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Richard Betts’ Pseudo Science

February 17, 2021

By Paul Homewood

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Ben Pile’s latest video:

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19 Comments
  1. ThinkingScientist permalink
    February 17, 2021 12:21 pm

    Outstanding presentation by Ben Pile. 10/10.

  2. Charles Turner permalink
    February 17, 2021 12:23 pm

    What a great tool for our armoury!

  3. 1saveenergy permalink
    February 17, 2021 12:24 pm

    Brill explanation Ben !

    Trouble is the people who should see this … won’t

    • February 17, 2021 3:01 pm

      If they understood then no explanation would be needed. If they didn’t understand then no explanation would be possible.

  4. NeilC permalink
    February 17, 2021 12:58 pm

    I guess Ben’s “ecohyperreality” is saying AGW is a load of bo££ocks. but kindly put.

  5. Broadlands permalink
    February 17, 2021 1:00 pm

    It should be obvious that if a climate model cannot accurately predict Earth’s natural variability over long time frames, it cannot be worth much. Volcanoes, earthquakes, the jet streams, El-Nino and other oscillations are each unpredictable, as are clouds. With atmospheric CO2 rising steadily, the period of cooling from 1938 to 1975 is one example.

  6. Cheshire Red permalink
    February 17, 2021 1:26 pm

    Now we’re reduced to so-called experts pretending their fantasy models are reality. Bett’s should be ashamed of himself.

  7. Peter permalink
    February 17, 2021 2:47 pm

    Met Office modeling has a long but not very distinguished history. I seem to remember about thirteen years in a row when the seasonal forecasts were so abysmal that they stopped doing them. Remember the BBQ Summer?

    Pretending that a comparison of model scenarios is in any way meaningful is a new low.

  8. Harry Passfield permalink
    February 17, 2021 2:47 pm

    That was just so, so good. It should be put into schools to balance the crap from Inconvenient Lies. Furthermore, Insurance companies and civic corporations should be made to admit if they have developed risk aversion policies based on the ‘carousel of attribution’.

  9. Phillip Bratby permalink
    February 17, 2021 2:57 pm

    Richard Betts has been spouting his non-scientific nonsense since I first remember reading his comments on Andrew Montford’s Bishop hill website. Mind you, Betts has had a very successful career toeing the party lane. I do not understand how these people can live a life of lies and fabrication. I always love to see the Feynman lecture, something I was brought up on. Also, as Prof Harold Lindzen said, top quality scientists do not go into “climate science”, they prefer real science, not fabricated pseudo-science.

    • February 17, 2021 9:50 pm

      The audio I went through
      where Gavin is talking BS, Judith Curry is clearly someone who knows science and got sucked into some rubbish with BEST
      and Betts who was kow towing to Gavin.

  10. February 17, 2021 3:10 pm

    Yes, ‘climate change’ is made by humans – in computer models. And when that doesn’t work too well, bring on the data ‘adjustments’.

  11. William Birch permalink
    February 17, 2021 4:22 pm

    I was a university lecturer for nearly 20 years, having spent the previous 20 years working in industry. Just prior to retirement, i witness the use of more and more sophisticated computer models and the use of ever more complex statistical analysis. However there was a marked reluctance of my fellow academics to actually get out into the real world and make quantifiable measurements. Out there it was a cold wet place to be; whereas next to their computers it was really cosy. Thus it was that i witnessed more and more computer models being created with only a tenuous link to actual data. This has now react the level, as Ben Pile says so eloquently in his video, that some of these researchers actually think their models are reality. A really good friend of mine at the university once said to me “all models are wrong, however some models are useful”. Sufficient time has elapsed since some of the climate change models were created for them be tested against what has actually happened. Surely the time has now come that these climate alarmists were required to defend their computer simulations

    • Harry Passfield permalink
      February 17, 2021 6:22 pm

      Your comment made me think, William: All models are equally wrong; somd models are more equally wrong than others.

      • February 18, 2021 8:19 am

        Mevyn King, the ex Bank of England Governor, expressed similarly sceptical views re models in his book (with John Kay) ‘Radical Uncertainty’ although he was referring to financial modelling and the problems they had caused.
        Computer models bear as much relation to the real world as do model railways. Just look at the mess that they have caused in driving the Government policy on Covid lockdowns!

    • Jack Broughton permalink
      February 17, 2021 7:44 pm

      Agree entirely that modelling is now the first approach in University research. The main reason is that a model allows hundreds of papers to be published (without question as the model is not accessible to others) by varying the parameters in the model, while testing and analysis produces few papers and can always be questioned (as they should be in science). This trend started a long time ago, but now most postgrad. theses in engineering and some pure sciences are high on model outputs and low on measured facts.

  12. Lez permalink
    February 17, 2021 7:30 pm

    Nice to see Richard Feynman in the video. He would have had no time for this new religion of climatic pseudoscience. Could you imagine him saying ‘the science is settled’?
    More of him on You Tube .

  13. tom0mason permalink
    February 18, 2021 12:56 am

    Richard Betts the perfect candidate for Private Eye’s ‘Pseuds Corner’.
    Betts is just a pseudo-scientist who believes his own $hit smells of roses, with his modeled world stinking of his own gaseous eruptions.
    Apart from that I like the guy, I’d like him to become unemployed!

  14. Ulric Lyons permalink
    February 18, 2021 3:12 pm

    Yunnan drought occurs during negative North Atlantic Oscillation conditions, which is the reverse of what the models agree about rising CO2 forcing, which predict increasingly positive NAO conditions. Which is why the MetO predict warmer drier summers for the UK.

    https://archive.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/ch10s10-3-5-6.html

    Individual weather events have discrete solar forcing and cause climate change. Like the heat of early August 2020, with the fastest solar coronal hole streams in a year. And all of our major heatwaves. This covers what caused four out of the five hottest UK summers of the last 50 years. The relative positions of the inner planets dictate which weeks the heat event occurs in.

    https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/major-heat-cold-waves-driven-key-heliocentric-alignments-ulric-lyons/

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