Another Met Office Fail
March 5, 2019
By Paul Homewood
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/mohippo/pdf/public-sector/forecast-temp-fma-v2.pdf
While the Met Office were busy trumpeting the “record warm February”, for some reason they forgot to mention what they were forecasting at the end of January:
The influence of an SSW can persist for many weeks after its occurrence, so an increased likelihood of below-average temperatures will persist through February and into March.
Perhaps if they spent more effort on getting their forecasts right, and less on climate propaganda, we might all be grateful!
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Hahahahaha – inhales – hahahahahaha
+ 97%
Or perhaps, post Santer’s latest work, + 99.99999%
They are doing their best, what more can you expect?
Breath Joe, breath
“However, as Spring develops, there will be an overall trend for temperatures to rise”. How long did Deep Black have to think on that gem.
The focus on a single month can lead to fake trends and misleading soundbites, here are the CET daily maxima over all winters to 2016, November 1st to 31st March, there is no discernable trend in the peaks, but the troughs have been less severe in the 21st century, so far:
Hilarious! Thanks!
They could just admit that it isn’t possible to predict the weather more than two or three days out.
Even the BBC weather service stated there was no chance of the old 19 point whatever Celsius record being broken less than a week before it was – even though they were referring to the exceptionally mild weather to come.
It just goes to show the computer models don’t have much accuracy even 5 days out – let alone a century, or maybe they just underestimated how much the ‘usual suspect’ weather stations are being exponentially affected by UHI etc.
“While the Met Office were busy trumpeting the “record warm February”, for some reason they forgot to mention what they were forecasting at the end of January: The influence of an SSW can persist for many weeks after its occurrence, so an increased likelihood of below-average temperatures will persist through February and into March. Perhaps if they spent more effort on getting their forecasts right, and less on climate propaganda, we might all be grateful!”
Yes sir.
This is the problem of activism driven science.
Activism corrupts science such that the science is no longer recognizable as science.
Please see
https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/02/03/hidden-hand/
Don’t worry, Harrabin will be along shortly on the BBC to tell is of the Met Office failures and that, as they are so useless, the Met Office will be giving up doing all forecasts beyond 5 days. Waiting.
I see that the MO are forecasting a warmer than average M-A-M and CET is apparently running 3.6c above average, which surprises me slightly.
Click to access forecast-temp-mam-v2.pdf
Even though the weather has cooled down as far as daily max. temps are concerned, the minimums have also come right up, so March’s mean daily temp. is currently running warmer than February actually, and relative to the respective months! Stats are funny things.
They can’t forecast a month in advance yet are confident they can forecast 30 years from now. Totally delusional