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Californian Wildfires–Due To Climate Change?

August 21, 2020

By Paul Homewood

 If you tell a lie often enough……………

 

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Major wildfires continue to spread across Northern California on Thursday as thousands more residents are forced to evacuate their homes and resource-strapped firefighters battle the blazes.

California has been hit by nearly 11,000 lightning strikes that have caused more than 367 known fires across the state in recent days, 26 of which are major. The state’s wildfire season is becoming much more destructive as climate change drives hotter and drier temperatures.

Climate change has also expanded the fire season to nearly the entire year in California because dry conditions, heat and drought exacerbate wildfires. 

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/08/20/california-fires-heatwave-and-coronavirus-puts-state-in-crisis.html

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But what does the data actually tell us? We already know that the current heatwave is far from being exceptional. What about temperatures earlier in the summer?

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/statewide/time-series/4/tmax/2/7/1895-2020?base_prd=true&begbaseyear=1901&endbaseyear=2000

Not unusually high. And rainfall in June and July? Again, similar to many other years.

The accusation is made about longer fire seasons, with hot and dry springs.

But the actual data shows that this spring was pretty much average as far as temperatures are concerned, and slightly wetter than normal.

Whatever the cause of the current batch of wildfires, it certainly is not climate change.

In fact national wildfire acreage is running at just over half of the average this year so far:

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https://www.nifc.gov/fireInfo/nfn.htm

But, as Goebbels pointed out, if you tell a lie often enough, it becomes the truth.

20 Comments
  1. Geoff B permalink
    August 21, 2020 12:25 pm

    I have made this comment more than once. “Do not confuse me with the facts, my mind is already made up”

  2. August 21, 2020 12:34 pm

    The more they scream about climate change as the cause of everything, the more people are beginning to see it for what it is……a scam. The same is true for the Corona virus. When people learn that hospitals are paid more to report a Covid-19 death than for the actual causes or hear that a motorcycle death (more than one in this country) have been listed a Cofid-19 to drive the numbers, they catch on.

    I would say that in both cases, the crisis factor is wearing thin. People catch on and people grow weary and people grow skeptical. One good thing about the left is that they always overplay their hand.

    What passes for the Democrat Convention is a perfect example. The speakers, all pre-recorded, are blaming everything on Trump that THEY have been doing. Michelle Obama had the nerve to blame Trump for putting kids in cages at the southern border. Sorry, Michelle my belle, but that was your husband who did that and the pictures are from his/your administration. Others said Trump would not accept the results of the election……they have never accepted his election in 2016. And on, and on, and…..

    After awhile, it all grows thin with the people.

    • Harry Passfield permalink
      August 22, 2020 8:46 pm

      Joan: I hold to the theory that covid deaths were exaggerated in the early days much like that historic temps were cooled and modern temps warmed to make AGW more believable.
      he government needed to get people scared and get them behind the cause: a high death rate index, followed by a sharp decrease – which was meant to indicate the government’s processes were working well – was all designed to get the public on side. Yet, only now is it becoming apparent that early deaths reported were in accurate as were later deaths (the news covers it).

      Don’t get me wrong, Covid is a huge problem but the country has been beggared by it. Big question, as Mr Bennet asked in Pride and Prejudice: “To whom are we indebted; and how on earth am I ever expected to repay it????”

  3. August 21, 2020 12:52 pm

    I notice that they are getting careful with their attribution saying only that things have been getting worse because of climate change without coming out and attributing this fire season to climate change. But of course even that does not hold given the data you have posted. Thank you. Well done!

  4. Thomas Carr permalink
    August 21, 2020 1:16 pm

    Paul
    Your posting –” If you tell a lie….” — appears to be ‘an open and shut’ case.
    While you have a well informed readership with many experts in their field does reality reach the implausibly knowledgable like Emma Newburger ?
    To that extent you are reporting to many experts and increasingly well informed followers?

    Enthusiastic supporters of your output must wonder whether the hard statistics you reveal get any further and, if so, by what means — corrections requested of the BBC and the less discerning organs of the UK press excepted.

    Your compelling reports and researched statistics deserve a much wider circulation.

