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Record World Cereal Outputs Forecast for 2023/24

May 24, 2023

By Paul Homewood

What climate crisis?





Global corn production is forecast to sharply
increase, driven primarily by a forecast of continued
high production in Brazil and rebounds in the United
States and Argentina. Supplies in Ukraine are
forecast to fall as the ongoing war limits production.
Trade is forecast to increase as ample supplies from
major exporters Brazil, Argentina, and the United
States lower prices and supports a rebound in global
demand. Global consumption of corn for both feed
and non-feed uses is forecast up. Ending stocks are
also forecast to rise, primarily due to a strong surge
in stocks in the United States.

The global wheat outlook is for larger production
and consumption with declining global trade and
ending stocks. Production is projected to increase
with larger crops in Argentina, Canada, China, the
European Union (EU), India, and Turkey more than
offsetting large declines for Australia, Kazakhstan,
Russia, and Ukraine. Global trade will contract with
lower imports for China. Declines in exports for
Australia, India, Ukraine, and the United States will
more than offset increases for Argentina, Canada,
and the EU. Global consumption is forecast up on
larger Food, Seed, and Industrial (FSI) use more than
offsetting lower feed and residual use. Ending
stocks are forecast down, with smaller stocks in the
EU, Russia, and the United States.

Global rice production is forecast at a record with
larger production in Asia, especially on record crops
in Bangladesh, India, and China along with a
recovery in Pakistan. Global consumption is
expected to rise to a new record, primarily from
strong growth in India, Bangladesh, and Sub-
Saharan Africa. Global trade is forecast virtually
unchanged with India remaining the top exporter.
Pakistan is expected to see significant growth in
exports amidst a rebounding crop, while forecasts
for Thailand and Vietnam – the next largest
exporters – are down due to less demand from
Indonesia. Global stocks continue a downward
trend to a 6-year low.

  1. The Informed Consumer permalink
    May 24, 2023 11:36 am

    That durn nitrogen, it gets everywhere.

    • Micky R permalink
      May 24, 2023 4:23 pm

      Don’t forget the CO2, it’s plant food y’know.

      CO2 = plant food = feed the world.

  2. Gamecock permalink
    May 24, 2023 1:13 pm

    This is what a “climate crisis” looks like.

    Be scared. VERY scared.

    • that man permalink
      May 25, 2023 1:42 pm

      Rising wheat levels, indeed😲

  3. In The Real World permalink
    May 24, 2023 1:48 pm

    There is a “Climate ” conference starting today .
    Where the speakers have been saying that “we are all doomed ” and other such rubbish , so you can be sure that they will not mention the fact that global crop production is on the increase .
    Might just be worth noting some of the names so that we know further who all of the nutters are .

  4. dearieme permalink
    May 24, 2023 3:01 pm

    I cherish ancient advice: do not waste your time reading journalism written in the future tense.

    To be blunt, bugger forecasts. Tell me what the harvests were once they’re in.

    • Ben Vorlich permalink
      May 24, 2023 5:31 pm

      ‘Here’s a farmer that hang’d himself on the expectation of plenty’

      Not totally appropriate as this particular farmer was hoping for a poor harvest, but anticipation of making money from something reliant on the weather is risky.

  5. It doesn't add up... permalink
    May 24, 2023 3:32 pm

    “Flight! Turn off the early warning radar and the runway lights! It’s not windy enough to power them.

    “Wingco here. What’s all that on the radar screens?”

    “It’s the clutter from the wind farms… windy today”

    So what’s the use?

  6. May 24, 2023 4:16 pm

    Expect the mainstream compromised media to put out a spoiler. The pathetic BBC have a track record for disingenuously repeatedly seeking out any small area which has experienced a local problem and then blames it on klymutt sheyngsh conveniently ignoring the global stats which have broken production records year on year for years.

    • Ben Vorlich permalink
      May 24, 2023 5:36 pm

      I see the BBC has moved on from mere fact checking to BBC Verify, same people I assume

      • It doesn't add up... permalink
        May 24, 2023 5:47 pm

        Verified as economical with the actualité.

