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BBC Alarmed By A Sunny Spring!

May 30, 2020

By Paul Homewood

 

h/t pardonmeforbreathing

 

 

Today’s BBC climate disaster propaganda:

 

 image

The UK has experienced its sunniest spring since records began in 1929, the Met Office has said.

It is also set to be the driest May on record for some parts of UK, including the driest in England for 124 years.

Some areas are already warning of drought conditions despite exceptionally wet weather and flooding earlier in the year.

But there are no plans for hosepipe bans yet, according to the water industry trade body Water UK.

The UK spent much of spring in lockdown due to the coronavirus pandemic, but thousands flocked to beaches last week to enjoy the sun following a slight easing of restrictions in England.

Only nine springs on record have topped 500 hours of sunshine but, by Wednesday, the UK had clocked up 573 hours.

While the Met Office’s full figures will not be available until Monday, the village of Benson in Oxfordshire is likely to have been the driest place, with "no measurable rain" falling in their rain bucket, BBC Weather meteorologist Matt Taylor said.

Explaining the prolonged sunny weather, he said the jet stream – strong winds driving much of the UK’s variable weather – was largely anchored to the north of the UK during spring. That allowed high pressure to build, whilst the rainy low pressure systems stayed out in the Atlantic.

"Some scientists say these ‘stalled’ weather patterns are a result of climate change and the warming that is taking place in the Arctic region could lead to more extreme weather events in future," he said.

Prof Liz Bentley, chief executive of the Royal Meteorological Society, said the swing from record-breaking wet weather to the months of sunshine was "unprecedented" and "concerning" because it showed how much the UK’s climate was changing.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-52849367

 

As usual with these events, the Met Office has jumped the gun, as they don’t yet even have the data for May.

But let’s examine the claim that “these ‘stalled’ weather patterns are a result of climate change and the warming that is taking place in the Arctic region”. The usual BBC tactics – “some scientists say”, “could”. Of course, it is not what scientists say that matters. It is what the data says.

And when we look at UK spring rainfall since 1862, there is quite simply no trend at all:

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-temperature-rainfall-and-sunshine-time-series

 

As for extremes, the driest spring was in 1893, and the last really dry spring was in 1984.

Indeed, it is absolutely clear that spring rainfall has been far less extreme in the last three decades, at both ends of the scale.

If there was any truth of stalled weather patterns, we would surely see that reflected in the record to date, regardless of this year’s data.

As for Arctic warming, I would ask what “warming” they are talking about:

image

http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php

 

As for the allegation that there is something unusual about the swing from a wet February to a dry spring, history tells us that British weather often changes from one extreme to another.

For instance, the graph above shows how 1979 was the second wettest spring on record. Yet the following spring was the sixth driest.

And back in 1947, England had just had the second coldest winter of the century, only to experience the wettest March.

 

In fact, as the Met Office themselves are fully aware, there is no need to invoke the Arctic warming bogeyman. As they explained in their 3-month outlook this month, the predominance of high pressure at this time of year is linked to below average sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic:

image

image

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/business/public-sector/civil-contingency/forecast-temp-mjj-v1.pdf 

 

Now you won’t read that on the BBC!

43 Comments
  1. May 30, 2020 11:30 am

    Sounds as though the BBC is in a perpetual state of alarm.

    • tom0mason permalink
      May 30, 2020 1:24 pm

      MSM — Main Stream Media (aka Misrepresentation Subterfuge (&)Mendacity)

      BBC – British Broadcasting Crisis.
      ABC – Alarmism By Consensus.
      CBS – Cataclysm Bull-$hitz.
      NBC – Nothing But Catastrophes.
      CNN – Creating Nauseous Narratives.

      🙂

      • May 31, 2020 12:14 pm

        We also refer to CNN as the “Clinton News Network”. Come to think of it, it’s the same thing…..

    • Mad Mike permalink
      May 30, 2020 3:13 pm

      Too right Joan. I wonder what their counselling bill is.

    • Curious George permalink
      May 30, 2020 4:18 pm

      Sunniest spring since records began! Sunshine is definitely un-British. Rain is British.

    • cajwbroomhill permalink
      May 30, 2020 8:30 pm

      They fear loss of already xs income with changes to contracts.
      Instad of re-adopting true impartilty, they still give rein to leftie, nonscientific climate and EU politics.
      Perhaps they are masochists, since their vaunted partiality should and might attract sanctions which will force them to act according to their Charter.
      If they are to avoid these punishments, they must exclude the most leftie dupes.

    • CheshireRed permalink
      May 31, 2020 10:28 am

      That’s exactly what they’re doing. Same trick as the entire AGW racketeers. Keep the public alarmed! Be under no doubt fear is the key.

