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Ed Hawkins Mocks Peter Wadhams

November 6, 2014
tags:

By Paul Homewood 

 

h/t Green Sand

 

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https://twitter.com/ed_hawkins/status/519901511149948928

 

Ed Hawkins, climate scientist at Reading University and contributor to IPCC AR5, does not seem to think too much of fellow climatologist and  uber warmist, Professor Peter Wadhams. It is Wadhams, you may recall, who has regularly been telling us that all the Arctic ice would have melted away by now.

Hawkins has the above graph on twitter, exposing Wadham’s nonsensical claims.

 

Having failed to get it right before, the good professor now tells us we will have to wait till 2020. This is his latest offering from the Alaska Dispatch News.

 

REYKJAVIK, Iceland — Get ready to order those beach umbrellas in Barrow. One of the leading authorities on the physics of northern seas is predicting an ice-free Arctic Ocean by the year 2020.
That’s about two decades sooner than
various models for climatic warming have indicated the Arctic might fully open.
"No models here," Peter Wadhams, professor of applied mathematics and theoretical physics at the University of Cambridge in England, told the Arctic Circle Assembly on Sunday. "This is data."
Wadhams has access to data not only on the extent of ice covering the Arctic, but on the thickness of that ice. The latter comes from submarines that have been beneath the ice collecting measurements every year since 1979.
This data shows ice volume "is accelerating downward," Wadhams said. "There doesn’t seem to be anything to stop it from going down to zero.
"By 2020, one would expect the summer sea ice to disappear. By summer, we mean September. … (but) not many years after, the neighboring months would also become ice-free."

http://www.adn.com/article/20141102/expert-predicts-ice-free-arctic-2020-un-releases-climate-report

 

 

As one of Wadham’s fellow climate scientists, James Annan, observed:

 

 Hasn’t Wadhams already predicted 4 of the last 0 ice-free summers?

 

In the meantime, Wadhams might care to study the phenomenon known as the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, or AMO. It might stop him looking quite so ridiculous.

 

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http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/cgi-bin/gcos_wgsp/tsanalysis.pl?tstype1=91&tstype2=0&year1=1895&year2=&itypea=0&axistype=0&anom=0&plotstyle=0&climo1=&climo2=&y1=&y2=&y21=&y22=&length=&lag=&iall=0&iseas=1&mon1=0&mon2=11&Submit=Calculate+Results

 

 

When the index starts to rise, Arctic temperatures increase and ice extent falls, just as it did after 1920 and has done again since 1975. 

And when it starts to fall, watch out!

 

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http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/station_data_v2/

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5 Comments
  1. Simonj permalink
    November 6, 2014 4:32 pm

    Hi Paul
    I’ve been a long term lurker. On the subject of submarines and the Arctic, just wondering if you had ever seen this by the late John Daly:

    http://www.john-daly.com/polar/arctic.htm

    Regards Simon

  2. Mick J permalink
    November 6, 2014 8:34 pm

    “When the index starts to rise, Arctic temperatures increase and ice extent falls, just as it did after 1920 and has done again since 1975.”

    I recently came across this study that examines the prevalence of North Atlantic blocking events and a correlation with the AMO, a study that also includes the following. Does not seem to have had much press. 🙂

    “The team also found that these short-term weather blocking events impacts beyond the atmosphere and may ultimately alter ocean currents.

    A series of connected changes begin because clusters of blocking events can divert the normal track of the storms crossing the Atlantic, which in turn can alter the twisting motion that the wind has on ocean waters, or wind curl. Depending on how wind curl works, it can speed up or slow down the large, circulating currents in the ocean known as gyres. When a blocking event reverses the rotation of the wind curl, the winds push against the direction of the whirlpool-like North Atlantic subpolar gyre, slowing its rotation. A slower, weaker gyre allows subtropical waters that would normally be trapped in the whirlpool-like flow to escape and move northward.

    “These warmer and more saline waters then invade the subpolar ocean and cause a series of impacts,” said Peter Rhines, an oceanographer at the University of Washington, Seattle, and co-author of the new study. “They erode the base of glaciers, contributing to the melting of the Greenland ice sheet. And the change in temperature and freshness of the waters can alter subpolar ecosystems, too.””

    http://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/blocking-atlantic.html

  3. John F. Hultquist permalink
    November 7, 2014 2:19 am

    At the present time Earth’s atmosphere and oceans seem to be remarkably stable and benign. Of course things may not stay this way. Those hitching their projections to CO2 ought to back away from their computer models and read the news. Nothing is happening. The planet is fine.
    [If the language doesn’t bother you, search for George Carlin’s stand-up routine called The Planet is Fine.]

  4. Gary Pearse permalink
    December 13, 2014 4:32 pm

    World arctic expert from 1970! Woe for students he has been misinforming for 45 years. I can see things deteriorating to him being known as Twaddle Waddle. At some point it must cease to be an ad hominem.

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