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Hot Weather Means Climate Change–Cold Means Weather!

August 12, 2022

By Paul Homewood

 

 image

This meteorological set up with a run of high pressure across the North Atlantic and northern Europe has been a common sight this summer, and is the reason for the persistently high temperatures, rather than climate change as is routinely claimed.

But for every area of high pressure, there is one of low pressure. And for much of this summer, it has sat over Greenland. That means plenty of cloud, lower temperatures and snowfall.

The summer melt of Greenland’s ice sheet started two weeks later than normal, and the surface ice mass is currently about 100 Gt above average:

https://i0.wp.com/polarportal.dk/fileadmin/polarportal/surface/SMB_curves_LA_EN_20220811.png

http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/

You may note that the DMI always show the graph for 2011/12, which recorded the highest ice loss since measurements began. That summer was dominated by high pressure, sunny and comparatively warm – in other words, a weather event. This did not stop the usual suspects from declaring that it was evidence that climate change was worse than we thought!

image

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2012/jul/24/greenland-ice-sheet-thaw-nasa

But what else happened in that summer of 2012?

It was, of course, the third wettest summer on record in the UK:

 

And the moral of this story?

Don’t confuse weather with climate.

16 Comments
  1. C Lynch permalink
    August 12, 2022 10:23 am

    That same meteorological set up – ie high pressure over Scandinavia if it persists in Winter will result in very cold weather for much of Europe.
    I wonder how they’ll contrive to blame that on CAGW if that occurs – one thing for sure is they will.

    • Gerry, England permalink
      August 12, 2022 11:09 am

      I think in recent winters the UK has been on the warm side of the air circulation so has been lucky.

    • catweazle666 permalink
      August 12, 2022 3:26 pm

      The reason “CAGW” AKA “Global Warming” became “Climate Change” was because that covers all eventualities!

      • dennisambler permalink
        August 12, 2022 5:54 pm

        “The Social Simulation of the Public Perception of Weather Events and their Effect upon the Development of Belief in Anthropogenic Climate Change” Dennis Bray and Simon Shackley, (September 2004. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research).

        “To endorse policy change people must ‘believe’ that global warming will become a reality some time in the future.

        Only the experience of positive temperature anomalies will be registered as indication of change if the issue is framed as global warming.

        Both positive and negative temperature anomalies will be registered in experience as indication of change if the issue is framed as climate change.

        We propose that in those countries where climate change has become the predominant popular term for the phenomenon, unseasonably cold temperatures, for example, are also interpreted to reflect climate change/global warming.”

        Simples!

  2. Stopper permalink
    August 12, 2022 12:31 pm

    Just look at the low number of tropical storms in the Atlantic at the moment, way below average. That is the source of our normal low pressure systems this time of the year. In other words, weather!!

  3. August 12, 2022 1:23 pm

    It’s 15C in Thurso at the moment.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thurso

    Re. Greenland, how’s the snowfall data looking?

  4. Alan Haile permalink
    August 12, 2022 3:39 pm

    On the Radio4 PM program yesterday (11th August) they wheeled on someone called Baroness Brown who is from the CCC to tell us all that the hot weather is due to climate change and that it is essential for us to reach net zero otherwise the world will end (or something similar). She said that we had already reached 1.1 degrees and we had to stop it getting to 1.5 degrees but she never, of course, said what 1.1 degrees rise meant or from when it was measured. Of course the interviewer never asked any real questions and just let her burble on. I was sitting in my car in a jam on Putney bridge yelling ‘liar’ at the radio. I must stop listening to the BBC.

    • dennisambler permalink
      August 12, 2022 5:58 pm

      Baroness Brown receives £40K a year from turbine manufacturer Orsted for being a director, registered in her HoL details.

  5. Bill Francis permalink
    August 12, 2022 4:18 pm

    I am going to be controversial. Climate, of itself, does not exist. It is not a single global entity. It is a concept. It comprises the weather patterns for a twelve month period over a given area, and includes geographical location and features of that area. Within the twelve month period there may be adverse weather events, but the overall pattern remains the same.

    The only way there could be climate change is if, say in a mediterranean climate with warm dry summers and cold wet winters, they started getting snow in summer on a regular yearly basis, then you could say climate change had occurred.

    As regards ‘global warming’, nobody recognises it because it is a set of figures drawn from data, and it has no bearing on how we live our lives. The heat or cold we feel comes from everyday weather, the sun, wind, rain, etc. In the daily variations of up to 20 deg. C in some parts of the world, who notices 1 deg. C in a year? Only the Chicken Littles and the alarmists, whose motives have nothing to do with the well-being of their fellow man.

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      August 12, 2022 5:41 pm

      20 degrees? Pah! Yesterday in SW France we probably reached 38 during the day. This morning at the coolest we were at 16.

      But yes, I don’t believe “climate” exists either. The Earth is a continuous entity in both time and space. Weather blends into weather, areally and temporally. Weather patterns blend into weather patterns. Picking a particular spot and seeing what weather is more common there is called “climate” but it’s not anything more than weather. And all weather has an effect everywhere else, which is why it’s so hard to model.

      As I’ve said before, if anybody can show me weather that would not have happened but for climate change – not is unlikely or uncommon but impossible – I’ll believe. Otherwise we are fooling ourselves with averages and spot maximums and a host of other nonsense.

  6. M fraser permalink
    August 12, 2022 4:18 pm

    A friend has just returned from Greenland, where the local population commented on the unusual amount of snow last winter, much more than has been normal.

  7. marlene permalink
    August 12, 2022 5:30 pm

    “And the moral of this story?  Don’t confuse weather with climate.”  Unfortunately, if the climate change fanatics didn’t confuse the issue, they’d have no way to pretend it exists. 

  8. PHIL SAUNDERS permalink
    August 13, 2022 7:26 am

    Last night on the BBC 6 o’clock news, Justin Rowlatt reporting on the heatwave effects on the Arctic, managed to only show figures up to 2019.
    I wonder why!

    • It doesn't add up... permalink
      August 13, 2022 11:54 am

      Here’s why.

      http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icecover.uk.php

      Looks like we’ll have the highest September minimum in quite a few years. The Met Office forecast which was IIRC 3.75 Wadhams is looking like a real outlier.

  9. eastdevonoldie permalink
    August 13, 2022 10:42 am

    Does this sound familiar?

    “The Arctic Ocean is warming up, icebergs are growing scarcer, and in some places the seals are finding the water too hot. Reports from fishermen, seal hunters, and explorers all point to a radical change in climate conditions and hitherto unheard‐of temperatures in the Arctic zone. Exploration expeditions report that scarcely any ice has been met as far north as 81 degrees 29 minutes. Within a few years it is predicted that due to the ice melt the sea will rise and make most coastal cities uninhabitable.” —

    from an Associated Press report published in The Washington Post on Nov. 2, 1922.

    The Global Warming Apocalypses That Didn’t Happen

    The reason we have a global warming crisis is because crisis sells.

  10. grammarschoolman permalink
    August 15, 2022 9:37 am

    A little off-topic, but I wonder if you’ve spotted this, Paul:

    https://londonist.com/london/features/extinction-rebellion-interview#

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