  2. May 30, 2020 11:40 am

    “these ‘stalled’ weather patterns are a result of climate change and the warming that is taking place in the Arctic region could lead to more extreme weather events in future”

    A small but significant example of how climate change fearology is driven by confirmation bias.

    https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/08/03/confirmationbias/

    • dave permalink
      May 31, 2020 9:16 am

      There is a climate change.

      It is a change to weaker jet-streams which are displaced towards the equator, and become longer and hence wavier, and, through a steering effect, increase blocking, resulting in longer spells of fixed weather.

      And the cause lies in the interaction of the magnetism carried with the solar wind with the magnetism of the earth.

      Since I and others predicted these changes my confirmation bias says “Hooray!”

      • May 31, 2020 2:01 pm

        That’s very impressive, sir. Is there a link to your work that was later confirmed by the data? Thanks. And congratulations.

      • dave permalink
        June 1, 2020 10:18 am

        Thank you. I have never bothered to publish anything, as I do not feel I am particularly original, but others have. The elements of any eclectic theory are widely scattered.

        I think I am quite good at pointing out existing obscure, knowledge which is relevant. But I am sure that most people never give my thoughts a moment’s consideration. So thank you for your occasional appreciative responses.

  3. Mike Stoddart permalink
    May 30, 2020 11:58 am

    “Of course, it is now what scientists say that matters.It is what the data says. ”

    Should “now” be “not”?

  4. Mike Stoddart permalink
    May 30, 2020 12:00 pm

    “Of course, it is now what scientists say that matters. It is what the data says.”

    Should “now” be “not”?

  5. LeedsChris permalink
    May 30, 2020 12:01 pm

    It’s just ‘weather’. In 1989 and 1990 we had TWO consecutive Mays that were exceptional sunny and very close to this month’s figures and both had more than 300 hours of sun in some locations. In 1989 Margate had 338 hours of sun; in 1990 it was Folkestone with 332 hours. All of this pales with Falmouth’s impressive 381 hours in June 1925. Also the Spring of 1893 was certainly drier – with one or two places not having rain for more than 70 days and in many places 60 days. It was also sunny. Fewer places monitored sunshine in those days but I think total spring sunshine exceeded 700 hours at a few southern coastal spots.

  6. Devoncamel permalink
    May 30, 2020 12:06 pm

    The obvious conclusion from this is that we have experienced a period of weather. The usual sensational claims of a value being the highest/ lowest ‘on record’ should always be followed with the question ‘what record?’

  7. Philip Mulholland permalink
    May 30, 2020 12:09 pm

    It should be obvious by now that we are fully into the 30-year meridional weather phase of the 60-year natural climate cycle first identified by the Russian school of meteorologists. Examples of the impact of this north south dominated weather patterns are getting too hard to ignore: –
    For example, the extensive cover of snow on the mountains of Norway in late May with more snow forecast for early June.

    While in the central Sahara, the advected northerly air brings moisture south from the Mediterranean Sea and generates storms with rainfall that evaporates in the lower dry air before it reaches the ground. The associated downdrafts generate massive dust storms on the desert surface below.

  8. dennisambler permalink
    May 30, 2020 12:17 pm

    “As for Arctic warming, I would ask what “warming” they are talking about:”

    The warming they want the public to believe, just one of the many false mantras repeated on a daily basis.

    “Repetition: The Key to Spreading Lies”
    https://www.realclearscience.com/blog/2012/03/say-it-like-you-mean-it-how-lies-can-easily-trump-facts.html

    https://cultofcopy.com/repetition-mission-repetition-mission-repetition-mission/

    “Repetition can make even lies begin to seem true. That’s how powerful it is. It can literally warp mass perception to make the people believe in untruths and falsehoods.

    It doesn’t take skill or art, or even persuasive arguments. It just takes repetition.”

    • John Cullen permalink
      May 30, 2020 4:46 pm

      Yes, dennisambler, repetition is often the key to spreading lies. Let us recall what the infamous Joseph Goebbels said, “A lie told once remains a lie but a lie told a thousand times becomes the truth.”
      https://www.azquotes.com/author/5626-Joseph_Goebbels

      Regards,
      John.

  9. MrGrimNasty permalink
    May 30, 2020 12:21 pm

    Ice Age Giants was just repeated on BBC2 (Prof. Alice Roberts), which was essentially all about the changing climate. I see this was made in 2013 – even just 7 years ago the BBC was not quite so infected with modern day climate hysteria, barely a passing mention. The same program made today would have a completely different emphasis. All the same, it is hard to believe that the BBC could produce a program detailing such rapid climate change in such recent earth history along with the associated truly cataclysmic events, and now say with a straight face that today’s weather is anything to worry about!

