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Climate Breakdown In 1948!

February 28, 2019

By Paul Homewood



The UK has broken the record for its warmest winter day for the second consecutive day, with a temperature of 21.2°C in Kew Gardens, London.

The UK has broken the record for its warmest winter day for the second consecutive day, with a temperature of 21.2°C in Kew Gardens, London.


There was a big song and dance about the new record temperature set at Kew this week, 21.2C or 70F.

We are told that summerlike temperatures at this time of year are unheard of. Caroline Lucas even ludicrously called it “climate breakdown


Yet back in March 1948, we had even higher temperatures early in the month, on the 9th:





The high of 75F recorded at Wealdstone that day is probably even more exceptional than the record at Kew this week , on the 26th.

We would expect March daytime temperatures to be maybe 4F higher than February, but given that there is only 11 days between 26th Feb and 9th March, the climatological difference for these dates would be much smaller, perhaps 2F.

So the temperature set at Wealdstone in 1948 would, in relative terms, be much more extreme than Kew’s.


It will probably come as no surprise that the meteorological set up in 1948 was very similar to this week’s, with high pressure sat over the south of England, and a deep low over Iceland, combining to pull up a warm airflow from Madeira:





While weather events such as this week’s and 1948’s are rare, they are just that – weather events.

Caroline Lucas and her alarmist friends should study a bit of history.

  1. HotScot permalink
    February 28, 2019 7:28 pm

    But….But……That can’t be true, surely.

    Those aren’t climate models or computer forecasts. Those are carefully hand crafted drawings which can’t be changed at the click of a mouse to suit the story of the moment!

  2. Chris permalink
    February 28, 2019 7:41 pm

    Dear Paul,

    Please don’t follow most of our fellow citizens – all apparently absent from English lessons at school – in writing “sat” which refers to the past in place of “sitting” which refers to the present:

    “Today high pressure (or whatever) sits – or is sitting – over the south of England”, whereas

    “Yesterday high pressure sat over the south of England …”

    • dave permalink
      March 1, 2019 8:24 am

      ‘Sat’ in Paul’s usage is ordinary in some dialects – especially ‘Yorkshire’ – but is not standard written English.

      However it can be used in standard, colloquial, English to express a feeling of constraint. You would usually say “I am sitting here here reading a book.” but occasionally you would say “I am sat here reading a book!” and mean “…”and I resent your attempt to make me move!”

  3. February 28, 2019 7:57 pm

    Reblogged this on Climate Collections.

  4. The Man at the Back permalink
    February 28, 2019 8:10 pm

    “Caroline Lucas and her alarmist friends should study a bit of history.”

    Paul – they are post-modern, they are not interested in history, facts or anything that smacks of reality. Agenda and lies are all they have. To be honest and fair to Caroline Lucas and her gang I don’t think they know they are lying half the time – as Daniel Boorstin said long ago

    “The greatest enemy of knowledge is not ignorance, it is the illusion of knowledge.”

    Anyone who gives the “Ice Age Now” website a 5 minute scan every day knows how COLD the northern hemisphere has been again this winter – snow and cold records broken all over the place, Canada, huge area of the USA, Europe, Russia, China etc. And not just for a couple of days like our sunny spell.

    But of course you knew that from all the coverage on the BBC and in The Grauniad.

    • Broadlands permalink
      February 28, 2019 9:00 pm

      Climate history now begins in 1979 when satellite coverage made surface data obsolete? Now those older temperatures before that have to be adjusted…lowered.

    • Gerry, England permalink
      March 1, 2019 1:59 pm

      Why seek the truth when being ignorant helps spread your alarmist religion?

  5. February 28, 2019 8:14 pm

    Reblogged this on WeatherAction News and commented:
    And how much UHI added in those intervening years? The 40s really had some exceptional weather at both ends of the spectrum. A repeat of that and Caroline Lucas’ had would explode.

