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Sky Blame Babet Floods On Climate Change

October 22, 2023

By Paul Homewood

 

h/t Ian Magness

 

From Sky’s “We Never Had Floods Before” Department:

 

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Babet has been an exceptional storm, bringing torrential rain to Britain’s dry side.

Eastern areas are sheltered from storms that normally barrel in from the Atlantic at this time of year.

But Babet has come from a more southerly direction, channelled by an unusual position of the jet stream, and the east has been lashed with rain.

Met Office figures show between Thursday and Saturday morning, 79mm fell in Charsfield, Suffolk. That’s a little over three inches in two days.

The rain was even heavier further north.

So why did Babet bring so much rain?

It has a lot to do with the unusually warm seas it crossed as it tracked up from Portugal and the Bay of Biscay to the UK.

It meant more water evaporated into the atmosphere. And because the air is relatively warm too, all that moisture got transported with the storm system to fall as rain over Britain.

It’s exactly what scientists predict from climate change, particularly over winter.

The UK will have to prepare for more floods, even in areas that are normally much drier.

https://news.sky.com/story/why-storm-babet-brought-so-much-rain-and-why-were-likely-to-see-more-storms-like-it-12989128

But just how exceptional was the rain?

According to the Met Office, the wettest place in the UK on Friday was Sheffield, which had 84mm of rain, 3.3 inches:

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The record daily rainfall there stands at 119.2mm, set in July 1973. Extreme rainfall hit much of Britain on several days that month, as the Met Office reported at the time:

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https://digital.nmla.metoffice.gov.uk/IO_f1a640eb-7f0b-4062-8370-da6c03979a69/

Clearly there is nothing at unusual about 3 inches of rain falling in a day, even in the supposedly dry side of the country, as a glance back at the weather of a hundred years ago shows:

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https://digital.nmla.metoffice.gov.uk/IO_ed88fd44-4fc1-4ead-a4be-5dd520067710/

Note the comment that only falls of over 4 inches are regarded as noteworthy, and that in 1917 there had been 68 instances, with 1923 being seen as low.

Note as well the storm at Carrbridge, which lies in the Northeast of Scotland, near to the areas affected by Babet.

And as KNMI shows, Babet’s rainfall in NE Scotland was not exceptional by historical standards, nor is there any trend to more intense daily rainfalls in the region:

 

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https://climexp.knmi.nl/getstations.cgi

Quite how Sky News can get away with publishing lies like this without being censured by OFCOM is a mystery.

29 Comments
  1. October 22, 2023 11:06 am

    Babet deposited much of its moisture from the Bay of Biscay over southern Europe and southern Britain. It picked up MORE moisture as it tracked south east across the North Sea. This is the rain which impacted eastern Scotland and the north east.

    https://jaimejessop.substack.com/p/babet-beast-from-the-east-a-meteorological

  2. Thomas Carr permalink
    October 22, 2023 11:08 am

    Must we believe that broadcasters are too idle to discover the facts?
    It’s hardly a commercial proposition from a publisher’s point of view but a handbook is long overdue with the rainfall statistics over the years that Paul has been able to present to us. Not just rainfall but any of the other robust statistics which he has so painstakingly assembled.
    Depending on the scope of the qualifying ‘disasters’ and to counter some of the other outrages and scares this proposed handbook ought to include much of Paul’s other researches. Copies of the finished article to go to all the UK media, the MetOffice and the alarmist bodies in the UK. I would help sponsor the cost of editing/assembly, printing and distribution.

    • Gamecock permalink
      October 22, 2023 11:10 am

      They don’t want the facts. It would make lying more difficult.

      • October 22, 2023 2:09 pm

        I’m not sure everyone caught up in this hysteria is lying in the traditional sense (think of the Salem witch trials )

        I doubt many of the just stop oil (JSO) types realise that if they got their way with oil or fossil fuels we would have the greatest famine in human history but the good news I think need to be highlighted is it likely the largely white managerial class of JSO types will still be able to get food but a large number of black and brown people in less economically developed countries won’t and I’m sure many of them will feel smug helping to organise a token famine relief like they have done in the past with malthusian theory.

