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Greenland’s Summer Melt Season Set To Be Shortest For Years

August 11, 2020
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By Paul Homewood

 

 https://i2.wp.com/polarportal.dk/fileadmin/polarportal/surface/SMB_curves_LA_EN_20200810.png

http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/

 

After one of the latest starts to the summer melt in Greenland, it appears that the melt has pretty much finished a couple of weeks early as well.

In all likelihood, it will end up being the shortest melt on record, not that this will be reported.

As I reported a few months ago, the winter in Greenland had been unusually cold and dry, dominated by high pressure. As such, snow accumulation was below average. The late start to the melt season helped to claw back much of the snow deficit.

With deep low pressure systems set to dominate Greenland’s weather this week, we can expect to see the Surface Mass Balance (SMB) to be back to normal by the end of August.

Greenland summer temperatures depend mostly on the amount of sunshine received, not carbon dioxide. It therefore appears likely that this summer will be much cooler than usual, indeed similar to the cold , wet one of 2018.

22 Comments
  1. Ben Vorlich permalink
    August 11, 2020 10:26 am

    I like having a look at the DMI charts for Greenland and temperature North of 80′ most days. The winter temperature has been cooler than the last few years, summer looks pretty average.

    The Greenland mass data has been quite interesting too. As you say generally below the mean, but there were three or four unusually large gains over winter.

  2. jack broughton permalink
    August 11, 2020 10:58 am

    Unfortunatelt, so far as the meja are concerned: if it goes colder the climate change models predicted it and it is climate change,; if it gets hotter it is obviously global warming. Sense and logic have no place in the pseudo-scientific comfortable-class revolution.

    I would add that it is not left wing politics that drive the meja campaign, but over-easy lives of the chattering class.

  3. Harry Davidson permalink
    August 11, 2020 11:04 am

    And this from the DMI. If they could find a way to suggest a warmer SMB, they would.

  4. Penda100 permalink
    August 11, 2020 11:05 am

    Bound to be headline news on the BBC

    • Phillip Bratby permalink
      August 11, 2020 11:57 am

      It definitely contradicts what I heard on the BBC very recently.

  5. Harry Davidson permalink
    August 11, 2020 11:11 am

    Another point. Back in mid May the SMB wandered across the melt line a month early. The BBC immediately ran a banner headline “Earliest ever start to the Greenland melt season”. They didn’t correct it when the SMB promptly went +ve again, because they are not interested in truth – only politics. The melt season was in fact a week late starting, if it does turn out to have ended 2 weeks early, I wonder if they will mention it?

  6. dearieme permalink
    August 11, 2020 12:05 pm

    I dislike short term forecasts such as “it will end up being the shortest melt on record” even when made by a chap on the right side of all the arguments. Why not wait a few weeks, see what has happened, and write then?

    • dave permalink
      August 11, 2020 3:25 pm

      To be fair, Paul made it clear that his forecast for the rest of the melt was based on the snowy weather forecast for the region. You are right, of course, that this is giving an hostage to fortune. That sort of thing does not bother the BBC, who simply pretend that they have never made a wrong call about anything, since the moment of Creation when God made them to sit at his right hand.

      Ben Vorlich says summer temperatures look ‘pretty average.’ I would point out that as long as some mixture of ice and water persists in the Arctic Ocean, the air-temperature 2 meters above the sea cannot go more than a smidgen above Zero C. Any excess heat input will vanish, while melting the ice into water.

  7. Patsy Lacey permalink
    August 11, 2020 12:21 pm

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-8615325/Arctic-sea-ice-completely-VANISH-2035.html
    The Met Office has developed a special tool.

    • August 11, 2020 12:44 pm

      Is it a mumbo jumbo generator?

    • jack broughton permalink
      August 11, 2020 3:01 pm

      This must be Wadder’s latest prediction I guess: as accurate as this other predictions no doubt. But ” scientists say” sounds much better than tea-leaf readers say, even tho’ it is often a less accurate prediction.

    • C Lynch permalink
      August 11, 2020 4:11 pm

      How interesting – the vanishing date has now been pushed out to 2035. How many times has it been fast forwarded now?

  8. johnbillscott permalink
    August 11, 2020 12:44 pm

    Maybe this will offset the huge ice loss in the Antarctic as described by a very emotive Victoria and another Beeb Climate expert – with a very sincere face, furrowed forehead and appropriate hand gestures. I guess the Beeb sends its reporters to Method Acting School as they all come across the same – tie their hands and they could not speak.

    • dearieme permalink
      August 11, 2020 6:43 pm

      “tie their hands and they could not speak”: then hire some Italian girls. Prettier, on the whole.

  9. MrGrimNasty permalink
    August 11, 2020 2:05 pm

    Probably a bit premature to be making these claims. Griff was salivating at record low Arctic ice extent a few days ago. That was certainly premature, already! Still premature to say if it will zig or zag finally.

    • AZ1971 permalink
      August 12, 2020 1:27 am

      You can always check out earth.nullschool.net to see what the forecasted winds and total precipital content is for the upcoming next 5 days. I like to check that to see how moisture-laden air flow is going to be interacting with Greenland’s dry, cold, high elevation and whether or not more snow cover (i.e. higher albedo) is possible.

  10. Broadlands permalink
    August 11, 2020 2:51 pm

    When will they figure out and come to grips with the fact that human-added CO2 has no direct effect on the Earth’s inherently unpredictable natural variability… the jet streams, the ENSO and NAO or volcanic activity? Scaremongering with hand gestures and a furrowed brow is the answer?

  11. markesommer permalink
    August 11, 2020 4:40 pm

    Again, we are in a very brief warm period in a longer term cold period, geologically speaking. Middle school science is not any less valid because it’s taught to children. How is it possible to have so many ignorant people in the ” woke’ world…

    • A C Osborn permalink
      August 12, 2020 10:13 am

      THey no longer teach it in middle or any other school, it is all gloom and doom and has been for quite some time.

  12. Bertie permalink
    August 11, 2020 7:34 pm

    Today the Times chose to print a letter from a climate scaremonger which included the ‘fact’ that the icecaps are diminishing. I am not confident of reading a rebuttal in tomorrow’s edition.

  13. Steven Fraser permalink
    August 12, 2020 6:05 am

    I use Ventusky for the same thing.

  14. johnbillscott permalink
    August 17, 2020 1:19 pm

    The Weather Network green propaganda fear team at work.

    https://www.theweathernetwork.com/ca/news/article/greenlands-melting-ice-sheet-passes-point-of-no-return-study-says-climate-change

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