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No, Met Office–A Dry July Does Not Mean Climate Change.

July 30, 2022

By Paul Homewood


This really is quite fraudulent:





So far July 2022 has been the driest July in England since 1911. Up to 26 July there has been only 15.8mm of rain averaged across England; this is only 24% of the amount we would expect in an average July.

At this stage in the month we would expect to have seen well over three-quarters of the month’s rain to have already fallen in an average July.

The situation for the UK is a little better. As it stands, July 2022 is still the eighth driest July since 1836. With only 37.7mm of rain having fallen so far it is the driest July since 1984. Scotland has been closer to average in the north and west, but drier conditions have prevailed for south and east Scotland. Overall Scotland (71%), Wales (39%) and Northern Ireland (43%) have been dry, but the most extreme conditions are in East Anglia and southeast England.

Mark McCarthy, Head of the Met Office National Climate Information Centre, said: “It is not just July that has been dry. Since the start of the year, all months apart from February have been drier than average in the UK too. The result of this is that the winter, spring and summer of 2022 have all seen less than the UK average seasonal rainfall. 

“England has seen the lowest levels during these periods and, rainfall totals for the first six months of the year are around 25% below their long-term average, with the driest regions in the east and southeast.”

A graph showing 2022 2022 monthly rainfalls for England compared to average. The graph shows that every month other than February have seen below average rainfall.

Climate change

Mark McCarthy continued: “Met Office climate change projections highlight an increasing trend towards hotter and drier summers for the UK, with the driest regions anticipated to be in the south and east. While trends in summer temperature and heatwaves are very apparent in the climate records of recent decades, the large variability in our rainfall means that it is too soon to be able to detect the pattern in summer rainfall.” 


To even mention the possibility of climate change being responsible for the dry July is ridiculous as well as dishonest. The Met Office’s own data shoes that Julys are not getting drier; indeed they have been much wetter in the last two decades than the 1970s to 90S:



Furthermore, most of the really dry Julys occurred prior to 1920. The driest one was in 1911, followed by 1868 and 1869. Note also that the period up to 1920 was dominated by big fluctuations in rainfall from year to year, from very dry to very wet. In contrast, the weather lately has been much less extreme.

Needless to say, there are no trends to drier summers either:

The Met Office are simply playing their usual trick of taking one month’s weather and pretending it is climate change.

What is interesting too is this chart:


 A graph showing 2022 2022 monthly rainfalls for England compared to average. The graph shows that every month other than February have seen below average rainfall.

Notice that some of this year’s shortfall was in  January. This, of course, cannot be due to global warming, which the Met Office keeps insisting is making our winters wetter!


Just to complete the picture, this spring was not unusually dry, and again there is no trend to drier springs. And we can say exactly the same for June:

Should not the Met Office be providing the public with all of these relevant facts, instead of stirring up climate alarm?



It was the same set of climate clowns who forecast nine years ago that we would have wetter summers (because of, you’ve guessed it, climate change):




  1. July 30, 2022 6:49 pm

    And the poor snowflakes at the Met Office don’t like receiving messages saying they’re talking rot. Perhaps the phrase about getting out of the kitchen applies!!

    • July 30, 2022 10:26 pm

      If they need to ask a question, the answer is going to be ‘no’.

  2. magesox permalink
    July 30, 2022 6:50 pm

    Nothing else to say other than “heads should roll” given the gargantuan and very reaL financial consequences of this propaganda.
    Come on Liz – deal with this for once as your predecessors have been too gutless to do.

    • HotScot permalink
      July 30, 2022 7:30 pm

      That’s the beauty of the scam. No one will be alive to answer for their failures.

    • dennisambler permalink
      July 31, 2022 9:41 am

      The strategy of using TV weather persons to spread the message, has been around for a long time.

      “Jim Gandy is the chief meteorologist on WLTX in Columbia, S.C., and makes a point of incorporating links between bad weather and climate change into his daily broadcasts.

      “In Columbia, the only thing that separates us from hell in the summertime is a screen door,’’ he said in an interview. “And all of the climate models indicate that it’s going to get worse if we don’t do something about it.”

      The strategy of using local weathercasters to spread the word is in keeping with other White House efforts to use non-traditional media outlets to get policy messages out, said Jennifer Palmieri, the White House communications director.

      “Trusted messengers are hugely important,’’ Ms. Palmieri said. “No one thinks these meterologists have an agenda.” (A telling comment).

      The Met Office is controlled by BEIS which thinks that XR’s Gail Bradbrook and WWF are suitable “experts” to invite before them:

      Tuesday 18 June 2019, Thatcher Room, Portcullis House

      Gail Bradbrook, Extinction Rebellion,
      Isabella O’Dowd, Climate and Energy Specialist, WWF and
      Baroness Bryony Worthington, Environmental Defense Fund, (Miliband’s co-conspirator on the Climate Change Act)

      “The session tests whether the CCC’s net zero advice, and the draft net zero legislation laid by the Prime Minister, go far enough to fulfil the UK’s commitments under the Paris Agreement and to protect our environment for current and future generations.”

