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Arctic Meltdown Delayed Again!

January 9, 2022

By Paul Homewood




As we start the new year, Arctic sea ice is at its highest extent since 2004, for this time of year:


Having also been the highest during December since 2014:


  It is also close to the 1981-2010 average:

Meanwhile Greenland’s ice cap is also close to average, having finished above average last summer:


Looks like that Arctic death spiral will be delayed another year!

  1. Hugh Sharman permalink
    January 9, 2022 1:45 pm

    Paul Homewood! You are a National Treasure! I demand that a National Blue Plaque shall immediately be erected over your home where ever it is you are living!

  2. Rasa permalink
    January 9, 2022 1:50 pm

    Tough Gig if success is based on the weather predictions. Even tougher Gig if you also add in a temperature forecast. Even tougher Gig if you want to strap on a sea level guess for the next 50 years. The planet burning and we all die prediction? The Global Warmists will be burnt at the stake centuries before then.

  3. Broadlands permalink
    January 9, 2022 2:06 pm

    The impending doom and climate emergency has been put on hold. Joe Biden has released millions of tons of CO2 from the US strategic oil reserves into the atmosphere to “geoengineer” the price of global warming downwards.

  4. January 9, 2022 4:35 pm

    I confidently predict that (based on my patented computer model) in 5 years time children aren’t going to know what Arctic sea ice is. I just have to validate my model against some good data.

    • HotScot permalink
      January 9, 2022 11:22 pm

      Pat Pending………….

  5. January 9, 2022 4:37 pm

    What! No ice-free Arctic? What about Polar Amplification? And Tipping Points? Folks, it’s 2022 and the Arctic still isn’t ice free. This whole Arctic thing is getting long in the tooth. Might be time for climate bed-wetters / grifters to move on to a new scam.

    No kayak trips to the North Pole this year to publicist the ice-free Arctic made so by MannMade climate change. Very few if any Arctic ice trolls out on the blogs for really the last two years or so. I remember every August / September the heated internet discussions about the dangerously disappearing Arctic ice due to MannMade CO2. The entire debate has gone cold. (Sorry, couldn’t resist).

    Plenty of Arctic Ice
    Plenty of Polar Bears
    The Arctic remains a vast, largely barren and desolate, freezing cold wasteland.
    I’m not sure if this is a good or a bad thing, but that’s the way it is.

    • chriskshaw permalink
      January 9, 2022 4:48 pm

      Colder is weather, warmer is climate. Repeat after me

      • Penda100 permalink
        January 9, 2022 5:11 pm

        No – Colder is Extreme weather and clear evidence of Climate Change/Crisis/Catastrophe/Collapse.

  6. Mr T permalink
    January 9, 2022 4:46 pm

    I have just watched a video by a small investment advisory firm, Goehring & Rosencwajg, which stated that last year the Antarctic experienced its coldest winter on record leaving its sea ice at the fifth highest since records began in 1979. I haven’t read this anywhere else although the frost damage to Brazilian coffee was widely reported.
    I believe the ice mass on the Antarctic is more important but is the comment correct?

    • January 9, 2022 5:02 pm

      Mr T

      yes, its basically correct. 2 caveats, the ice extent is very variable year on year and records only exist to 1979-the satellite era

      However the Antarctic itself had its coldest 6 month period in the record from 1979 in the winter recently ended.

      • Matt Dalby permalink
        January 10, 2022 10:51 pm

        A further caveat. Sea ice extent/volume is irrelevant when it comes to determining sea level. It’s melting (or increasing) land locked ice in Greenland and Antarctica that is important. There seems to be no scientific agreement as to whether Antarctica is losing or gaining mass. Most studies agree that West Antarctica, and particularly the Antarctic Peninsular have lost mass, but some studies claim that increased snowfall means that the much larger East Antarctica is gaining mass.
        The most important point is not what is happening, but the reason why it’s happening. Obviously if Greenland and Antarctica are loosing mass and sea level is rising, but it’s entirely driven by natural processes the only thing we can do is adapt, and not think that we can change what is going to happen.
        It seems that the alarmists have moved on from an ice free Arctic and the latest scare is the impending collapse of the Thwaites glacier, a.k.a. the doomsday glacier, since it’s claimed that if Thwaites collapses it will lead to a tipping point and a huge part of the west Antarctic ice sheet will collapse leading to at least 6m of sea level rise. I long ago learnt to ignore scare stories about tipping points as they tend to be theoretical based on dodgy computer models. Looking at some of the satellite pictures of Thwaites is does look like some pretty big chunks are going to fall off fairly soon, however this doesn’t mean that global warming is to blame, it’s far more likely to be natural. If the ice shelf where the glacier meets the sea has been growing for decades and is being undercut by ocean currents then there is bound to come a point when it is no longer strong enough to support it’s own weight and will partially collapse. I’m pretty sure this is how all marine terminating glaciers/ice shelves behave, decades of gradual expansion followed by rapid collapse followed by renewed growth.

    • January 9, 2022 5:07 pm

      Yes, even CNN couldn’t hide it…
      – – –
      Screechy ‘Arctic summer sea ice gone by 20xx’ predictions from the alarmoholics have faded lately. Looks like their death spiral unravelled.

  7. Coeur de Lion permalink
    January 9, 2022 4:48 pm

    I’ve been trying to get hold of a Polar Bear Suit but j without success . There must be lots hidden away somewhere.

  8. 1saveenergy permalink
    January 9, 2022 5:04 pm

    Dam, after all the promises they made, I was looking forward to going to the north pole this summer … on a pedalo !!

  9. SteenR permalink
    January 10, 2022 3:18 pm

    The had to change to a new model for Artic ice coverage, as this year ice coverage was moving through the mean curve during Nov. 2021 – now this year just shows up far behind

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