        Furthermore what I think we need to do is bring peoples attention back to the problem climate scientists ultimately highlighted: how vulnerable humans are to the effect of extreme weather/climatical events compared to our engineering capacities – imagine if the volcanic eruption that caused the 1816 – Year Without a Summer happened again.

        What we needs to be encouraged is a discussion on why is there so much focus on Co2 & greenhouse gases emissions when on the balance of probability we don’t have enough evidence that reducing Co2 & greenhouse gases will reduce human vulnerability to extreme weather/climatical events compared to engineering our infrastructure & the social effect of restricting the use of fossil fuels –

        The 1st being the abhorrent idea of carbon offsetting – e.g. paying poor farmer to replace diesel machines with human (in practice child Labour) so some rich Europeans can feel good about themselves.

        The arrogance of many countries interfering in a number of African counties use of their own fossil fuels (unless it for export to Europe – looking at natural gas in particular) particularly coal for electricity just to reach basic western living standards Germany in particularly is something else as they possibly stole the same coal they attack others from using to avoid rolling blackouts in Germany after closing around 30 GW of useable nuclear capacity for ideological reasons with a touch of corruption – look up the history of Nord stream 1.

        Then we have the irrationality of wind (more power lines in windy places that could fail) & solar (don’t forget about risk the fires from residential PV vs from the grid and not even talking about lithium batteries) which make us more vulnerable to the effect of extreme weather/climatical events (especially with electric space heating as they will likerly generate the least when the demand is the highest ) – I wonder what humanity would be like if the $1 trillions spend over the last 20 years (including tax credits & subsides like the poor pay rich feed in tariff) on renewable was spend on a mass produceable nuclear reactor (which could produce heat, electricity, desalination, synthetic fuels and even distill Co2 from the air should you wish) and mass produceable passivhous design buildings.

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      October 22, 2023 1:51 pm

      They don’t want to know. As I’ve commented below, they compare extreme events with the average (“nornally”, “usually”) and claim they must therefore be climate change. They do not understand what they are doing, and I’m sure someone feeds them their lines – they call up their favourite Alarmist and get told what to say. Yes, such rain is well above average, but rain well above averages happens.

  3. Gamecock permalink
    October 22, 2023 11:09 am

    ‘It’s exactly what scientists predict from climate change’

    An appeal to anonymous authorities.

    • Harry Passfield permalink
      October 22, 2023 11:54 am

      And I don’t recall, in all the years I’ve followed the CC nonsense, that scientists ever predicted that CC would shift the jet stream. After all, that is what Sky’s blurb said.

      • Gamecock permalink
        October 22, 2023 12:31 pm

        CC fails when you ask for details.

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      October 22, 2023 1:48 pm

      And of course its not anyway. Climate change doesn’t predict anything of the sort. This, like virtually every extreme claimed to be climate change, had very clear meteorological causes that have nothing whatsoever to do with climate change.

  4. David Pounder permalink
    October 22, 2023 11:18 am

    Many thanks Paul for your endless efforts to bring the truth to the public attention. Amid the plethora of media lies and propaganda, knowing that ‘I will find out the truth from Paul, helps to keep me sane amid the insane world of ‘climate change.’ Well done that man!

  5. In The Real World permalink
    October 22, 2023 11:22 am

    The Hunga Tonga [ sp ] volcano blasted huge amounts of water into the atmosphere .
    https://www.nasa.gov/centers-and-facilities/goddard/tonga-eruption-blasted-unprecedented-amount-of-water-into-stratosphere/
    I dont know how long it would take to get back to normal levels , but there is a good chance that could lead to extra rainfall for parts of the world for a while .

    But the Eco nuts would never let an event like that go by without claiming Global Warming / Climate Change .

    • eastdevonoldie permalink
      October 22, 2023 12:40 pm

      The eco-nuts will not cite the huge volcanic eruption (apparently the largest for 150 years) off Tonga would destroy the narrative that CC is man made.

  6. October 22, 2023 11:29 am

    It’s the (bad) luck of the draw. The high pressure near Norway stopped the storm from exiting to the east for a while. Claims of it being due to certain trace gases in the atmosphere are stretching the imagination to say the least.

