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Coal to dominate in India through 2047 says report

August 1, 2017

By Paul Homewood



From PEI, a story that needs little comment:





Coal-fired plants will continue to supply a significant share of India’s baseload power through 2047, a new report predicts.


In a recent study titled Energizing India, the National Institution for Transforming India (NITI Aayog) and Japan’s Institute of Energy Economics said coal’s share in India’s energy mix would stay between 42 and 50 per cent for the next 30 years, providing baseload power along with nuclear.

The nation’s ambitious renewable energy goals “have been taken into consideration” in the report, the authors noted.

Although India boasts the world’s fourth largest coal reserve, the country will achieve peak domestic coal production in 2037 according to the study, and will then rely increasingly on imports. Under a business-as-usual scenario, coal imports could rise from 17 per cent in 2012 to 65 per cent in 2047.

India is predicted to have 333 coal-fired power plants installed in 2047, up from 125 in 2012, under the business-as-usual scenario. Under an ambitious scenario, that number could rise to 459. 

However, in order to meet its climate goals under the Paris Agreement, half of India’s coal power capacity will need to use supercritical technology by 2047 according to the report. In 2015, supercritical plants accounted for 11.5 per cent of all coal-fired capacity.

Coal-fired plants supplied 58 per cent of India’s total power generation in 2015.

Meanwhile, gas-fired power’s share will rise to between 22 and 26 per cent by 2047, the report said, from its present share of around 4 per cent.

The report comes as India’s major coal power producers have requested substantial government money in order to meet new emissions rules.

Firms such as Reliance Power, Adani Power and the National Thermal Power Corporation of India (NTPC), which is state-owned, have reportedly asked the government to extend the deadline for retrofitting their plants to comply with the new standards.

If financial support is not forthcoming, the companies reportedly said substantial tariff hikes would be necessary to pay for the retrofits according to internal documents seen by the Reuters news service.

One such document, a letter from NTPC to the government, said the firm would need around $8bn to upgrade its 28 coal-fired plants across India.

  1. Dung permalink
    August 1, 2017 9:03 am

    Could someone send a copy of this in bold capitals to Greg Clark as he seeks to decarbonise our economy to ‘save the planet’?

    • Graeme No.3 permalink
      August 1, 2017 10:23 am

      Waste of time.

  2. Stonyground permalink
    August 1, 2017 9:10 am

    As I understand it, CO2 emitted by developing countries is harmless. Only CO2 emitted in the US and Europe causes warming.

  3. Jackington permalink
    August 1, 2017 10:36 am

    Hmm, 17 years beyond 2030 – forget Paris Mrs May et al.

  4. August 1, 2017 10:50 am

    It’s a good job the Paris Climate Accord will keep a lid on emissions.

  5. Rowland H permalink
    August 1, 2017 3:44 pm

    Paul, I couldn’t work out what those storm charts meant. I have the dubious privilege of now having Claire Perry as my MP who has been elevated to Climate Change Minister. I sent a list of questions to her which she naturally didn’t answer directly but replied with the usual groupthink propaganda and lies. She will be getting a blast back from me with some information gleaned from your excellent website. Thank you so much for your hard work. I wish I could send a copy of her reply to you!

  6. David permalink
    August 5, 2017 8:47 pm

    I think the presence of extra carbon in the atmosphere is a relentless driver of the production of extra carbon containing plant material. I maintain three gardens, one of an acre and two quarter acre ones and my life’s struggle is to dispose of the vast amount of green material they produce!

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