  10. MrGrimNasty permalink
    May 30, 2020 12:35 pm

    As an afterthought, obviously the pressure pattern is largely responsible for the amount of sun, but last month I dismissed any relation to reduced aircraft traffic – now I wonder if the lack of aircraft exhaust really may have helped further boost the sunshine?

    In the longer term, the fact that the earth has been sunnier and this has coincided with increased surface temperatures is one of the few really indisputable climate change ‘facts’ – and some think it significant.

    https://notrickszone.com/2019/07/11/physicists-clouds-practically-control-climate-whereas-human-warming-amounts-to-0-01c-per-100-years/

    • Tonyb permalink
      May 30, 2020 9:46 pm

      Mr grim

      Less airplane trails, much less pollution from industry, vehicles and power stations. I remember how quickly the polluted skies cleared above Beijing when they closed down industry there in order to have a smog free Olympics.

      Paintings from such as turner showed the poor quality of sunlight at times as industry ramped up. So covid19 will e responsible .However I am sure some scientists are working on the data and it will be the reduction in that non polluting gas co2 that will be responsible, I am sure

      • JCalvertN permalink
        June 2, 2020 7:04 pm

        I sometimes wonder if all the warming of the late 20th century and early 21st century, might be the result of cleaner skies.

  11. Graeme No.3 permalink
    May 30, 2020 12:39 pm

    I can see why the BBC is worried; people will be saying “Global Warming has arrived at last”.
    Then they might say “This is rather pleasant, so why should we bother with sackcloth / ashes unemployment etc”.
    The BBC will have to go back to claiming that it was all the fault of Brexit.

  12. May 30, 2020 12:45 pm

    Given the BBC’s new policy of providing balanced article, “Some scientists say these ‘stalled’ weather patterns are a result of climate change” should be followed by “Some scientists say these ‘stalled’ weather patterns are not a result of climate change”.

    Presumably and given the settled science, these weather phenomena caused by stalled weather patterns were predicted by the climate models and so are not at all unexpected and thus are not newsworthy.

    • Gerry, England permalink
      May 30, 2020 2:44 pm

      With your mention of models you take me back to that forecast late at night by I think Liam Dutton where he actually said that their models do not work well – possibly at all – with a meridional jetstream. An admission that they only really cope with a zonal jetstream usually coming across the Atlantic bringing SW winds. That is quite a big admission when you think about it. And stalled weather patterns are a product of this jetstream pattern change – see HH Lamb – and are connected to solar minimum. And we are experiencing a deep solar minimum where nearly 80% of days are spotless. The thermosphere is also cooling at the moment and the graph of that on Spaceweather makes interesting reading.

  13. Jackington permalink
    May 30, 2020 12:56 pm

    The broadcast media have a common playbook – never let a good crisis go to waste.

    • cajwbroomhill permalink
      May 30, 2020 9:42 pm

      Yes, and most are contrved and publicised to subserve radically anarchist purposes so as to carry forward leftwing agendas as well as diverting attention from the genuine disasters, like covid fatalities in care homes and the excessively severe lockdowns ruining business as well as damaging public morale while promoting command politics.

  14. MrGrimNasty permalink
    May 30, 2020 1:15 pm

    BBC hails success of reducing a plane’s usable range by 92% and more than halving paying passengers that can be carried.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/video_and_audio/headlines/52856887/world-s-largest-all-electric-plane-takes-flight

    1,232 land miles to 100 miles range.
    13 passengers (or 9 by some regs. as single engined) to 4/5.

  15. Broadlands permalink
    May 30, 2020 1:25 pm

    “…he said the jet stream – strong winds driving much of the UK’s variable weather – was largely anchored to the north of the UK during spring. Some scientists say these ‘stalled’ weather patterns are a result of climate change and the warming that is taking place in the Arctic region could lead to more extreme weather events in future,”

    The jet streams like the ENSOs are natural events that are not affected by the ‘global warming’ CO2 that humans have added. It’s not climate change, it’s weather…natural variable weather.

  16. May 30, 2020 1:52 pm

    “Some scientists say these ‘stalled’ weather patterns are a result of climate change”

    But climate is the sum of weather 🤔

    • dave permalink
      June 1, 2020 11:51 am

      “…climate is the sum of weather…”

      Perhaps in the sense of summary, but definitely not in the sense of summation.

      In the original definitions, climate was the ‘stylized weather.’ In other words, it meant a description of what sorts of weather were possible at different times of the year, and roughly* how frequently each sort might appear in a season. Indeed that is the meaning of a ‘season.’ The time when. The time when birds build nests; the time when men die of cold; etc etc.

