Coal to dominate in India through 2047 says report
By Paul Homewood
From PEI, a story that needs little comment:
Coal-fired plants will continue to supply a significant share of India’s baseload power through 2047, a new report predicts.
In a recent study titled Energizing India, the National Institution for Transforming India (NITI Aayog) and Japan’s Institute of Energy Economics said coal’s share in India’s energy mix would stay between 42 and 50 per cent for the next 30 years, providing baseload power along with nuclear.
The nation’s ambitious renewable energy goals “have been taken into consideration” in the report, the authors noted.
Although India boasts the world’s fourth largest coal reserve, the country will achieve peak domestic coal production in 2037 according to the study, and will then rely increasingly on imports. Under a business-as-usual scenario, coal imports could rise from 17 per cent in 2012 to 65 per cent in 2047.
India is predicted to have 333 coal-fired power plants installed in 2047, up from 125 in 2012, under the business-as-usual scenario. Under an ambitious scenario, that number could rise to 459.
However, in order to meet its climate goals under the Paris Agreement, half of India’s coal power capacity will need to use supercritical technology by 2047 according to the report. In 2015, supercritical plants accounted for 11.5 per cent of all coal-fired capacity.
Coal-fired plants supplied 58 per cent of India’s total power generation in 2015.
Meanwhile, gas-fired power’s share will rise to between 22 and 26 per cent by 2047, the report said, from its present share of around 4 per cent.
The report comes as India’s major coal power producers have requested substantial government money in order to meet new emissions rules.
Firms such as Reliance Power, Adani Power and the National Thermal Power Corporation of India (NTPC), which is state-owned, have reportedly asked the government to extend the deadline for retrofitting their plants to comply with the new standards.
If financial support is not forthcoming, the companies reportedly said substantial tariff hikes would be necessary to pay for the retrofits according to internal documents seen by the Reuters news service.
One such document, a letter from NTPC to the government, said the firm would need around $8bn to upgrade its 28 coal-fired plants across India.
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NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT 
Could someone send a copy of this in bold capitals to Greg Clark as he seeks to decarbonise our economy to ‘save the planet’?
Waste of time.
As I understand it, CO2 emitted by developing countries is harmless. Only CO2 emitted in the US and Europe causes warming.
Ya got it,
Hmm, 17 years beyond 2030 – forget Paris Mrs May et al.
It’s a good job the Paris Climate Accord will keep a lid on emissions.
^.^
chuckle 😉
Sadly, my local City Council will be voting tonight on a “resolution” brought by “The Green Team” to support the Paris Climate Accord. But they assure, it is not political–meaning it is entirely political.
I emailed all 7 with the facts on Christiana Figueres a Costa Rican member of the National Liberation Party and her 2015 admission, as the one who basically wrote the Accord, that it was not about climate, but about getting rid of capitalism in favor of Marxism. I also gave my degrees and the granting institutions as credibility for my thoughts on the subject and stated why I thought, as a scientist, that man-caused climate change was a false premise. I reminded them that President Trump had made the right decision as it was a treaty. As such it required ratification by the US Senate rather than Obama’s phone and pen.
A woman replied to me as “Ms” Gibson instead of “Dr.” which I had used. I did not let her get away with marginalizing me with that tactic. She also believes that large snow storms or rain storms are proof of climate change and Morgantown in in grave danger. It is, but from college students with their propensities for drugs and alcohol. I pointed out that she was describing “weather” and not “climate.”
Another blasted me for quoting Figueres statements because they were in an Investors Business Daily article from 2015. According to this wizard, PolitiFact dubbed that publication “pants on fire liars”. He hinted that made me one also. I replied that PolitiFact was funded by George Soros and The Clinton Foundation and “nice try.”
On Sunday, I sent the link to the article on Professor Richard Lindzen’s remarks (gave them the original article) and a sizable biography of the Professor from MIT. I said, that they brushed me aside, I hoped that MIT would prove worthy of their attention and would have at least the credibility of the Morgantown Green Team. This morning’s news brought a response from a WV coal group coming out against the City Council’s silliness.
Great work Joan!
You might like to ask which storms they mean!
http://cdiac.ornl.gov/cgi-bin/broker?id=468384&_PROGRAM=prog.gplot_boxtclim_yr2014.sas&_SERVICE=default¶m=PRCP&pyear=year_prcp&xyear=year_prcp&minyear=1895-96&maxyear=2013-14
http://cdiac.ornl.gov/cgi-bin/broker?id=463544&_PROGRAM=prog.gplot_boxtclim_yr2014.sas&_SERVICE=default¶m=PRCP&pyear=year_prcp&xyear=year_prcp&minyear=1889-90&maxyear=2013-14
http://cdiac.ornl.gov/cgi-bin/broker?id=461220&_PROGRAM=prog.gplot_boxtclim_yr2014.sas&_SERVICE=default¶m=PRCP&pyear=year_prcp&xyear=year_prcp&minyear=1888-89&maxyear=2013-14
Excellent Joan. I wish I had a fraction of your ability.
Paul, I couldn’t work out what those storm charts meant. I have the dubious privilege of now having Claire Perry as my MP who has been elevated to Climate Change Minister. I sent a list of questions to her which she naturally didn’t answer directly but replied with the usual groupthink propaganda and lies. She will be getting a blast back from me with some information gleaned from your excellent website. Thank you so much for your hard work. I wish I could send a copy of her reply to you!
I think the presence of extra carbon in the atmosphere is a relentless driver of the production of extra carbon containing plant material. I maintain three gardens, one of an acre and two quarter acre ones and my life’s struggle is to dispose of the vast amount of green material they produce!