising transport costs offer new holiday opportunities," it said.

The study added: "Climate change will impact on many holiday destinations. For many this will be problematic, for others it will produce benefits."

https://www.theguardian.com/travel/2006/jul/28/travelnews.uknews.climatechange

 

Well, how did that work out?

Since that report in 2006, five English summers have been colder than the 1981-2010 average.

The warmest was in 2013, but that was only the 13th warmest since 1910.

 

England Mean daily maximum temp - Summer

 

Only one summer has been drier than average.

 

England Rainfall - Summer

And as for sunshine, there has not been much demand for Factor 30!

 

England Sunshine - Summer

 

As for those continental holidays, tourists are flocking there in ever greater numbers:

 

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https://www.thelocal.es/20151203/spain-enjoys-boost-in-tourist-numbers-to-welcome-60-million-so-far-in-2015

And climate scientists wonder why people have so little trust in them!

14 Comments
  1. dave permalink
    September 6, 2017 10:47 am

    So we could have driven a hard bargain for our Brexit, based on the fact that all the Eurocrats wanted to come to Blackpool for their hols! That is, if the ‘climate experts’ (where is an exorcist when you need one?) had known their asses from their elbows.

  2. September 6, 2017 11:01 am

    Reblogged this on Climatism and commented:
    “Escape unbearably hot continental summers, experts say.” What goes on with climate ‘scientists’? Their entire activist rant, armed with complete deindustrialisation of the planet, only hopes to curb “2degC” rise by 2100.

    That said, I live in Australia and if these record blizzards don’t stop dumping snow, I might travel to Viner’s UK – the place where the “thing of the past” resides.

  3. Jackington permalink
    September 6, 2017 11:05 am

    Well dug out Paul but to be fair, there are still 3 years to go, Viner may well be right. On the other hand…

  4. Green Sand permalink
    September 6, 2017 11:17 am

    Yes 2006 was a year of hot heads!

    ‘The hottest year since 1659 spells global doom’

    “Central England sweltered in temperatures that are likely to make this year the hottest since records began in 1659, according to a report published by meteorologists.

    Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development warned that climate change could devastate the ski resorts of Europe within a few decades……

    …..In Britain, the temperatures recorded this year have been remarkable, said Prof Jones….

    ….The new figures show that not only have individual months set record temperatures but, more significantly, extended periods have also done so. Prof Jones said the margins of increase were “enormous”…..

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1536852/The-hottest-year-since-1659-spells-global-doom.html

    Ho hum

  5. Athelstan permalink
    September 6, 2017 11:35 am

    Short of some major tectonic shift, and never rule it out – who knows what is happening in the Afar ‘triple junction’ only the geological timescale is a factor – natch! The Med climate ain’t movin’ north.

    The problem is, David Viner couldn’t guarantee the sun in Blackpool, whereas Benidorm can. key word there is: “sun” and er ‘south’ – Bognor, Worthing, Bournemouth or Eastbourne a better bet than is Blackpool usually – here in the UK.

  6. September 6, 2017 12:52 pm

    Well southern Europe eg Rome. did have a severe heatwave for a couple of weeks when due to the position of the Jet stream they got African weather. Getting 35C instead of the normal 30C.
    However at that time UK’s weather was coming down from the Arctic, so it’s not proven the UK gained tourists from over heated parts.

    Beeboid sciency person Helen Czerski was on Twitter berating R4Today for airing Lawson : but strangely never complains about serial exaggerators like Wadhams, Pen Hadlow, Viner etc.

    • September 6, 2017 9:48 pm

      Paid propagandists support their own.

  7. September 6, 2017 1:50 pm

    http://climatechangepredictions.org/ Is a good website it also features this story. David Viner is of course the Camaty Jane of climate change, here are some other pearls of his wisdom:

    “With the pace of global warming increasing, some climate change experts predict that the Scottish ski industry will cease to exist within 20 years.“Unfortunately, it’s just getting too hot for the Scottish ski industry.” said David Viner, Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia The Guardian, 14 Feb 2004”

    According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event”.

    “Children just aren’t going to know what snow is,” he said.

    • nigel permalink
      September 6, 2017 5:04 pm

      “Children just aren’t going to know what snow is.”

      He was right about that. They are too busy, in their bedrooms tweeting, to look outside.

  8. stewgreen permalink
    September 6, 2017 1:59 pm

    .
    Norwich news : If anyone wants to find out GreenBlob get into the press so easily
    Friday As part of the Heritage Open Days, Archant EDP are opening their doors and offering an exclusive tour of the building on Friday 8th September.

  9. Tim Hammond permalink
    September 6, 2017 2:13 pm

    And don’t forget “rising transport costs” as his prediction too!

    I haven’t really noticed much change there either.

  10. Jack Broughton permalink
    September 6, 2017 7:09 pm

    Euan Mearns blog has an excellent analysis of a “Doom report” in the Scottish press.
    In the article he notes that the underlying support for the Doom-mongers is governmental and asks “why do they do this?” This vital question is not answered, it is easy to give a glib answer, but in my opinion it is the Emperor’s New Suit rather than any analysis that dominates governmental thinking. The press just love doom mongers.

  11. Bitter&twisted permalink
    September 6, 2017 9:11 pm

    David Viner is now “principal climate advisor” for some gullible outfit called Mott McDonald.
    They might as well have tossed a coin than to listen to Viner’s lunatic ravings.

  12. Ben Vorlich permalink
    September 6, 2017 9:15 pm

    I think it is much more likely that a continued fall in the value of the £ against other major currencies will increase tourism to the UK.

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