    • Jonathan Scott permalink
      August 21, 2020 2:31 pm

      I have been trying to find the reference but I obviously filed it in a special place. A couple of years ago a guy tried to cite climate change as a defence against a speeding ticket/ban. Then, as absurd as his claim was, it was given short shift but now…….? We are dealing with weaponized disinformation straight out of the KGB handbook on how to destabilize and undermine systems and public confidence in them in democratic countries. The bought “scientists tug the forelock because they are simply immoral, or willfully stupid, taking every dollar they can scrounge to pedal junk that would get even a school science project an F grade, aided and abetted by the corrupt universities they work for. I would suggest that 95% of the rubbish which finds it’s way into the media on climate would disappear overnight if public money poured into universities to fund the garbage masquerading as climate research was stopped today. The attack on truth and empiricism as constructs and just opinions did not happen by chance. This is a cold and calculated way to deal with the compelling data which tears down the multitude of bogus claims made on this and a range of other subjects. In respect of the worthless politicians big and small and the libtard gween activists, CC offers the perfect excuse to cover for their abject incompetence when they might likely, by their wilful stupidity, be responsible for enhancing the very effect they are screeching about. As for the dark forces waiting in the shadows, they use climate like all the marxist and post-modernist nonsense today as part of a multi headed hydra to weaken and ultimately bring down our precious democratic Western societies.

  5. Broadlands permalink
    August 21, 2020 2:47 pm

    Once again, the leadership and readership here is clear that the climate ‘science’ is bogus. What isn’t clear is how to deal with this huge pile of misinformation and propaganda. Deaf ears are out there and plugged up. A viable solution is sorely needed.

  6. A Man of No Rank permalink
    August 21, 2020 4:13 pm

    Agree that Paul’s good work deserves a wider audience, in the absense of the late Chris Booker. For this reason I have been trying to post comments on the Mail-on-line publication. I have a lot to learn – I need to get in much, much earlier and I need to simplify/lighten my comments.

  7. A Man of No Rank permalink
    August 21, 2020 4:15 pm

    Brooker, sorry.

    • dennisambler permalink
      August 23, 2020 6:10 pm

      Right the first time…

  8. George Reagan permalink
    August 21, 2020 4:17 pm

    Maybe the forest fires are RX or the Antifi arson ??? Who knows ??? If not, get busy on hiring some of those “dreamers” to clear the fire fuel.
    BTW, I read some where that Marx was the source of the quote you mentioned. I did read that V Lenin also, repeated it. Later sources could be Saul Alinsky. Maybe even old Stalin, Mao and Ho Ch Minh themselfs, among others (Castro, ….)

  9. Ariane permalink
    August 21, 2020 5:24 pm

    Challenging the ‘warmistas’ (who blame everything on climate change) by showing that they are wrong to claim record this and record that – is problematic. What will you (Paul) do if and when our current no sun spot sun develops sun spots and our climate heats up? Then the warmistas can crow ‘We told you so.’ and you’ll have nothing to argue with?
    I’d suggest it might be better to avoid proving there is no record temperature, rainfall etc in favour of exposing the underlying ideology, corruption and idiocy of the warmistas – who are in positions of global and national power, from the extreme Right and Left, scientists and politicians who want to keep their jobs, many lazy, indifferent and uncomprehending members of the public as well as, of course, those business people with financial interests in renewables.
    Relentless exposure ot the history of the anti-CO2 movement and its ideology and corruption – via blogs, media, street stalls, letters and emails and phone calls to MPs, MSPs, local authorities, environmental groups, student unions etc.

  10. MrGrimNasty permalink
    August 21, 2020 6:55 pm

    I don’t think there’s much to say on this “Climate change: ‘Unprecedented’ ice loss as Greenland breaks record.” Yes another Greenland story, they just never let up:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-53849695

    Obvious alarmist/assumptive/confirmation bias – but who can argue with GRACE? It’s tiny measurements and models and esoteric maths/statistics – probably only a few people in the world could judge if it were churning out rubbish or not or determine the error range. How reliable is it? And this is a model driven study on top!

    Extraordinary Stonehaven crash revelations:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-north-east-orkney-shetland-53861668

    What were the train operators and the driver thinking in those conditions?