      I am happy to think that “Hurricanes hardly happen in Hampshire.” When should I start thinking about the ‘hurricane season’ in Hampshire? It will take more than a few sunny days in Spring to persuade me it is a useful concept.

      * How could it be anything except ‘roughly’?

  17. Phil O'Sophical permalink
    May 30, 2020 4:57 pm

    Outsiders’ Weather & Ice Age Watch (Sky News Australia, 24th May) showed a report that North America has set 233 new all-time monthly LOW temperature records in May, to that date.

    You won’t see that on the BBC either (or our Sky News, come to that.)

    And the station at St Charles De Mandeville in Quebec, shows absolutely no trend whatsoever in temperature since it began in 1976… so Environment Canada have taken it down.

  18. Mad Mike permalink
    May 30, 2020 5:24 pm

    Microsoft to replace journalists with robots.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-52860247

    BBC has been doing it for years

  19. Nancy & John Hultquist permalink
    May 30, 2020 8:42 pm

    Some scientists say these ‘stalled’ weather patterns are a result of . . .
    Another black mark for science.

    When my auto stalls I always blame it on climate change.
    – – winking smiley face – – Poe’s Law
    That’s a joke by the way. My Subaru never stalls.

  20. May 30, 2020 10:19 pm

    There is nothing unprecedented about the Arctic climate trend:

    The temperature trends seem to be related to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO):

    That relationship is well recognised and uncontroversial.
    The “some scientists” and BBC weather meteorologist Matt Taylor would know or ought to know that and are knowingly feeding the public BS.

  21. May 30, 2020 11:16 pm

    Sent from my iPad

    >

  22. Mack permalink
    May 31, 2020 12:43 am

    According to the article you refer to Paul, Professor Liz Bentley, Chief Executive of the Royal Meteorlogical Society, claims that our current weather (i.e. a warm and very sunny spring on the back of a late, and very wet, winter) is ‘unprecedented’ and ‘concerning’.

    The first thing that I would like to point out is that ‘pig ignorance’ is no impediment to high office in the land of the Green Blob. One would normally expect a professor to have a basic grasp of the ability to do some simple research. Alas, dear Liz seems to have lost that ability. Before opening her gob and uttering complete nonsense, she might have taken the time to trawl through the records of the once esteemed establishment of which, embarassingly, she now seems to lead and found countless examples of similar ‘weather’ occurrences going back centuries which, at the time, were not unprecedented nor overly unusual for a population who’d lived through such experiences many times before.

    Our current warm, dry spring weather is not the least bit unprecedented in meteorological history terms. However, should it continue for a while longer it is of concern to farmers and, of course, water companies who have failed to properly address their leaky infrastructure, their customers and, of course, governments who have failed to increase water retention facilities to match increasing demand. All of the latter problems have bugger all to do with so called ‘climate change’!

  23. Ben Vorlich permalink
    May 31, 2020 9:44 am

    I’ve followed that DMI Temperature North of 80′ for a number of years, summer temperatures in the last decade have tended to be below or on average, 1 or 2’C. Any warming has been in winter, but if you’re at -25’C rather than -30’C then would you notice?

  24. Ben Vorlich permalink
    May 31, 2020 9:51 am

    Someone else gets the rain.

    29 May 13:12
    Weather fronts of a Black Sea cyclone have brought heavy rain and showers to Moscow. Between a third and a half of a month’s worth of rain was recorded in the morning alone.

    https://www.gismeteo.com/news/climate/33757-moscow-to-face-heavy-rain/

  25. CheshireRed permalink
    May 31, 2020 10:34 am

    Isn’t it time we distinguished between weather, climate and drivel?
    Weather is short term.
    Climate is long-term.
    Drivel is anything the BBC put out.

  26. cajwbroomhill permalink
    May 31, 2020 11:19 am

    Fear is not the only key, money hascorrupted many/most of those preaching remunerative AGW

  27. May 31, 2020 11:20 am

    Reblogged this on WeatherAction News and commented:
    The first problem is of course using records that began in 1929, missing years like 1893-4 as Paul highlights, however the following is from a weather illiterate polemicist;

    “Some scientists say these ‘stalled’ weather patterns are a result of climate change and the warming that is taking place in the Arctic region could lead to more extreme weather events in future,” he said.

    Prof Liz Bentley, chief executive of the Royal Meteorological Society, said the swing from record-breaking wet weather to the months of sunshine was “unprecedented” and “concerning” because it showed how much the UK’s climate was changing.

    Let’s go back to The Times in May 1980, a time when Artic warming was non existent;

    What about those blocking highs then?

    Trying to pin down the change in the weather /Burroughs, W. J. /The Times (London, England), Wednesday, May 21, 1980

    🤔

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