Temperatures Are Not Becoming More Extreme
January 21, 2023
By Paul Homewood
We are often told that temperatures are becoming more extreme every time there is a heatwave, for instance here and here.. But always the other side of the coin, extreme cold waves, is conveniently ignored.
But when ALL extreme temperatures are taken into account, a totally different picture emerges:
.
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html
Last year certainly saw a lot of extreme temperature days, 21 in all, which incidentally included 5 extreme cold days. But it certainly was not unprecedented, with 1995 featuring on top pf the chart, and 1963,1976, and 2010 at similar levels.
There is no long term trend and the past decade is no clearly different to the rest of the record.
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NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT 
And there is no reason why they would. The climate system has a self-correcting thermal radiant energy safety valve called the Atmospheric Window. Excess thermal energy is vented to space through the atmospheric window, alternatively if the surface becomes too cold, more energy is delivered to the cold ground by descending air in powerful winter anticyclones and the atmospheric window is then closed by the formation of mid level strato-cumulus or anticyclonic gloom clouds.
See our latest paper here for further information on the role of the atmospheric window in climate.
What is becoming more extreme is the data manipulation to try to fool people that the world is warming .https://notrickszone.com/2023/01/09/hadcrut-data-manipulation-changes-2000-2014-warming-trend-from-0-03c-to-0-14c-per-decade/
Temperature records are being changed to show about 5 times more warming than has actually happened .
Why can’t the greentards see this?
Because their sense of worth (and often their wealth) depends on not seeing.
“Extreme weather will be the norm and UK is not prepared, scientists warn.”
That “scary” article was written before the climate summit in Glasgow. Since then NOAA reported that the global temperature anomaly in 2021 was plus 0.84°C and lower than it was in 2016.
Al Gore was ranting, aided and abetted buy other eco-loons, about “boiling oceans” to his WEF cronies last week.
The IPCC definition of Climate Change states:
“Climate change -A change in the state of the climate that can be identified (e.g., by using statistical tests) by changes in the mean and/or the variability
of its properties and <b<that persists for an extended period, typically
decades or longer. Climate change may be due to natural internal
processes or external forcings, or to persistent anthropogenic changes
in the composition of the atmosphere or in land use.”
Unfortunately the eco-warriors are so brainwashed they are unable to “see the wood for the trees”.
However. it is the politicos who buy into the CC scam that are the real problem, intent of destroying the economy as China watches on!
No it’s just the forecasts that are becoming extreme. “Yellow warning for tomorrow” and then they have to say ” it’s going to rain”, “consider staying in tomorrow” The warning in itself means nothing.
Andrew Neil makes some obvious points about green energy policy, still nice to see it in print for a change.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-11659505/ANDREW-NEIL-Starmer-posing-Greta-Thunberg-obscure-fact-need-oil-gas.html#article-11659505
And Ross Clark too!
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-11661749/ROSS-CLARK-says-Governments-fantasy-net-zero-leave-Poorer-colder-hungrier.html
It is a start but sadly both Neil and Clark that CO2 emissions are a problem.
There is no point examining data to produce valid arguments against Global Warming. It is a RELIGION, not a science…
There is some statistical jiggery-pokery going on here. The number of events in the two percentiles you looked at is obviously predetermined to be one-fiftieth of the number of days in total. If there are more hundredth percentile events in one part of the record (here the more recent period) then there will have to have been an excess of first percentile events elsewhere – here in the earlier period. You could have split those bars in the lower graph into, say, red and blue parts of each pillar. It would then of course have resembled the upper diagram where a trend is evident of a switch from an excess of first earlier to an excess of 100th later. I hope there’s nobody looking from the believer camp.
Surely it is in the nature of this analysis that it could not show anything else? It does appear to show more low extremes in the earlier data and more high extremes in the most recent data.
It seems the peak temperatures appear every 11 years or so which correlates with the Sun’s natural cycles.
I have plotted the annual extreme maximum and extreme minimum temperatures at a number of long-term stations in Australia. As expected the temperatures in recent decades are generally higher than a century ago and this is the definition of “more extreme” generally adopted by the media. Another approach is to see if variability of temperatures have changed over the past century. In Australia the variabilty of extreme max and min temperatures has not changed over the past century. Here is an example, at Moruya Heads on the NSW south coast over the 113-year period 1910-2022.
[ I hope that you can read this image as I cannot figure out how to directly post an image into a Reply! ]
Somehow it worked! I entered a link to the image on Flickr.
Los Angeles Times, and a few others, have been calling warmer than average weather events “heat storms.”