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Extreme Rainfall In England Not Getting Worse

October 11, 2018

By Paul Homewood

 

It is frequently claimed that rainfall is becoming more extreme because of global warming.

I have previously shown that data for England & Wales does not support this theory.

KNMI helpfully also provide graphs for the different regions that make up the England & Wales Precipitation Series. These are the monthly anomalies since 1873:

 

pHadSEEP_monthly_qc_a

pHadSWEP_monthly_qc_a

pHadCEP_monthly_qc_a

pHadNEEP_monthly_qc_a

pHadNWEP_monthly_qc_a

http://climexp.knmi.nl/selectindex.cgi?id=someone@somewhere

 

There is precious little evidence there that extreme rainfall is either becoming more common or intense in any of the regions. About the only spike is for the North West during the winter of 2015/16.

Just as significant is the fact that very dry months are also much less common than they used to be.

Yet another case where the facts don’t match the hype.

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9 Comments leave one →
  1. Phillip Bratby permalink
    October 11, 2018 8:54 pm

    The graphs look just like noise.

    • Phillip Bratby permalink
      October 12, 2018 6:25 am

      You could plot them backwards or upside down (à la Mann) and you would still draw the same conclusion.

      • Gerry, England permalink
        October 12, 2018 3:05 pm

        Or you can in something completely different at one end – Mike’s Nature Trick – and voila – hookeystick.

  2. Mack permalink
    October 11, 2018 10:13 pm

    Extreme rainfall? Of course it’s not getting just wetter. We’re also getting drier too aren’t we? And more windy. And we’re getting more blocking highs that stops all those lovely windmills working properly. And cloudier and sunnier and hotter and colder. And it’s all our fault. In the meantime, the ghost of King Canute is no doubt weeping. Over a millennia on from his bogus dual with the waves and ‘settled science’ proves that we have learnt nothing from his demonstration of the impotence of man in attempting to control Mother Nature.

  3. October 12, 2018 4:09 am

    Reblogged this on Climate Collections.

  4. October 12, 2018 4:53 am

    But what about Event Attribution studies that found otherwise?

    https://ssrn.com/abstract=2929159

    Also

    https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/07/10/event-attribution-science-a-case-study/

  5. Green Sand permalink
    October 12, 2018 9:16 am

    High Court decision pending:-

    ‘Campaigner to hear High Court injunction decision on Cuadrilla fracking’

    “The High Court will rule on Friday on whether to grant an order blocking Cuadrilla from fracking at its Preston New Road site in Lancashire pending a proposed legal challenge by Bob Dennett.

    Mr Dennett claims Lancashire County Council’s emergency response planning and procedures at the site are inadequate.

    After hearing several hours of submissions from Mr Dennett, the local authority and Cuadrilla on Thursday, Mr Justice Supperstone, sitting in London, said he would rule on whether to extend an existing temporary order at noon on Friday.

    Nathalie Lieven QC, for Cuadrilla, told the judge that her client “had been intending to start fracking tomorrow [Friday]”, but had “put that off to Saturday” in light of the late hearing.

    She added that “every day, it costs Cuadrilla £94,000 to keep all that kit and equipment on site”…..”

    https://www.eveningtelegraph.co.uk/2018/10/11/campaigner-to-hear-high-court-injunction-decision-on-cuadrilla-fracking/

    • Athelstan permalink
      October 12, 2018 1:43 pm

      fracking, is fracked in England, the numpties of green and the nimby’s are too powerful a lobby group and besides all judges sup deep at the font of cultural Marxism where all common sense long departed and demands of objective deliberation are frowned upon and regarded by the bench: as proletarians sheer effrontery.

      • Athelstan permalink
        October 12, 2018 2:04 pm

        Glory Be!

        “Fracking for shale gas can go ahead for the first time in the UK since it was linked with earthquakes in 2011.

        Energy firm Cuadrilla has drilled two wells at its site in Lancashire after being given the go-ahead to extract shale gas by the government in 2016.

        Campaigner Bob Dennett tried to prevent work starting, arguing in the High Court Lancashire County Council failed to properly assess any safety risks.

        But Mr Justice Supperstone said there was “no evidence” to support the claim.”

        BBC here

        I stand corrected and very glad of it – too.

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