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Are China’s climate promises just a load of hot air? (Yes!)

September 10, 2021

By Paul Homewood


China is prepared to hold its cooperation on climate issues hostage to Western concessions elsewhere.

Few cities in China represent the country’s addiction to coal more than Tianjin, where Alok Sharma travelled this week to talk about cooperation on climate issues. It sits on the coast of one of China’s most polluted regions, and its port is a key hub for trading 100 million tons a year of the stuff – that’s roughly 12 times Britain’s annual coal burn.

Chinese coal consumption is on track to increase this year by around ten per cent. To meet that demand, vast new open cast pits are being rushed into service in Inner Mongolia, China’s biggest coal production region, from where supplies are brought down the coast to Tianjin. There is a chance that Sharma might have caught a glimpse of the vast port, the piles of coal, or the traffic jam of ships waiting to dock, as he flew in. If so, it will have presented a far clearer picture of China’s commitment to a ‘sustainable future’ than the empty platitudes and vague promises of his hosts.

China has pledged that its greenhouse gas emissions will reach their highest point before 2030 and the country will reach carbon neutrality before 2060. Sharma, who will preside over the United Nations Cop26 climate summit in Glasgow in November, would like China to bring its targets forward. At the very least he was looking for more detail from special representative for climate change affairs, Xie Zhenhua, as to how China will achieve its targets. He got none – because China is taking a big leap in the opposite direction.

China is the world’s biggest polluter, responsible for 27 per cent of global emissions of greenhouse gases – and that’s about to get worse. It is opening new coal-fired power stations and increasing emissions at an annual rate that is greater than the savings of the rest of the world put together. Last year, coal plants with a combined capacity of 37.75 gigawatts were retired globally, more than half in the United States and European Union, according to an analysis by Global Energy Monitor, which analysis fossil fuel trends. During that time, China opened 38.4 gigawatts of new plants – that’s three times more new coal fired capacity than the rest of the world combined.

China has refused to budge on its target dates and refused to give detail as to how it intends to achieve them. This week, a prickly editorial in Global Times, a Communist party tabloid, said:

‘China has already announced its own climate road map and will stick to its own pace.’

Meanwhile, China is currently building new coal plants at more than 60 locations across the country, and local authorities are planning for still more. Far from providing a plan to work towards its 2030 ‘peak emissions’ date, it is as if China sees this as a finishing line in a race to build as many coal-burning plants as possible. It’s a construction frenzy that makes a mockery of the efforts of the rest of the world to reduce emissions.

The only bright spot is an apparent reduction in the number of new coal plants that China is financing in developing countries as part of its Belt and Road Initiative. This fall off appears to be more a result of the soaring price of coal and concern over debt than a change in Chinese policy, although Beijing might well present it as a concession.

China certainly talks the talk on clean energy and sustainability. It does generate more energy from solar power than any other country, and is seeking to corner the global market in many green technologies. But fossil fuels still account for 85 per cent of energy used, and coal represents 57 per cent of that.

Three days before Sharma’s visit, John Kerry, the US climate envoy, had his own meetings in China – also in Tianjin, which provided a useful insight into China’s tactics. Kerry had hoped that climate issues, of such critical importance to the whole world, could be divorced from prickly bilateral tensions. Wang Yi, China’s foreign minister told him to forget it, that climate cooperation could not be separated and that the US should ‘cease containing and suppressing China in the world.’

This suggests that China is prepared to hold its cooperation on climate issues hostage to concessions elsewhere. If that’s the case, Western negotiators should be very wary. Those who have sat opposite Chinese officials during negotiations over trade, cyber espionage and much more will be familiar with the tactics: playing the victim, veiled threats, vague promises, a lack of detail in any concessions – and ultimately ignoring any agreement reached.

Former president Barack Obama, a strong advocate of engagement with China, wrote in his memoir, A Promised Land, that China’s economic rise has seen Beijing ‘evading, bending, or breaking just about every agreed-about rule of international commerce’. China has been a master of gaming that system to its advantage. It is naive to think that climate issues are any different.

