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New England Will Freeze If Sleepy Joe Gets His Green New Deal

January 24, 2022

By Paul Homewood

 

 Boston temperature

Joe Biden promised to “achieve net zero carbon emissions in the power sector by 2035.”

I’m sure the inhabitants of New England will be over the moon. It’s been a pretty average week temperature wise there and electricity demand is around normal, peaking below the summer air conditioning highs:

Daily peak-hour electricity load in New England

Yet even then wind and solar are only managing to supply 3% of generation. Most of that is solar power at midday.

 

chart 

 

New England already relies on imports for a third of its power, mainly from across the border in Canada:

chart-1

Canada exports about 50 TWh a year to the US, about a tenth of output, of which hydro and nuclear make up 75% (BP Energy Review). New England takes mainly surplus hydro power from Quebec and New Brunswick, but transmission capacity limits the scope for New England to take much more than the 2 GW it does now.

In any event. were Canada to step up exports to the US, it could only do this by increasing fossil fuel generation, as the other sources are fixed.

Which all begs the question – where will New England get all the power it needs when fossil fuels, which currently supply 65%, are excluded from the mix. Nuclear, we are led to believe, has no future in Biden’s green utopia. Instead his main hope is solar power, which has supplied just half a percent this week so far.

But it gets worse!

 

Although natural gas provides nearly half of New England’s electricity, about three quarters of gas consumption goes elsewhere, mainly for residential heating:

Daily natural gas consumption by sector in New England 

 

Just as in the UK, the use of gas for heating will have to be drastically reduced very quickly, if decarbonisation targets are to be met.

Gas usage in New England is running at around 3 bcf/day at this time of year, excluding power generation. This is equivalent in energy terms to 879 GWh/day, or 36 GW.

In other words, if this heating is switched from gas to electricity, New England’s power demand would rise from about 17 GW to 53 GW. That’s triple current demand, and more than double the summertime peak.

Most of the US will be in a similar position in winter, so they cannot all rely on piping solar power in from Nevada.

There is no easy way to say this. People will die, and lots of them, if Joe Biden’s crazy green agenda is implemented.

18 Comments
  1. Broadlands permalink
    January 24, 2022 7:26 pm

    Rip van Biden is another leader who doesn’t understand what net zero carbon emissions actually means. But it wouldn’t matter anyhow because another shortage in carbon fuels for transportation with higher prices at the pump will mean his net zero goals for the power sector will fail. Especially if he takes more oil from the strategic reserves to lower the price of biofuels and increase availability. More CO2 will be added to the atmosphere with none taken out for net-zero. Rock and a hard place?

  2. Graeme No.3 permalink
    January 24, 2022 8:47 pm

    And if the Green Loonies get their wish and Quebec shuts down and relies on hydro + renewables, what happens to their exports to New England?
    Much as in the UK where no-one thinks about the implications of policies in various countries currently able to export electricity.

  3. Harry Passfield permalink
    January 24, 2022 9:14 pm

    Biden promise NZC by 2035? He’ll likely be in a much warmer place by then so what does he care for his Country? I just hope our mini-Biden doesn’t leave our country in the same state.

  4. Graeme No.3 permalink
    January 24, 2022 9:26 pm

    From JoNova.
    I am the very model of a modern politician,

    I’ve no talents but lots of ambition,
    I know nothing of electricity or anything practical,
    and my ideas are hysterical and not at all methodical.

    I am the very model of a modern politician,
    I’ve no knowledge but plenty of ambition.
    I don’t know the workings of the climate nor changes historical,
    but my belief in renewables is quite categorical.

    I am the very model of a modern politician,
    though I’m talking nonsense I brook no opposition.
    And when it comes to expenses — Hey Diddle
    you’ll find how well I can fiddle

    I am the very model of a modern politician,
    I want nothing more than the highest position.
    First in line for all the perks.
    And anyone who objects will be called a jerk.

    I am the very model of a modern politician,
    when a girl charges me with molestation
    I claim I had prior permission,
    and the case is a media distortion.