  11. August 21, 2020 7:08 pm

    Promoted tweet from
    @BlackRock_UK
    Climate change and COVID-19 have intersected.
    At BlackRock’s first Global Summit, Chairman and CEO Larry Fink spoke to Bloomberg TV’s Francine Lacqua and more than 3,000 clients and business leaders about why.
    #BLKSustainability Capital at risk
    video : https://bit.ly/2ZIy9ta

    All 80 replies go against them

  12. ellyssen permalink
    August 21, 2020 7:35 pm

    Many of the CA fires were started by lightning storms all over the country and at least one is Arson and the alleged arsonist has been arrested. This is just weather and human actions for the most part and exacerbated by CA not clearing brush and other fire fuel.
    The smoke is pretty bad though. Got up to 532+ on the AQ index.

  13. Romeo R permalink
    August 21, 2020 9:18 pm

    The problem with the fires in California and across the western US for that matter isn’t because of heat but because of poor land management. The vast majority of the western US is desert, high desert, Mediterranean or temperate climates. We are a generally hot and dry land with rain thrown in on occasion. The only really wet areas in the west are western Washington and Oregon and most years northern California.
    Since the 1930’s, we have actively been trying to suppress fires. Starting in the 1990’s we pretty much banned all sensible forestry practices and along with extremely stringent land practices imposed by local governments, private residents are no longer able to keep their properties clear. Add to that the lack of clearing allowed on state and public lands and you get disasters waiting to happen.
    Anyone who has ever visited the west will see just how dense and overgrown our state and public lands are. They are matchboxes waiting for the ever present lightning strike or careless human or arsonist to do their work. Compare these lands to the forests maintained by Native tribes and you will see the difference. Just visit the White Mountain Apache tribe or the San Carlos tribes here in Arizona and compare them to the national forest lands surrounding them.
    I have only been to Europe once to England back in 2017 which is very similar to western Washington weather. However, since Netflix has been highlighting more and more shows produced in Europe, I am able to see first hand the difference in forests. I have been watching shows made in Germany and France and the forests shown in those shows reveal a much more open forest with very little undergrowth. My father told me how when he was growing up in Romania, the government would have crews go out into the forest to clear the understory of dead and dying trees and brush. It seems that maybe some of those practices are still in place over there.
    In the end, there is no one to blame for the current situation in California and other places in the west except for the green delusionists and their political lackeys in government.

    • Graeme No.3 permalink
      August 22, 2020 7:57 am

      Romeo R:
      The same practices were in place in Eastern Australia when bushfires swept through large areas of forest. This despite Commissions and Enquiries ALL recommended caring undergrowth and litter.
      The same practices are still being used by bureaucrats. The only way this will change is either said bureaucrats get charged with murder or forced to pay damages.

    • calnorth permalink
      August 22, 2020 10:01 am

      Aborigines to Whitey:

      “Him white fella can’t manage the land”

      Think thats a global comment really

  14. I_am_not_a_robot permalink
    August 21, 2020 11:03 pm


    The area of wildfires in the US dramatically reduced after the ‘Smokey Bear’ ad campaign and legislation in the 1940s-50s:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smokey_Bear
    Naturally it is only relatively recent history that the CC™ industry and media like to focus on:
    https://insideclimatenews.org/sites/default/files/styles/icn_centered_medium/public/image_large/Wildfires-US-Acreage-Chart-529px.png?itok=ciF6iV-5
    The Little Hoover Commission (an independent California State oversight agency modelled after the Hoover Commission … Wiki) report found poor management policies for the last century have left forests vulnerable to fires.
    Even accepting that the ever-changing climate, whatever the cause, may be a contributing factor, the rational approach would be to spend money on preventive measures, early warnings, firefighting infrastructure and equipment etc.– effectively fighting fires rather than futilely fighting CC™.

    • Harry Passfield permalink
      August 23, 2020 4:09 pm

      Precisely, IANAR: If the activists really believed there was imminent danger from CC they would insist that remedial action be followed to prevent the extra risk of fires caused by CC. But they don’t: they do everything in their power to make the situation worse – all so that they can come along later and offer a ‘solution’ after the fact Which it is not.

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