      The Met Office is there to provide false scientific credo for government policy.

      • Tom O permalink
        July 31, 2022 9:55 pm

        This line from the Columbia weather man is SO IGNORANT. “In Columbia, the
        only thing that separates us from hell in the summertime is a screen door,’

        Two things jump right out at me – if you can keep the house door BEHIND the
        screen door open, it is NOT hot. The only thing a screen door keeps out are
        bugs. Guess his problem is he things climate change is going to grow the
        insect population.

  3. catweazle666 permalink
    July 30, 2022 7:09 pm

    Going back a few years:
    Desert Britain

  4. Andrew Harding permalink
    July 30, 2022 7:28 pm

    I got out of bed early this morning, because I had 2 weeks worth of washing that had built up. I did not want to have to use the tumble dryer, because the cost of electricity is huge.
    Because the skies were a dark grey, I decided to check the weather forecast.

    Heavy rain in Newcastle upon Tyne from 10:00 all day according to the Met Office, sunshine nil, so I didn’t load the washing machine. The rain finally started at 17:15 after summer sunshine at 15:00.

    The Met Office is not fit for purpose!

    • HotScot permalink
      July 30, 2022 7:49 pm

      If there’s one thing about the environmental loonies I agree with, it’s that we should all stop washing the beejsus out our clothing.

      Unless one has an obvious BO problem, why obsessively wash everything?

      I shower every third or fourth day, I wear the same clothes between times and simply air them on a hanger overnight.

      I wear trousers for over a week normally, often much longer. Assuming they aren’t filthy, why wash them?

      If I smelled, or looked grubby believe me, my wife would have me in the washing machine along with the clothes.

      Like most other marketing ploys, we are sold that we are dirty, rather than we need to wash our clothing.

      Clever messages with tuneful jingles on TV and radio adverts telling us we should use this fresh smelling detergent, or a fabric conditioner which will take care of the clothes, we are washing unnecessarily.

      It’s an entire industry given over to telling us we are dirty, so we must use their products to ensure we shine like a new pin every moment of the day.

      When was the last time you saw a Lion brushing its teeth?*

      *Disclosure: I brush mine twice daily as I believe humans are outliving their teeth’s life expectancy.

      • John Hultquist permalink
        July 30, 2022 8:34 pm

        Then I fumbled through my closet for my clothes
        And found my cleanest dirty shirt

        “Sunday Morning Coming Down”
        Kris Kristofferson

      • Ben Vorlich permalink
        July 31, 2022 8:23 am

        One thing that puzzles me greatly.
        We’re told to wash at 30’C to save the environment from deadly CO2 and Climate Change. Then we have to put various things in our wash to kill various nasties that a hot wash would have dealt with. These additives go down the drain killing bacteria and more on the way. So which is kinder to the environment?
        Anyone with a septic tank knows to use a “Non Bio” detergent. Something I do anyway

    • Ben Vorlich permalink
      July 31, 2022 8:15 am

      I just do what my mum did. Put it out when it’s not raining bring it in when it’s ironing dry. She sometimes left it out over night if it rained at the wrong time.
      There’s a smell of frozen washing on a line I associate with my childhood. She said it was good for the clothes to get frozen. Not sure if was an excuse not to go out in the cold!

      • devonblueboy permalink
        July 31, 2022 8:35 am

        My mother used the excuse that freezing the clothes would kill any nasty germs. And no, she didn’t have a scientific education. Girls born in the 1920s were lucky to receive the most basic of schooling.

  5. Lorde Late permalink
    July 30, 2022 8:02 pm

    So in 1911 it was worse?
    How are we still alive?

  6. Mark Hodgson permalink
    July 30, 2022 8:11 pm

    Paul, thank you. If only the Met Office made full use of all the data to which they have access, instead of using it selectively. It’s good that you are on hand to provide a much-needed corrective.

    • Bystander permalink
      July 30, 2022 10:44 pm

      Mark, I agree absolutely with you. Paul is doing a fantastic job and there are also a lot of people on here making excellent comments and contributing useful links.
      The problem we have is that this website is viewed by those of us who already know that there is no climate change. The majority of the population, who have been brainwashed by the media, politicians, so called scientists, lefties and the green blob, do not see all these charts, records and comments on here so never see the truth.
      We need to get all of Paul’s information in front of the brainwashed on a consistent basis to counteract the alarmists. I don’t know how to do this but there are many clever people on here who might be able to come up with an answer

      • Stuart Hamish permalink
        July 31, 2022 2:31 pm

        Naomi Wolf’s book on the same theme of Covid scaremongering and vaccine casualties has been erased from Amazon …….Hitlers Mein Kampf is still for sale in multiple languages …These people are sick