  6. john cooknell permalink
    February 28, 2019 9:14 pm


    I remember sometime between 1963 and 1968 that we had a very warm few days in Feb, the temperature according to newspapers was 72 deg as I recall.

    I remember because I was at Secondary School and was delivering papers with the same headlines (minus Climate Change) pictures of people on the beach at Brighton etc. went to school in summer uniform.

    I tried to find the records but they are lost in the monthly Mean Tmax records. how do you get at the daily records?

    • February 28, 2019 9:57 pm

      You have to FOI the Met Office, otherwise they try to charge you!

    • Chris permalink
      February 28, 2019 10:06 pm

      You can find some information for free. On the Met Office Web-site click on learning and then online library and then observations (I think) then click on daily weather report . You will find reports for every day back to the late 19thC.

    • howardpaul permalink
      March 1, 2019 1:44 am

      I think you will find it was February 1965. That year, as a trainee manager, I was condemned to spend the whole of February in our Birkenhead workshop: a fate worse than death. But amidst the cold, and the gloom and the dereliction of that awful place, one memory still stands out. A blissfully sunny, warm day: walking out at lunchtime, not just in shirt sleeves, but with the sleeves rolled up, and sweating.

      It was also the year after I had been complimented on my university dissertation which essentially argued that the current interglacial was at an end, and global cooling was irreversible. That Birkenhead February heatwave seemed to be mocking me!

  7. February 28, 2019 10:59 pm

    …..and back in the real world we got up to a max of just +9c here today and with colder weather inbound for next week. The BBQ winter only lasted 2 days here 😦

    • Gerry, England permalink
      March 1, 2019 2:19 pm

      I thought it was chilly walking back from the station yesterday. North Lincolnshire – I wonder if you know my friend in Barnetby?

  8. dennisambler permalink
    February 28, 2019 11:52 pm

    Caroline Lucas and Layla Moran secured a debate on climate, MP’s not interested:

    “In the week that the UK experienced its hottest ever winter day, just a handful of government MPs attended a debate on climate change in parliament on Thursday.

    Layla Moran, the Liberal Democrat MP for Oxford West and Abingdon, said she had secured the discussion after being inspired by the thousands of UK schoolchildren who went on strike over climate change this month and wanted to thank them for forcing MPs into action.

    Mary Creagh, chair of the environmental audit committee, said politicians needed to shape and bend the financial system to invest in a green economy.

    “To achieve net zero [carbon emissions] we have to reduce our emissions rapidly and at scale in every area of our economy and our lives,” she said.

    Caroline Lucas, the Green MP for Brighton Pavilion, who secured the debate with Moran, said long-term climate targets had to be amended to net zero. She said even after all of the international conferences and pledges, the Earth was still set to warm by 3-4C.

    “Time is quickly running out to limit warming even to the 1.5 or 2 degree aspirations of the IPCC. We face a climate emergency … It calls for unprecedented boldness of vision and a new way of thinking.”

    • Gerry, England permalink
      March 1, 2019 2:03 pm

      Meanwhile Down Under, Jo Nova is looking at how all that free sun and wind results in eye-watering electricity costs for the leading states – Victoria and South Australia. Sadly they have the same problem that we do – who is there to vote for that isn’t mentally deranged on energy and global warming?

  9. Athelstan. permalink
    March 1, 2019 8:11 am

    Caroline Lucas greatly needs to invest in some down time in, a spa, secluded rest and recuperation centre, palm springs would suit.

    btw and hey, it’s just weather luv.

  10. Dave Styles permalink
    March 1, 2019 9:06 am

    And negligible wind continues into day 6 (daily averages between 3 to 8 % of demand). We’re going to need a bigger battery!

  11. Ann Walker permalink
    March 2, 2019 12:07 am

    When I was at school, we were not allowed to change from our school uniform coats to blazers until after the Easter holidays. I remember very clearly one year, in the early 60s, when we were in blazers in February, because it was so warm. This was in the Midlands.

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