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No Record Temperatures According To Satellites

December 3, 2014
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By Paul Homewood 

 

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http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-30311816 

 

Unsurprisingly, the BBC put up a deliberately apocalyptic picture while telling us the world is on course for the warmest year on record.

What they failed to tell us was that the more accurate satellites, which monitor atmospheric temperatures over nearly all of the globe, say no such thing.

Figures from UAH are out for November, and these show a drop from the  October anomaly of 0.37C to 0.33C. This means that at the end of November, this year is only in a tie for 3rd with 2005, and well below the record year of 1998, and 2010. 

 

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http://nsstc.uah.edu/climate/index.html

 

Moreover, despite El Nino conditions for most of this year, this year is only running a modest 0.03C warmer than last year.

RSS data for November is still awaited, but is unlikely to alter the October YTD position, which ranked 2014 as only 7th warmest.

 

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http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/enso/mei/

 

 

What the BBC also failed to tell us was that there are large uncertainties in the surface datasets, which they are reporting on. Colin Morice of the Met Office warns:

 

Record or near-record years are interesting, but the ranking of individual years should be treated with some caution because the uncertainties in the data are larger than the differences between the top ranked years. We can say this year will add to the set of near-record temperatures we have seen over the last decade.

 

UK Rainfall

As an aside, the Met Office press release also gives an update on this year’s rainfall in Britain.

 

This is also set to be a notably wet year for the UK, with 1162 mm of rain between 1 January and 25 November.

If we saw average rainfall for the rest of the year, 2014 would rank as the 4th wettest year in the UK records dating back to 1910. It would also be 11th in the longer running England and Wales precipitation series, which dates back to 1766.

However, if we do have a very wet December this year could still break the UK record set in 2000 of 1337 mm.

Due to the large amount of variability in UK rainfall, it’s not yet possible to say whether human influence directly impacted this year’s total.

 

It is good to see that they have this time mentioned the long running England & Wales series. As I mentioned last month, it was extremely this year would come anywhere setting a record on this series.

It is also pleasing that they have not attempted to link it to AGW.

 

A Year of Extremes

Finally, I cannot let the BBC get away with this piece of nonsense.

 

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I am sure that you could pick out highlights like these in any year; there are simply so many countries, and parts of countries, so many different records, and so many months in a year to find a record in. Quite simply, this part of their report is no more than a piece of cynical propaganda.

Although they touch on tropical cyclones, they completely fail to mention the continuing lack of land falling hurricanes in the US, or the third year in a row with near record low numbers of tornadoes.

Unfortunately, we are now used to such biased reporting from the BBC.

24 Comments
    • December 4, 2014 10:38 am

      Can’t be bothered to read it. I assume there is no mention of the geothermal activity prevalent underneath that ice sheet?

  1. Derek permalink
    December 3, 2014 8:27 pm

    “Figures from UAH are out for November, and these show a drop from the October anomaly of 0.27C to 0.33C. ”

    Paul, did you mean to write the above sentence? Should it read “a slight increase” or are the figures the wrong way round?

  2. December 3, 2014 8:29 pm

    Reblogged this on the WeatherAction News Blog and commented:
    Great work Paul. You could also send a few journalists the list of meridional extremes from your last HH Lamb post.

    https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2014/12/02/11646/

    That list of extremes tacked on was desperate and as ever devoid of historical context…like most MSM output.

  3. Joe Public permalink
    December 3, 2014 9:42 pm

    When I saw Shukman’s report, I just knew you’d do a deconstruction.

  4. Chris Manuell permalink
    December 3, 2014 10:10 pm

    Sky are also pushing it like mad,

  5. John permalink
    December 3, 2014 11:47 pm

    The Beeb were all on with the ‘its down to man made climate change ‘ this morning
    Led by our old friend Harrabin

  6. December 4, 2014 2:33 am

    In a past life, the BBC used to be the number 1 honest broadcaster worldwide. Now it’s a mad rush to the bottom, and the BBC is leading the way, along with ‘their’ ABC.

  7. December 4, 2014 5:55 am

    Hi Paul, sorry to off topic, but I came across this old article that I’m sure you will enjoy. About electricity supply in Gt Britain about 80 years ago, when the priority was about energy, not all this other stuff. http://wondersofworldengineering.com/electricpower.html

    • Joe Public permalink
      December 4, 2014 12:11 pm

      Fascinating site, nzrobin.

      Loved the energy-units regarding aluminium production in Scotland: “Two and a half kilowatt years of direct current are required to produced one ton of aluminium.”

  8. December 4, 2014 10:21 am

    nzrobin: Thank you for that. It is a fascinating read and shows how the progress that was made in the 1930s by engineers is now being rapidly reversed by the current idiots in charge of our energy supply.

    • Dave Ward permalink
      December 4, 2014 12:19 pm

      Seconded! Note how the system was designed to run large plant flat out for best efficiency, and only use “peakers” for short periods. Now we have the reverse – big stations being closed to comply with EU directives, with small ones and numerous STOR type installations trying cope with huge variations in wind & solar output.

      Absolute madness.

      @ Thanks nzrobin for that link – there appears to be a host of other interesting material at the site.

  9. Bloke down the pub permalink
    December 4, 2014 2:01 pm

    A Year of Extremes

    Finally, I cannot let the BBC get away with this piece of nonsense.

    Strange that they fail to mention that Lloyds of London announced increased profits this year which they put down to a ‘benign period for catastrophes’

  10. December 7, 2014 6:43 pm

    Although 2014 is not a year with record temperatures, you must all agree that everywhere around the world the global garming is showing its effects. In my opinion, oceans have a big saying in this effects, more than pollution or energy consumption do.You can find some highlights about global warming related to oceans at http://www.1ocean-1climate.com.

    • December 7, 2014 7:33 pm

      I agree that the major factor in recent changes has been the oceans. They act as a store of energy, and change over periods of decades and even centuries.

      The idea that SST’s in the last few years have anything to do with GHG is frankly laughable, and shows no understanding at all of oceanic processes.

      Global warming took off in the late 70’s, as the PDO turned positive and the AMO began its climb from the absolute bottom. Since about 2005, the PDO has turned back, but the AMO remains at the top, hence flatlining temps. When the AMO starts going downhill, probably around 2020, we will get 20 yrs of cooling, just as we did in the 60’s and 70’s.

      See how the cycles and temps correlate here.

      https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2013/10/21/amo-pdo-cycles/

  11. January 18, 2015 12:29 am

    My study of sea level for six West Coast cites with long tide-gage records – San Diego, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Seattle, Vancouver, and Victoria – show they all have had significant sea level decreases since 1997. Sea level changes are a good proxy for global temperature trends; sea level was higher during the four warming periods since the end of the Ice Age 10,000 years ago, and paleo temperature reconstructions show it was warmer then than now.

  12. Brian H permalink
    April 25, 2015 4:39 am

    Climb a rise to a plateau, and walk along the plateau. Every step is higher than those made while climbing. That’s what a hill is! Every plateau has limits, though. You may end up climbing further, or descending. Regardless of current altitude.

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