      • Stuart Hamish permalink
        August 1, 2022 2:35 am

        You ‘Bystander ‘ have arbitrarily chastized my correctives and valid criticisms as if they were unacceptable ‘personal comments ” ….Yet you have not remonstrated with the harsher and more insulting comments posted by others here

    • Stuart Hamish permalink
      July 31, 2022 2:16 am

      ” The problem we have is that this website is viewed by those of us who already know that there is no climate change ” … ..We need to get all of Pauls information in front of the brainwashed on a consistent basis …..I don’t know how to do this but there are many clever people on here who might be able to come up with an answer ”

      viewed by those of us who already know ? .Nice try ….Climate change is an incontestable fact [ the degree of anthropogenic influence is the matter of contention ] although only a cynic would suspect there is anything untoward about your comment.. which reeks of disingenuousness and contrivance ….. Pauls ‘ NALOPKT is not uniquely isolated but merely one climate skeptic blog among dozens of high profile such blogs and websites including Tony Hellers Real Climate Science .com ; Jo Nova , No Tricks Zone and WUWT …The public are spoiled for choice …Anthony Watts WUWT has a compendium of climate skeptic blogs annotated on his homepage

      • Richard Jarman permalink
        July 31, 2022 10:16 am

        Stuart is correct – these arguments need to be in every MPs inbox – A brighter IT person that me – could you suggest how this can be done

      • July 31, 2022 12:48 pm

        I couldn’t agree more !

      • woodburner0 permalink
        July 31, 2022 1:53 pm

        I have suggested Mark Steyn on GB News. His technique is a tough one. He must have hit home on Vaccine-caused Covid deaths, because GB News has been threatened with investigation for propagating “misinformation”…

      • Stuart Hamish permalink
        July 31, 2022 3:22 pm

        If it is assured Covid vaccine deaths and injuries are counter-factual misinformation why would an investigation of Mark Steyn and GB News be warranted ?.. What of the fatalitiies attributed to Covid 19 that were ascribed to Covid when in fact many were affected by co morbidities or simply contracted the virus and died from other causes ? Are they to be subject to inquests ? Why not engage in a rigorous debate instead of vexatious MacArthyist threats ? We have witnessed the same rigid enforcement of tyrannical Covid doctrine here in Australia .- particularly the state of Victoria run by a premier who attacked anti lockdown protestors as ‘evil ‘ only to congratulate and encourage them when the buffoon was told they were mostly protesting him . In fact I have – with some relish – exposed the pseudoscientific pretensions of the Victorian state chief health officer concerning his Japanese Encephalitis climate plague falsehoods [ You may wish to reprise the malaria scare with a report on the JEV climate change nonsense Paul .. I completely debunked it ] and a Victorian Department of Health co authored climate paper so riddled with absurdities and misinformation it should never have been published. There are plenty of examples in the United Kingdom to choose from too

        ..Mark Steyn – and he is a witty ,man of scintillating intellect to be saluted – certainly must have ruffled some feathers reporting on a range of controversies

      • Bystander permalink
        July 31, 2022 9:01 pm

        Stuart, shame on you that you have have to revert to such personal comments. You carry on with your comments but it won’t get us any where!

      • Stuart Hamish permalink
        August 1, 2022 2:04 am

        ” your comment which reeks of disingenuousness and contrivance ” is construed as ” you have to revert to such personal comments ” ? …..shame , shame shame ! … It is a perfectly reasonable criticism ..
        So too your misleading inference that Paul’s [ albeit superb and near faultlessly researched ] blog is somehow unique when in fact it is one of dozens of such climate skeptic websites .No sensible rational contributor here accepts ” there is no climate change ” . It may very well be the case you are a provocateur not of that belief either ..So when you have no intellectually convincing argument you resort to moralizing and ‘shaming ” mild criticisms …Or was it the description of the widely loathed dictatorial Victorian premier Daniel Andrews who has presided over an excessively locked down pernicious biosecurity police state [ the notoriously politicized Victoria Police have recently issued apologetic letters to illejournalists they have persecuted as if that may purchase some redemption ] now verging on bankruptcy as a ” buffoon ” that piqued you ? Did I mention he snarlingly decreed Victorian citizens were at one time not allowed to imbibe alcohol in public without a facemask and straw ? [ For those interested read Mark Steyn’s essay mocking the bizarre prohibitions of the deranged Turkmenistan tyrant for comparison ]…What could possibly be so dangerous about drinking alcohol in the open air [ where the coronavirus’s contagiousness is mollified ] and not inside bars or pubs ? Does alcohol strangely metamorphasise into a Covid -19 magnet in a beer garden and not a more congested bar-room ? What about worshippers in a raided [ Another green left staff culture Victorian Department of Health directive ..Anti semitic controversies involving Victorian health unions are completely irrelevant though ] Ripponlea synagogue and not a curiously permissible Muslim wedding in a Melbourne Labor electorate ? Or a Marxist BLM rally in the CBD but not smaller gatherings of lockdown protestors [ You think I’m joking ?] Or how to explain the restricted attendances of Anzac Day commemorative services while 50 000 were allowed to cram into the MCG stadium the very same day ? Perhaps the dreaded virus is intermittently prone to certain religious and political denominations and assemblies and not others . Presumably all based on assiduous ‘health advice ” .. You know – for the greater good of the community…. . [ Did you know Paul an Australian state chief health officer even released a climate change wall calender glossed with portrait photographs of himself ?] Careful – don’t question the senseless evanescent ” rules ” You may have a snooping East German throwback “authorized officer ” assigned to you who could enter your property and home without a warrant under
        the Turkmenistan tyrant of the souths emergency powers law .