  7. YoChris permalink
    October 22, 2023 12:04 pm

    There have been other occasions with almost exactly the same pressure pattern – a low pressure moving very slowly northwards up the east coast and deluging areas that are normally dry. A similar set up in August 1948 hit the Borders region of Scotland, in August 1912 it was Norfolk that was hit. In two years in and around 1931 it was the North York Moors and back in 1829 there was a massive flood in Moray in Scotland.

  8. saighdear permalink
    October 22, 2023 12:18 pm

    Hawww, the poor little diddums, was it a bit early (too early maybe in amongst other propaganda news ) to fish out the beastie from the east titles or files?
    Jings, Crivvens, even to make a try, We’ve had winds from the East often enough before. what a fuss. And Friday night the yello/amber warning for NORTH of Scotland should have been a RED …. so many roads closed, but really more as a result of choked drains. No, not by leaves: Leaves and the few apples are still hanging ! Howzat?

  9. October 22, 2023 12:42 pm

    They’re such liars. Get out news clips from 1996 when we were having a drought. They said we’d have to get used to less rainfall because of climate change. This was the new normal. It was never going to rain properly again. Councils were going to have to start planting trees and shrubs that didn’t rely on plentiful rain.

    • nevis52 permalink
      October 22, 2023 12:59 pm

      The reason it was changed from global warming to climate change was so every weather event could be blamed on man made carbon dioxide.

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      October 22, 2023 1:44 pm

      Very true – I still have the toilet hippo Krn Livingston sent to every house in London when he mayor because it was going to get drier.

      • nevis52 permalink
        October 22, 2023 1:57 pm

        Wow! You have all the fun in London. What on earth is a toilet hippo.

  10. Phoenix44 permalink
    October 22, 2023 1:43 pm

    Note the “usually” and “normally”.

    Once again extreme events are compared with averages rather than other extreme events. I suspect the Sky reporters have no idea they are doing this, but just lap up whatever they are told by those who do understand what they are doing.

  11. Tim Spence permalink
    October 22, 2023 3:24 pm

    Sky get all their climate propaganda from an outside ‘partner’ organization who are funded by the usual suspects.

    • Tim Spence permalink
      October 22, 2023 3:45 pm

      Albert News Consortium being one of their providers, it seems to be a consortium of lefy news organizations.

  12. October 22, 2023 6:23 pm

    Mandy Rice-Davies Applies

  13. glen cullen permalink
    October 22, 2023 6:28 pm

    As Nana Akua said on her 6pm show yesterday on GB News ”isn’t it just winter weather”

  14. October 22, 2023 8:26 pm

    Serious questions need to be asked (again) about the Environment Agency making large discharges from Ladybower Reservoir as the deluge was in flow.

    • David Williams permalink
      October 24, 2023 4:37 pm

      We have the same problem here in North Wales, particularly in the river
      Dee valley. The river is regulated from a reservoir located at Bala. On two separate occasions in recent years after heavy rain, a substantial amount of water was discharged from the reservoir ( during the night) causing severe damage to the river bank; flooding and destroying areas normally the habitat of sandmartins and kingfishers etc. This was brought to the attention of the authorities but to no avail. It appears that they couldn’t care less and their default position is as you would expect, ‘climate change’.

  15. John189 permalink
    October 22, 2023 9:39 pm

    Flooding in the North- and West-Midlands on Friday 20 October seemed, at least anecdotally, to be due to a belt of heavy rain staying anchored over the area. I had to drive from West Yorkshire to South Wales on that day and from 10.30 around Manchester to mid afternoon north of Shrewsbury the rain came down in torrents and flooded roads led to diversions and traffic jams. Further south the sun even came out briefly. It reminded me of a similar experience on Friday 8 November 2019 when driving to and from a meeting south-east of Sheffield I ran into a deluge between Ferrybridge on the A1 and my destination. The intense rainfall was confined to a band less than 30 miles north to south, and when I finally escaped the flooded roads on my return journey I entered a clear, dry, frosty night. The eternal failure to distinguish between weather and climate is always with us.

  16. Gamecock permalink
    October 24, 2023 11:13 pm

    ‘It’s exactly what scientists predict from climate change’

    Therapist, to Thomas Moore: ‘Is this “climate change” in the room with us right now?’

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