    I am the very model of a modern politician,
    a faithful servant of the coalition.
    I would never vote with the opposition,
    unless they offered me a better position.

    I am the very model of a modern politician,
    I don’t know how long I can keep up the repetition,
    Long enough to get elected, then it’s all about me and
    you voters can then go to perdition.

    • Thomas Carr permalink
      January 24, 2022 10:24 pm

      Nicely done Graham No 3 . Private Eye might publish but try The Spectator first. Not sure that the New Statesman can cope with the humour.

      • Crowcatcher permalink
        January 25, 2022 6:05 am

        No chance of the Eye publishing as it’s full “climate woke”, you should try reading it!

    • roger permalink
      January 24, 2022 10:30 pm

      Gilbert and Sullivan – High Victorian rappers and then it went downhill

  5. dennisambler permalink
    January 24, 2022 10:45 pm

    Coal beating wind tonight in the UK, total renewable energy is at 5.1%, (Kate). Is this sustainable?

  6. 1saveenergy permalink
    January 24, 2022 11:40 pm

    “New England Will Freeze If Sleepy Joe Gets His Green New Deal”
    “People will die, and lots of them, if Joe Biden’s crazy green agenda is implemented.”

    Yes,it’s going to take a few 1,000 dying to get this madness stopped.
    And ( I know this sounds harsh) the sooner the better to limit the damage.

    • Ben Vorlich permalink
      January 25, 2022 11:24 am

      When I read comments about current energy policy leading to deaths I think of “The Knife” by Genesis and this verse in particular.

      Stand up and fight, for you know we are right
      We must strike at the lies
      That have spread like disease through our minds
      Soon we’ll have power, every soldier will rest
      And we’ll spread out our kindness
      To all who our love now deserve
      Some of you are going to die
      Martyrs of course to the freedom that I shall provide

      I’d rarher not be a martyr to the freedom of low cost renewable energy thanks all the same

      • Ray Sanders permalink
        January 25, 2022 12:53 pm

        About 15 years ago I was on one of my rare business trips to Scotland – Hunterston. A friend had asked me, as I was up there, if I could pick up some speaker cabinets from a specialist manufacturer on the outskirts of Glasgow. When I got there I had my CD player going and a fellow working there oddly told me that he wasn’t really happy with his timing on the end of “that piece”. I really had no idea who he was or even what he was talking about and he said no more about it. I picked up the gear and went home.
        When I dropped off the gear to my friend I told him about this odd chap to which he said “oh you met John Mayhew then” It suddenly dawned on me I had been playing Trespass and it was “The knife”

  7. January 25, 2022 11:16 am

    New York state refused to allow natural gas pipelines from West Virginia to New England to cross their state.

    • Mikehig permalink
      January 25, 2022 12:24 pm

      I read that, because of those pipeline restrictions, there is a supply shortfall which is met by shipping in LNG with one cargo coming from Russia.

  8. Willem Post permalink
    January 26, 2022 4:10 pm

    BIDEN 30,000 MW OFFSHORE WIND SYSTEMS BY 2030; AN EXPENSIVE FANTASY

    https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/biden-30-000-mw-of-offshore-wind-systems-by-2030-a-total-fantasy

  9. Willem Post permalink
    January 26, 2022 4:12 pm

    “BUILD BACK BETTER” WOULD COST $4.490 TRILLION OVER THE NEXT DECADE, IF PROVISIONS WERE MADE TO LAST 10 YEARS

    https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/build-back-better-would-cost-3-95-trillion-overt-the-next-decade

  10. Willem Post permalink
    January 26, 2022 4:13 pm

    PLAYING RUSSIAN ROULETTE WITH RELIABLE ELECTRICITY SERVICE IN NEW ENGLAND

    https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/playing-russian-roulette-with-reliable-electricity-service-to-new

    • It doesn't add up... permalink
      January 26, 2022 5:13 pm

      Wind is a global problem. Here’s the wind barely blowing anywhere on land across teh entire world last night:

      Global stilling. (click for enlarged version)

    • It doesn't add up... permalink
      January 26, 2022 5:16 pm

      Oops. Small version linked! Try this instead:

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