        Shame on me ……So many personalised criticisms By the way – who is ” us” Bystander ?….As if we are all part of some groupthinking collective ?

      • Stuart Hamish permalink
        August 1, 2022 2:38 am

        Richard Jarman I have never argued ” these arguments need to be in every MP’s inbox ” …….

      • Stuart Hamish permalink
        August 1, 2022 3:52 am

        ” Bystander : ” Shame on you that you have to revert to such personal comments ” ..

        Shame shame shame !! . I suppose when your intellectual arguments
        are exhausted you feel compelled to moralize …Did I vilify you as ” evil ” as the dictator of Victoria did with regard to lockdown protesters only to contradict himself by congratulating them ? No – I merely remonstrated that your comments were disingenuous and unconvincing Strange you found nothing reprehensible about Premier Daniel Andrews insulting remarks or the immense harm and suffering he and his corrupt politicized police force and health bureaucrats have visited upon Victorians Now isn’t that odd ? I am not responsible for
        innumerable suicides and a wave of 800 Victorians [ somehow I suspect their families would have more unkind choice words than ‘buffoon “] who died following a hotel quarantine fiasco in breach of the Labor partys workplace manslaughter legislation. for which no one was prosecuted only for the testifiers to develop well rehearsed amnesia in the course of an inquest …. The state is now verging on bankruptcy … If he is not a buffoon how would you describe someone who snarled a whimsical decree that Victorians were forbidden from imbibing alcohol in public places unless they wore a facemask . and used a straw ? Did the coronavirus magically mutate into a pathogen magnetically attracted to beer gardens parks and footpaths and not more congested bar -rooms ? Is a cricket team training in the nets one short of a full squad more susceptible to infection than the full team ? A golfer as opposed to a jogger ? How about a raided Ripponlea synagogue and not a Muslim wedding in the Labor seat of Broadmeadows Or restricted Anzac Day attendances contrasted with 50 000 people allowed to cram into the MCG on the same day ? ..Was the coronavirus more lethal that morning on a national day of remembrance and not later in the afternoon in a football stadium ? Presumably these decrees were made on sound health advice for the greater good of the community

        Mark Steyn [ who would a field day writing about Covid tyranny in Victoria ] mocked the bizarre prohibitions imposed by the Turkmenistan tyrant that resemble some of the weird irrational Covid dictates issued in Victoria

      • Stuart Hamish permalink
        August 1, 2022 9:15 am

        ” Stuart , shame on you that you have to revert to such personal comments ” . Oh the shame !! To think I am being lectured by the hypocrite who insulted most of the population as brainwashed …… I suppose when your intellectual arguments are bereft of merit and exhausted all that is left is to moralize . Personal comments are unavoidable in debates and I only remonstrated that your comments were disingenuous and ridiculous .

        ” The problem is this website is viewed by those of us who know there is no climate change ”

        Pauls blog is monitored by his haters and assorted climate alarmists all the time and there are a plethora of climate skeptic blogs and websites apart from Pauls that publish the graphs and information you contend are not seen I see you found nothing reprehensible about the Victorian premier vilifying lockdown protesters as ‘evil ” only to contradict himself by congratulating them when he was told most were protesting against him ……Who pretel is ” us ” getting anywhere by the way ? As if there is some groupthinking collective and no variance among climate change skeptics

  7. Harry Passfield permalink
    July 30, 2022 8:19 pm

    Your footnote, Paul, robbed me of my comment, but let’s amplify it a little: it was not so long ago that the MO was telling us that Summers would be wetter. So, if this Summer is not wetter, either their computer is wrong or this is not CC. They can’t have it both ways.

  8. marlene permalink
    July 30, 2022 8:32 pm

    And they’ll do it again & again – it’s their job. Without fake news there wouldn’t be “climate change.”

  9. John Hultquist permalink
    July 30, 2022 8:53 pm

    My climate is significantly contributed to from being on the lee side of a mountain range – the Cascades of Washington State. That and being at 47° N Latitude.

