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Guardian’s Maps Of Climate Catastrophe

February 12, 2020
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By Paul Homewood

 

As regular as clockwork, the Guardian wheels out one of its “cities underwater” warnings:

guardian underwater

A series of detailed maps have laid bare the scale of possible forest fires, floods, droughts and deluges that Europe could face by the end of the century without urgent action to adapt to and confront global heating.

An average one-metre rise in sea levels by the end of the century – without any flood prevention action – would mean 90% of the surface of Hull would be under water, according to the European Environment Agency.

English cities including Norwich, Margate, Southend-on-Sea, Runcorn and Blackpool could also experience flooding covering more than 40% of the urban area.

Across the North Sea, Dutch cities including the Hague, Rotterdam and Leiden were predicted to face severe floods from an average one metre sea-level rise, which is forecast if emissions rise 4C–6C above pre-industrial levels.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/feb/10/fires-floods-maps-europe-climate-catastrophe

 

Back in the real world, sea levels around Britain have been rising at about 1.9mm/year, with no sign of acceleration:

170-161_meantrend

170-053_meantrend

170-161_50yr

170-053_50yr

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station.shtml?id=170-053

 

At this rate, the Guardian’s 1 meter sea level rise will arrive by AD 2546!

29 Comments
  1. February 12, 2020 12:45 pm

    Is there no end to all this bed wetting hysteria

    • February 12, 2020 3:51 pm

      Guardian says the bed will wet itself before long.

  2. February 12, 2020 12:48 pm

    “A series of detailed maps have laid bare the scale of possible forest fires, floods, droughts and deluges that Europe could face by the end of the century”

    Maybe so but the real climate horror is cooking in the Arctic even as we speak.

    https://tambonthongchai.com/2020/02/11/agw-salinity-anomaly/

  3. Deroover marc permalink
    February 12, 2020 12:48 pm

    If you go to European environment agency that has published these “Informations” you will see that they are based on RCP8.5…

  4. Chaswarnertoo permalink
    February 12, 2020 12:59 pm

    So likely the next ice age will start before then. Why is Harlech castle ( built 1000 years ago) sea gate 4 metres above today’s sea level? ……..

    • Gerry, England permalink
      February 12, 2020 1:41 pm

      Did they plan ahead?

      • Michael Adams permalink
        February 12, 2020 3:00 pm

        I read long ago that basically the west side of the UK is rising and the East is sinking so Harlech, that used to be on the coast, had sea access and was partially surrounded by water. A couple of miles down the road is a hamlet called Ynys which the Welsh for Island. It is mostly surrounded by flat farmland which used to be under water when Harlech was built hence the old name. A local village called Talsarnau was flooded in 1927 and again in 1936 but not since as a new sea wall has done it’s job and of course, presumably the land has continued to rise.

  5. February 12, 2020 1:32 pm

    Isn’t much of Holland already below sea level?
    Canute’s message to his court still holds
    Do nowt and y’ll gan doon
    Ye canne stop not start the tides of climate change laddie.

  6. Pancho Plail permalink
    February 12, 2020 1:35 pm

    You really ought to give a health warning by any link to the Grauniad. Yes, I know I should have known better.
    It was particularly upsetting to read this, in the bit where they renounce fossil fuel advertising – “We will inform our readers about threats to the environment based on scientific facts, not driven by commercial or political interests.”

    • Gerry, England permalink
      February 12, 2020 1:43 pm

      I don’t think anyone goes to the Guardian for facts do they? You could say the same for much of the rest of the legacy media.

    • Kneel permalink
      February 13, 2020 3:05 am

      “We will inform our readers about threats to the environment based on scientific facts, not driven by commercial or political interests.”

      Ah, so they’re going to change then? Did they say when this transformation will occur?

  7. sid permalink
    February 12, 2020 1:38 pm

    Its always “could” or “might” isn’t it

  8. It doesn't add up... permalink
    February 12, 2020 1:40 pm

    Perhaps they should look at a map of Lelystad from 70 years ago, when it was just part of the Zuider Zee. Then note that today’s city lies some 3 metres below sea level.

  9. Joe Public permalink
    February 12, 2020 1:53 pm

    Credit where it’s due, Paul!