  1. M Mouse permalink
    September 10, 2021 4:27 pm

    China will only stop when it suits China. Anyone who things differently should be certified !

  2. MrGrimNasty permalink
    September 10, 2021 8:03 pm

    Remember the fuss about poor harvest last year? Oh dear, 2021 looks boringly average.

    Given that the Met Office thinks the weather in the UK is always in climate crisis these days, it’s a flippin’ miracle! Must be a global issue surely? Being a year of relentless climate change fueled weather disasters ‘n’ all?

    • Ian Wilson permalink
      September 11, 2021 9:54 am

      Those stoking the climate hysteria agenda overlook the significant increase in crop yields thanks to the modest rise in CO2 over recent years – I have seen 14% boost to food output quoted. I would have thought that a matter for celebration when population is increasing by 6 million more mouths to feed every month..

  3. Coeur de Lion permalink
    September 10, 2021 8:46 pm

    China needs the Paris Agreement to succeed or at least survive so that ‘the West’ can wreck itself. Hence the cynical promises.

  4. tomo permalink
    September 10, 2021 11:13 pm

    China has clearly drawn a line between what’s for domestic consumption and what it exports….

    Paul Watson doesn’t have to make stuff up.

  5. Mark E. Roberts permalink
    September 11, 2021 2:04 am

    Would someone qualified assess this article, from a historically mainstream US news agency, AP News. I’m suspicious by its being a ‘quick study,’ not peer reviewed, yet confident apparently all human uses of fossil fuels are The Reason the western US is having the hottest summer, the climate crisis, ever:
    It seems if humans had not succeeded in flourishing on Earth, all would be well — but for whom or what?

    Wish I had the scientific chops to assess it myself, but I believe some of you do.

    • dave permalink
      September 11, 2021 10:40 am

      Having ‘scientific chops’ helps. A fastidious nose also helps.

      • dave permalink
        September 11, 2021 5:21 pm

        Your link seems to be about a game called ‘attribution.’ It is a ‘pretend science’ so far, because it has not been validated by making correct predictions.

        A genuine scientist makes predictions about the experiment currently underway, or, if it is a grand natural phenomenon, the developing situation.
        A fake scientist ‘explains’ past experiments as if he knew all along: “Funny thing! I put your little experiment into my computer program, and it came up with your results. You should have asked me first.” “I did and you did not have a clue!” “Oh, you must have misheard me.”

        Most of the more lurid original predictions of the CAGW crowd went wrong.
        The second lot of predictions are obviously going wrong. Having learnt at least one lesson, they are now either predicting for a time when we will all be dead, or for a place nobody ever goes to, or, easiest of all, they are predicting the recent past.

  6. Chaswarnertoo permalink
    September 11, 2021 9:29 am

    For once I agree with O barmy. China cheats and lies.

  7. Mad Mike permalink
    September 11, 2021 10:59 am

    Given that China backed Maurice Strong when he and others set up the IPCC to scare people in to accepting a World Order, it is not surprising that China ignoring the scaremongering. They after all know what a scam it all is. A brilliant piece of political strategy that will give the Chinese a free run at economic and technological superiority over the West.

    • Chaswarnertoo permalink
      September 11, 2021 11:14 am

      Trump had them spotted. That why Biden was installed, like a toilet.

    • dave permalink
      September 11, 2021 12:59 pm


      But this is the position the Japanese were – supposedly – on the brink of gaining,
      fifty years ago!

      Analysis of the several East Asian cultures since the Neolithic Age shows that they are good at borrowing the outward shows of more progressive peoples, but not at doing much else. East Asia has provided some of the B teams of History, but never an A team.

      Of course, to extend the analogy, OUR A team seems presently to be saddled with managers with the most BIZARRE ideas of how the game should be played. Anyone would think the owners were betting on losing!

  8. Stephen Kelly permalink
    September 12, 2021 4:59 pm

    When you quote china and hot air what about Boris Johnson’s hot air, he was not given a mandate by the voters to sail us down the river of green garbage and global warming lies, so he puts up tax as well on the pretext of socialist care, what folly

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