    Great Britian extends from 50° to 60° or about 700 miles. That is a little less than going from Vancouver B.C. to San Francisco. Major oceans are involved in both cases, and multiple “climates” result.
    Weather is episodic (some will use “cycles” or cyclical). Multi-weeks, months, and even years of weather episodes are to be expected. “Climate Change” – not so much.

    I sense that the press release writers never took Earth Science 101, or anything similar. Whatever the reasons, their ignorance is astounding.

    • Stuart Hamish permalink
      July 31, 2022 5:55 am

      It is more likely deliberate deception John …..The moniker I use with a nice alliterative touch and nod to the Islamic doctrine of deceit by omission is ” Climate-Kitman ” …….And are their grounds for this ? Yes indeed . Peter Thorne of the UK Met Office stated his concerns in a Climategate email that : ” the science is being manipulated to put a political spin on it “

  10. July 30, 2022 9:05 pm

    If it is so fraudulent can they not be sued?

    • Stuart Hamish permalink
      July 31, 2022 5:44 am

      A UK public office sued so the British taxpayer funds the punitive recompense and to what end ?…….The only reform strategies that may work are mass sackings and special measures oversight bodies ……It took decades to root out Lysenkoist ideology from Soviet scientific institutions …The task of over-turning anthropogenic warming catastrophism within the UK Met Office , the East Anglia University CRU and the BBC will prove to be just as arduous and expensive .If not more so ….I noticed with some astonishment that climatologist Stephen Schneider converted [ with no career repercussions whatsoever ] from 1970’s global cooling hysteria to global warming within four years . As the BBC did with the hagiographical refurbishment of climate scientist Phil Jones in the tele-series ‘The Trick ” it is doubtful the villainous charlatans and grifters will be punished in the event integrity is restored to the UK”s scientific and education institutions ..Or indeed the BBC

    • Micky R permalink
      July 31, 2022 10:00 am

      “If it is so fraudulent can they not be sued?”

      Misconduct in public office might apply

      A view:

  11. jimlemaistre permalink
    July 30, 2022 9:15 pm

    Stop trying to confuse me with the ‘Facts’ . . . I am just now getting used to the ‘Truth’ . . .

  12. Gamecock permalink
    July 30, 2022 9:19 pm

    England has a temperate oceanic climate (Köppen: Cfb).

    Just what is the Met Office expecting it to change to?

    Any declaration of ‘climate change’ (sic) should include what the new climate is going to be (AND, how it is worse).

    You have a climate. ‘Climate change’ must surely give you a new, different climate. Else, there is no change.

    Drilling deeper into the absurd:


    • W Flood permalink
      July 30, 2022 10:01 pm

      For those with long memories the National Trust told us the climate would be Mediterranean by now.

      • Gamecock permalink
        July 31, 2022 3:25 pm

        To this American, that would seem to be a GOOD thing.

        Their battle cry appears to be, “We must fight to keep from having better weather!”

        Net Zero: “We must go neolithic to keep from having better weather!”

        WEF: “We just need to get rid of people.”

    • John Brown permalink
      July 31, 2022 9:38 pm

      The Met Office/BBC are the real climate change deniers. Firstly they deny there were any climate changes before anthropological CO2 emissions existed and now they deny that any climate or temperature changes could be from natural causes.

  13. W Flood permalink
    July 30, 2022 9:59 pm

    It is wearisome having to refute one assertion after another but I suppose that is the great plan, to wear us down.

    • M. Fraser permalink
      July 30, 2022 10:35 pm

      Rock crusts to rebound!
      But no mention that it probably means sea levels won’t actually rise!
      They do seem to want it both ways.

    • Andrew JOHNSON permalink
      July 31, 2022 5:13 am

      I read this Grauniad article, and I must say their literary prowess in the field of science fiction knows no bounds. i was intrigued that this author had such a broad scientific education in the fields of agriculture, geology and animal husbandry. his wonderful imagination is a treasure chest of ideas.

    • Gamecock permalink
      July 31, 2022 3:33 pm


      ‘As he makes clear in his uncompromising depiction of the coming climatic catastrophe, we have – for far too long – ignored explicit warnings that rising carbon emissions are dangerously heating the Earth.’

      Dismissing is not the same thing as ignoring.

      ‘Now we are going to pay the price for our complacency in the form of storms, floods, droughts and heatwaves that will easily surpass current extremes.’

      He summons Baal to punish us.

      ‘The crucial point, he argues, is that there is now no chance of us avoiding a perilous, all-pervasive climate breakdown. We have passed the point of no return’

      Good. I can get back to watching my game.

  14. Mad Mike permalink
    July 30, 2022 10:00 pm

    They were still stating last year that we were going to have wetter summers due to climate change. You can’t blame climate change for wetter summers and then say that climate change is responsible for a dry summer.

    I don’t know how they can say that with a straight face. Incredible.