    That’s an amazing piece of software.

    Compare and contrast its predictions for the future coastline of East Anglia with that over a millennium ago of the ancient Kingdom of East Anglia.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kingdom_of_East_Anglia

    • February 12, 2020 5:50 pm

      You cannot expect these people to know that most of the areas they claim will be inundated… already *were* inundated before they were reclaimed, beginning with the Romans and continuing until the 1970s.

      Something similar appeared recently in the local paper (Norwich Evening News), where the map of predicted inundation and the map of the coastline in Roman times almost exactly corresponded.

  10. Gamecock permalink
    February 12, 2020 2:57 pm

    So it’s ‘global heating’ now?

    As an American, I’m not familiar with the afflictions in Hull. EIGHTY YEARS would seem to be enough time for anyone to move.

    ‘Any higher emissions scenario would lead to considerably greater climate change.’

    Greater? In what units is this climate change measured? Unless you can do quantification, you can’t have ‘greater.’

    WHERE is this climate change? No place on earth is experiencing a change in its climate. None. Double-ought zero.

    The article is utter nonsense, intended to scare children, and those with the intellect of children.

  11. Phoenix44 permalink
    February 12, 2020 3:23 pm

    It’s going to get 6 degrees hotter by when?

    Does any realistic scenario actually show that happening ever?

    • Jackington permalink
      February 12, 2020 8:20 pm

      Almost every day is hotter by 6 degree in the morning than it was the day before at night.

  12. Smiffy permalink
    February 12, 2020 4:43 pm

    I saw this article on WUWT yesterday. We must do something to stop or at least slow down this tidal wave(excuse the pun) of hypothetical nonsense. I just wish I knew how.
    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/02/10/we-must-fight-climate-extremists-before-they-upend-society/

  13. DMA permalink
    February 12, 2020 4:56 pm

    “an average one metre sea-level rise, which is forecast if emissions rise 4C–6C above pre-industrial levels.”
    This is a clue to their thought process–emissions are now measured in degrees yet there is no real evidence that Co2 emissions effect temperature. It is still hypothesis.

    • February 12, 2020 5:46 pm

      I noticed that. Perhaps they were referring to a single molecule of a 4 carbon compound, mebbe butane? If it rises to hexane, our goose is cooked.

    • Gamecock permalink
      February 12, 2020 6:48 pm

      ‘which is forecast if’

      What a stupid construct. I was a computer jock for 30 years, and I don’t know how to code that. Rankin has the intellect of a squash.

  14. MrGrimNasty permalink
    February 12, 2020 6:55 pm

    It’s not as if we couldn’t adapt/engineer and we would just stand still in our wet socks! Netherlands, obviously. But even in the UK Queenie opened a replacement pumping station the other day that makes land below sea level productive.

    https://www.lynnnews.co.uk/news/queen-opens-new-5-million-wolferton-pumping-station-9098653/

  15. Emrys Jones permalink
    February 12, 2020 8:58 pm

    There is a simple test to apply to all Grauniad articles. Does it have BTL comments? If not then they know they will get hammered by their readers because it’s total rubbish.

    • Ray Sanders permalink
      February 14, 2020 10:17 pm

      And that is why only “Opinion” pieces are now open to comments on the UK edition. On the Australian version they have all manner of tripe open to comments.which rather indicate the new audience they are looking for.

  16. Ray Sanders permalink
    February 14, 2020 10:14 pm

    From the Guardian article…..”English cities including Norwich, Margate, Southend-on-Sea, Runcorn and Blackpool could also experience flooding covering more than 40% of the urban area.”
    Well leaving aside the fact that only Norwich is a city, have the authors of this report actually been to any of these places?
    Take Margate – on the Isle of Thanet – which was an island in the days when the sea level was really much higher – there is absolutely no way that 40% of its urban area is close to sea level. It is after all mostly surrounded by cliffs and is mostly well over 25 metres AMSL according to my ordnance survey map AND the last time I was there yesterday.
    However if you go to google maps and the website “elevation finder” you will see their data is corrupted showing most of the area at 0 metres AMSL- even Fort Hill and Cliff Road!
    Clearly not a great deal of effort went into this “research”
    .

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