      • cookers52 permalink
        May 25, 2023 7:19 am

        BBC Verify are attempting to Verify criminal investigations and Police action by speculating on what might have happened.
        The incredible naivety and confirmation bias of the so called BBC journalistic experts is amazing.
        Their lack of self awareness is in line with previous BBC scandals.

  7. Phoenix44 permalink
    May 24, 2023 6:28 pm

    You really have to wonder how a “global” weather problem can be so obviously non-global?

    It’s clear from this sort of data that any problems with “climate” are just very localised and very short-lived.

    • Gamecock permalink
      May 24, 2023 10:09 pm

      IOW, weather.

  8. Thomas Carr permalink
    May 24, 2023 6:51 pm

    Goodness life must be miserable for the doomsayers.Nothing is working out for them. It must also be miserable to have to read what gCaptain have sourced from Bloomberg on Australia’s coal exports viz. the third highest monthly tally has been achieved in April at 40.68 million tons.

    • Gamecock permalink
      May 24, 2023 10:10 pm

      But . . . but . . . windmills made some electricity!

  9. MrGrimNasty permalink
    May 24, 2023 11:16 pm

    Bourne Valley has had 21 deliberate heath fires recently – a pattern no doubt common all over the country with feral youth etc. out of control everywhere. An amber wildfire alert has been issued from next week. No doubt the media will be blaming climate change anon.

  10. frankobaysio permalink
    May 25, 2023 2:15 pm

    Government announcement today. Hot Water Heating from the Mines “it is estimated that 25% of homes and businesses in the UK are located above former coal mines” Apparently this plan would also provide a wider benefit. “Mine water heat could also play a part in the UK’s efforts to tackle climate change….”
    This actually sounds a good idea to a layman like me, but what will be the costs and the heat loss in extracting the hot water and injecting it, into the water supply…??. Link:

    • dave permalink
      May 25, 2023 4:58 pm

      “…25 % of homes and businesses in the UK are located above [sic] former coal mines…”

      Forsooth! Look at the size of the old coal districts:

      Actual mine-workings will only be under a tiny part of these areas.

    • May 26, 2023 8:05 am


      surely this water is warm, not hot; to the best of my knowledge coal mines were not air conditioned because it was too hot too work?

      • frankobaysio permalink
        May 26, 2023 11:09 am

        Hi Iain The page with details is here:
        Maybe Hot is not the right word, but 20 degrees C is illustrated. There is a link to an Interactive Map and by selecting Mine Water Heat at the top right drop down menu you should see the actual temperatures recorded, but it doesn’t seem to work properly……

      • May 26, 2023 12:34 pm

        Hello Frank,

        the diagram actually shows a heat pump to increase the warm water (20 degees is barely warm) so essentially it is acommunity ground source heat pump scheme.
        Not alot of potential in my view compared to the headline?

      • dave permalink
        May 26, 2023 11:21 am

        “…warm, not hot…”

        Yes. Coal mines in Britain, to the best of my knowledge, were rarely more than than a kilometre deep. The rock, a kilometre down, is about 50 C. So a system of water circulation through such a mine followed by local distribution, by pipes, to places on the surface would give modest background heating.

        I have noticed a distraction technique in recent CAGW
        propaganda, whereby trivial, alternative-energy sources and techniques are absurdly hyped.

  11. May 26, 2023 8:03 am

    In an article in Watts up with that, someone commented that when claims are made that production is decreasing when the data shows otherwise mean that it would have even been higher without climate change so consider the actual figures a decrease of what could have been.

    Conjecture versus facts but this slant on viewing such figures is not made clear and any media reports quoting the claims of decreasing production due climate change is another misleading story.


  1. Record World Cereal Outputs Forecast for 2023/24 – Watts Up With That? - USA weather forecast
  2. The climate scaremongers: We’re all going to starve – or are we? – The Conservative Woman : Inside UK – INSIDE UK NET

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