Richard Betts’ Pseudo Science
February 17, 2021
By Paul Homewood
.
Ben Pile’s latest video:
.
19 Comments
Comments are closed.
“We do not believe any group of men adequate enough or wise enough to operate without scrutiny or without criticism. We know that the only way to avoid error is to detect it, that the only way to detect it is to be free to inquire. We know that in secrecy error undetected will flourish and subvert”. – J Robert Oppenheimer.
Recent Comments
lordelate on Hottest Summer For 2000 Y… Martin Brumby on Hottest Summer For 2000 Y… Mark Hodgson on Hottest Summer For 2000 Y… Nigel Sherratt on Hottest Summer For 2000 Y… Bob Schweizer on Hottest Summer For 2000 Y… Nigel Sherratt on Hottest Summer For 2000 Y… Gamecock on Drax To Build Wood Power Cargo… dennisambler on Hottest Summer For 2000 Y… Nigel Sherratt on Hottest Summer For 2000 Y… thecliffclavenoffina… on Hottest Summer For 2000 Y…
NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT 
Outstanding presentation by Ben Pile. 10/10.
What a great tool for our armoury!
Brill explanation Ben !
Trouble is the people who should see this … won’t
If they understood then no explanation would be needed. If they didn’t understand then no explanation would be possible.
I guess Ben’s “ecohyperreality” is saying AGW is a load of bo££ocks. but kindly put.
It should be obvious that if a climate model cannot accurately predict Earth’s natural variability over long time frames, it cannot be worth much. Volcanoes, earthquakes, the jet streams, El-Nino and other oscillations are each unpredictable, as are clouds. With atmospheric CO2 rising steadily, the period of cooling from 1938 to 1975 is one example.
Now we’re reduced to so-called experts pretending their fantasy models are reality. Bett’s should be ashamed of himself.
Met Office modeling has a long but not very distinguished history. I seem to remember about thirteen years in a row when the seasonal forecasts were so abysmal that they stopped doing them. Remember the BBQ Summer?
Pretending that a comparison of model scenarios is in any way meaningful is a new low.
That was just so, so good. It should be put into schools to balance the crap from Inconvenient Lies. Furthermore, Insurance companies and civic corporations should be made to admit if they have developed risk aversion policies based on the ‘carousel of attribution’.
Richard Betts has been spouting his non-scientific nonsense since I first remember reading his comments on Andrew Montford’s Bishop hill website. Mind you, Betts has had a very successful career toeing the party lane. I do not understand how these people can live a life of lies and fabrication. I always love to see the Feynman lecture, something I was brought up on. Also, as Prof Harold Lindzen said, top quality scientists do not go into “climate science”, they prefer real science, not fabricated pseudo-science.
The audio I went through
where Gavin is talking BS, Judith Curry is clearly someone who knows science and got sucked into some rubbish with BEST
and Betts who was kow towing to Gavin.
Yes, ‘climate change’ is made by humans – in computer models. And when that doesn’t work too well, bring on the data ‘adjustments’.
I was a university lecturer for nearly 20 years, having spent the previous 20 years working in industry. Just prior to retirement, i witness the use of more and more sophisticated computer models and the use of ever more complex statistical analysis. However there was a marked reluctance of my fellow academics to actually get out into the real world and make quantifiable measurements. Out there it was a cold wet place to be; whereas next to their computers it was really cosy. Thus it was that i witnessed more and more computer models being created with only a tenuous link to actual data. This has now react the level, as Ben Pile says so eloquently in his video, that some of these researchers actually think their models are reality. A really good friend of mine at the university once said to me “all models are wrong, however some models are useful”. Sufficient time has elapsed since some of the climate change models were created for them be tested against what has actually happened. Surely the time has now come that these climate alarmists were required to defend their computer simulations
Your comment made me think, William: All models are equally wrong; somd models are more equally wrong than others.
Mevyn King, the ex Bank of England Governor, expressed similarly sceptical views re models in his book (with John Kay) ‘Radical Uncertainty’ although he was referring to financial modelling and the problems they had caused.
Computer models bear as much relation to the real world as do model railways. Just look at the mess that they have caused in driving the Government policy on Covid lockdowns!
Agree entirely that modelling is now the first approach in University research. The main reason is that a model allows hundreds of papers to be published (without question as the model is not accessible to others) by varying the parameters in the model, while testing and analysis produces few papers and can always be questioned (as they should be in science). This trend started a long time ago, but now most postgrad. theses in engineering and some pure sciences are high on model outputs and low on measured facts.
Nice to see Richard Feynman in the video. He would have had no time for this new religion of climatic pseudoscience. Could you imagine him saying ‘the science is settled’?
More of him on You Tube .
Richard Betts the perfect candidate for Private Eye’s ‘Pseuds Corner’.
Betts is just a pseudo-scientist who believes his own $hit smells of roses, with his modeled world stinking of his own gaseous eruptions.
Apart from that I like the guy, I’d like him to become unemployed!
Yunnan drought occurs during negative North Atlantic Oscillation conditions, which is the reverse of what the models agree about rising CO2 forcing, which predict increasingly positive NAO conditions. Which is why the MetO predict warmer drier summers for the UK.
https://archive.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/ch10s10-3-5-6.html
Individual weather events have discrete solar forcing and cause climate change. Like the heat of early August 2020, with the fastest solar coronal hole streams in a year. And all of our major heatwaves. This covers what caused four out of the five hottest UK summers of the last 50 years. The relative positions of the inner planets dictate which weeks the heat event occurs in.
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/major-heat-cold-waves-driven-key-heliocentric-alignments-ulric-lyons/