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      July 31, 2022 7:45 am

      That’s why they shifted to “‘extremes”. It will be either dry or wet, never average. Which works because UK weather is hardly ever average.

      The endless shifting of the narrative is so obvious I really cannot understand why people accept this stuff?

      • devonblueboy permalink
        July 31, 2022 7:55 am

        Those who believe are either true believers in the sense that having a belief trumps facts or they have zero scientific understanding as a result of the dumbed UK education system over the past 30 years or so. And sometimes both of the above.

      • CheshireRed permalink
        July 31, 2022 11:34 am

        @ Phoenix44

        Benign or normal weather; nothing to see here, media and activists go silent.

        Any ‘extreme’; hotter / cooler, drought / flood, windy / still, you name it, is ‘evidence’ of climate change / disruption / catastrophe / breakdown.

        It’s an failsafe method of reframing any bad weather as being caused by ‘climate change’.

  15. M Fraser permalink
    July 30, 2022 10:22 pm

    2221 hours, North Wales, July 2022.
    Pouring down.

  16. GeoffB permalink
    July 30, 2022 10:54 pm

    They must be getting desperate, now that it looks like all the net zero green crap is going to be abandoned due to the natural gas shortage. Roll on a severe winter, no doubt blamed on global warming.

  17. July 30, 2022 11:29 pm

    UK has weather not climate
    The summer is June/July/August
    in one of those months it generally rains almost every day

  18. R. Hartley permalink
    July 30, 2022 11:31 pm

    Full Fact has kindly left this factful briefing note by Gareth Redmond-Smith for Rishi and Liz – and for the beleagured Conservative Party members who have to choose between them for the betterment of us all.

    In the section: Climate, the Environment and Net Zero the use of information from the known-to-be-fraudulent Climate Change Committee is morally and intellectually dubious.

    e.g. “However, whilst the Government has set ambitious targets and launched a new
    Net Zero Strategy, the recent Progress Report to Parliament from the Climate
    Change Committee (CCC) found “major failures in delivery programmes”. The
    energy crisis, largely caused by soaring gas prices which predate the Russian
    invasion of Ukraine, but exacerbated by the conflict itself, further complicates the

    The .pdf is downloadable from this page:

    • Dave Andrews permalink
      August 1, 2022 4:30 pm

      Earlier this year the Commons Public Accounts Committee published a report on ‘Achieving Net Zero: Follow Up’ (2/4/22)

      It reported that Treasury witnesses were “reluctant to be drawn on future costs of achieving net zero cautioning that the Climate Change Committee estimates contain ‘heroic assumptions’ with errors potentially compounding over very long periods.”

      • catweazle666 permalink
        August 1, 2022 4:47 pm

        From the CPAC report:
        “The government has unveiled a plan without answers to the key questions of how it will fund the transition to net zero, including how it will deliver policy on and replace income from taxes such as fuel duty, or even a general direction of travel on levies and taxation. The Government has no reliable estimate of what the process of implementing the net zero policy is actually likely to cost British consumers, households, businesses and government itself. The HM Treasury witnesses we questioned were reluctant to be drawn on what the future costs of achieving net zero would be, cautioning that while the Climate Change Committee has provided estimates, they contain ‘heroic assumptions’ with errors potentially compounding over very long periods. Government is relying heavily on rapidly changing consumer behaviours together with technological innovations driving down the costs of green options but it is not clear how it will support and encourage consumers to purchase greener products.”
        Confidence inspiring or what!
        Mind you, with such luminaries of “Lord” Deben AKA John Gummer in charge…

      • jimlemaistre permalink
        August 1, 2022 5:17 pm

        Great quote ! . . . I would like to add this . . .

        The whole ‘Net Zero’ system is about ‘Appearances’ . . . NOT the clean up of pollution. We take industries that ‘Appear Clean’ by ignoring their implicit ‘Embodied Energy’ and allow them to sell ‘Carbon Credits’, also known as ‘Carbon Allowances’, that work like ‘Permission Slips’ for companies that Pollute Excessively.

        Then these ‘Excess Polluters’ who buy ‘Carbon Offsets’ get to continue polluting, unabated without spending a single dime on removing the REAL pollution going up their smokestacks . . .

        This is a game of ‘slight of hand’, a ‘Magician’s Trick’, trading 4 quarters for a dollar . . . when it comes to cleaning up the Air we Breath or the Water we Drink . . . It LOOKS amazing . . . on paper . . . while in practice . . . It improves NOTHING . . . it is no better than moving the deck chairs on the Titanic from one side of the deck to the other . . . hoping that the list will be corrected . . .

        Net Zero . . . is a 1 Trillion $$ per year Fraud . . . perpetrated on the well-intentioned masses around the world by the Scientific Ignorance of Environmentalists intent on destroying the Fossil Fuel industry.

