More “Hottest Year Evah” Nonsense
By Paul Homewood
This is just one in a long line of propaganda which tries to persuade us the Earth is burning up.
Needless to say, the claim is based on highly controversial surface datasets, which are affected by UHI and poor siting, have been heavily adjusted, and have extremely patchy data.
In reality, there is little or no data coverage for most of the world. Instead, temperature trends are simply made up for large areas, particularly the supposedly fast warming regions like the Arctic.
Of course, we don’t have to rely on such unreliable data, as we have satellites to give us to give us a much more accurate and comprehensive measurement of atmospheric temperature.
As even NOAA themselves are forced to admit, temperatures so far this year are running close to those at the same stage in 1998.
It was only back in February that the Met Office claimed that surface data records were “corroborated by records of temperatures in the troposphere recorded by satellites”:
They don’t appear worried now that they are “not corroborated”.
The pause in global temperatures since 1998 has led to much perplexity and discussion amongst climate scientists.
For instance, the Met Office published a report, “The recent pause in global warming: What are the potential causes? “, as recently as July 2013. The Executive Summary alone mentioned the word “pause” eleven times.
The only thing that has happened since then is that we have experienced arguably the strongest El Nino on record, which has inevitably led to a spike in temperatures.
Yet now we are expected to believe that the pause never existed and that temperatures have been steadily marching upwards since 1998.
The real story behind temperature trends since 1979, the start of the satellite era, concerns the changing pattern of ENSO, the El Niño/Southern Oscillation, described by NOAA as the most important coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomenon to cause global climate variability on interannual time scales.
El Ninos and La Ninas are widely accepted as being purely natural climatic phenomena. They tend to run in cycles, which NOAA have managed to track back to 1870.
One such El Nino dominated period was from the mid 1920s to mid 1940s.
Since 1976, we have been in a period dominated by strong El Ninos. Not only do these cause temperatures to spike, they also leave residual heat in the system for sometime.
If the past is any guide, eventually we will return to a period dominated by La Ninas, which will push temperatures back down below average.
Oceans have a dominant role in the Earth’s climate system, but its mechanisms are still poorly understood.
Yet for some reason, climate scientists prefer to ignore this fact, and insist that CO2 is the only driver that matters.