        What Planet Earth needs is Scrubbers and Electrostatic Precipitators and Nitrous Oxide Burners on EVERY smokestack NOW . . . Oops . . . that would mean that Environmentalists would have to ‘Crawl into bed’ with the dreaded fossil fuel industry and Industrialists to implement systems that Actually Work at cleaning up the Planet. These systems remove up to 97% of the ‘Foul Effluent’ coming from the smokestacks . . .

        Oh My . . . Actual Clean-Up . . . No No No . . . We must destroy them all . . . We won’t need the clean-up . . . They will all be gone . . . no need . . .

        Environmentalists have a Magic Trick . . . ‘Net Zero’ . . . let’s try that . . . Our Buddies in the ‘Clean Green’ energy world will help us sell that and they will get rich at the same time . . . Elon Musk Anyone ??

        Oh . . . The Media doesn’t understand Science either . . . ‘They will help us sell this’ . . . Good! . . . Well Done!

        Complete Madness . . . the innocent masses continue to suffer the world over . . . buried in smog and real pollution . . . because REAL solutions are NOT advocated . . .

        For the ‘Honest Report’ please read the following paper . . . The Devil is in the Details . . .

        Clean Green Energy – Net Zero – Fairy Tales on Steroids (

  19. It doesn't add up... permalink
    July 31, 2022 12:23 am

    St Swithin’s day if thou dost rain
    For forty days it will remain
    St Swithin’s day if thou be fair
    For forty days will rain na mair”
    There is of course little proof to support the superstition and the Met. Office has recorded data across a number of years which disproves it.

    But perhaps that have a different superstition these days?

    • Crowcatcher permalink
      July 31, 2022 12:53 pm

      If my memory serves me correctly, we usually have a pleasant April, May and June then, to coincide with the start of the school holidays, it starts to rain – not every year of course, but this year has conformed🌧️🌦️

  20. Ulric Lyons permalink
    July 31, 2022 1:43 am

    “the large variability in our rainfall means that it is too soon to be able to detect the pattern in summer rainfall”

    It’s not difficult to see an AMO signal in the July rainfall.

  21. Martin Brumby permalink
    July 31, 2022 4:53 am

    You can tell what’s going on, when our Beloved Leaders appoint the likes of Neil Pantsdown Ferguson as “The Science” (Pandemic Department), notwithstanding his proud record of being at least one order of magnitude out with every published prognostication he’s ever made.

    Will he be held to account?

    Will ANYONE be held to account for anything?

    Certainly not, if it means our Beloved Leaders admitting their numerous appointments of “The Settled Science” were complete, disastrous bullshit.

  22. cookers52 permalink
    July 31, 2022 7:35 am

    Met office bio Mark Mccarthy lists his current interests as “Current interests include analysis of a recent sequence of wet summers in the UK.” !!

    So one drier year proves climate change models, but he sort of contradicts himself. He obviously believes.

    My forecast ignore met office forecasts and always carry your waterproof and buy a nice warm coat for the winter.

  23. Phoenix44 permalink
    July 31, 2022 7:41 am

    Driest since 1911. So there you go. No record for over 100 years. So not climate change.

    If they weren’t just liars, they would show the distribution around the average and no doubt 2022 would fall squarely in to it. But “our models predict…” So this must be climate change and it must be unusual.

  24. headforthehills permalink
    July 31, 2022 8:14 am

    Yet again, we have the Met Office spinning a ‘climate change’ story ahead of time. Why wait for the facts that might spoil the story when they can use favourable predictions instead? Couldn’t they wait 5 days to see what the rainfall total actually is. Or is the rain at the end of the month that we’ve had over the last few days not the ‘right rain’?

  25. Mikep permalink
    July 31, 2022 9:57 am

    Meanwhile, here in north Lancashire we have just had 40mm rain fall in 24 hours!

    • Gerry, England permalink
      July 31, 2022 10:59 am

      Jealous in the arid south-east.

      • devonblueboy permalink
        July 31, 2022 11:01 am

        Ditto from Devon 😕

  26. woodburner0 permalink
    July 31, 2022 10:24 am

    Get Mark Steyn at GB News on the job, before GB News is closed down for precipitating “misinformation” about deaths from Covid “vaccinations”…

  27. Gerry, England permalink
    July 31, 2022 10:59 am

    Weather forecasts should be like quotations – always get more than one. So I have rain on the way – yay!! – from weather-forecast but Wunderground says not having changing its mind from yesterday. One of the joys of the internet is rain radar. And that would look to be siding with weather-forecast as some rain is moving eastwards.

  28. July 31, 2022 11:15 am

    Even if July 2022 “has been the driest July since 1911” this in itself shows there is no climate change trend towards drier Summers. Climate change wasn’t even thought about in 1911, yet the July then was actually drier than July 2022. It’s just Britain’s very variable weather

  29. Mad Mike permalink
    July 31, 2022 11:16 am

    A very unscientific question. I read on here that the rate of heating increase is going up by ground reading data yet satellite readings of the air above the ground show a decline.

    Aren’t these 2 sets of data compatible? If ground readings indicate more heat being retained there then it follows that there will be less heat escaping in to the atmosphere which would show up as a decline in satellite data.

    Simple question but I’m sure the answer is quite complicated but keep it simple if you are in a position to answer.

  30. Realist permalink
    July 31, 2022 11:35 am

    Blatantly ignoring 1976 at the very least That is certainly after 1911.

  31. July 31, 2022 11:44 am

    Having officially left the BBC on Friday
    Harrabin was back on Radio4 .. Saturday11:50am FooC From Our Own Correspondent
    Here’s a transcription of Harra’s carefully crafted lecture
    As ever I think you can go through it line by line and take it apart.

  32. avro607 permalink
    July 31, 2022 12:55 pm

    To John Hultquist above:I was humming Sunday Morning coming down,earlier today.Kris wrote some beautiful songs.

    • Stuart Hamish permalink
      July 31, 2022 2:27 pm

      Kris Kristofferson was a fine actor in his heydey too

    • woodburner0 permalink
      July 31, 2022 2:35 pm

      Bit drastic, isn’t it? Bombing…?

  33. July 31, 2022 1:12 pm

    It was only in 2007 that we had flooding during July in southern England. Oh how quick they are to forget….

  34. Sylvia permalink
    July 31, 2022 3:41 pm

    The climate has ALWAYS changed – to think that this has only happened in the TWENTY FIRST CENTURY is “for the Birds” !!!! Even on YouTube you can find video of England in the 1920s, 1900, 1890s etc. and the SNOW IS TEN FOOT HIGH or people are cavorting on a beach in gloriously, hot summers !! WHAT IS WRONG WITH PEOPLE ?????????

  35. kovaha6888 permalink
    July 31, 2022 8:24 pm

    England in the 1920s, 1900, 1890s etc. and the SNOW IS TEN FOOT HIGH or people are cavorting on a beach in gloriously, hot summers !! WHAT IS WRONG WITH PEOPLE ?????????

  36. Peter permalink
    August 1, 2022 6:19 am

    ” a dry run for UK’s climate?”

    I say “Betteridge’s law of headlines”

  37. Mark Hodgson permalink
    August 1, 2022 6:58 pm

    Well, it’s not the driest July since 1911 any more, since it rained at the end of the month. They must be so disappointed:

    “Driest July in England since 1935 – Met Office”

    And 1976 was still drier in toto:

    “The current dry conditions were preceded by the driest January to June since 1976, putting further pressure on water reserves and the land.”

    As for the UK as a whole, not much of any consequence really:

    “The UK more widely had 46.3mm of rainfall, making it the 19th lowest total in July since 1836. When it did rain, it fell more in northern areas of the country.”

    Inevitably, though, the article ends with the obligatory propaganda:

    “Tinder-dry conditions last month sparked wildfires in multiple parts of England and Wales, fuelled by a heatwave that saw record-breaking temperatures above 40C.

    Leading climate scientists have concluded that the extreme heat would have been “virtually impossible” without human-induced climate change.

    The world has warmed by about 1.1C since the Industrial Revolution about 200 years ago when humans started pumping greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.

    Heatwaves and drought will become more common in England, scientists say, as the planet further warms.

    Scientists and environmentalists say the world must rapidly cut greenhouse gases emissions, but warn that progress is much too slow.”

  38. Mark Hodgson permalink
    August 1, 2022 8:28 pm

    Oops, the Guardian jumped the gun:

    “Millions may face hosepipe ban after England’s driest July since 1911”

  39. Mark Hodgson permalink
    August 2, 2022 8:43 am

    “Northern Ireland records driest July this century”. When you click on the link at the BBC website, it morphs into “Northern Ireland weather: Just over 50% of normal rainfall for July”

    “It has been the driest July this century in Northern Ireland, with just over 50% of the normal monthly rainfall.

    A total of 45.8mm of rain was recorded for the whole month. It has not been as dry since 2000 when just 40mm of rain fell.”

    “This century” sounds so much more dramatic than “in 22 years”.

    Climate change?

    “Some parts of Northern Ireland have been wetter than others.

    Armagh, for example, recorded just 24mm of rain in July, whereas Castlederg recorded more than three times that amount at 76mm.”

    Doesn’t sound like that. In fairness, for once, they don’t claim that it is, although they do mention that as well as being dry in Northern Ireland in July it also saw some flooding. At that point the BBC couldn’t help itself:

    “An academic from Queen’s University, Belfast, has warned that further such flooding is likely as climate change takes hold.”

  40. Clive Chafer permalink
    August 4, 2022 12:15 pm

    This whole thing is really a deeply political agenda where no questions can be asked or answered. Is it really any different to the communist propaganda satirised in Orwell’s ‘Animal Farm’ and ‘1984’?

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