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Arctic Summer Temperature Trends

August 9, 2016

By Paul Homewood  




According to DMI, temperatures in the Arctic last summer were pretty average.




This is not the message we are repeatedly given, which says that the Arctic is screaming.


How do the DMI figures compare though with atmospheric temperatures as measured by satellites?

Though there were some colder summers in the 1980s, temperatures appear to have been pretty stable since the late 1980s.

The coldest year of the lot was 1992, due to the eruption of Pinatubo the year before. It is significant though that the summer last year was virtually bang on the 1979-2015 mean.





Whatever else is happening in the Arctic, it is not getting any warmer in summertime. 

  1. August 9, 2016 12:56 pm

    Reblogged this on Climatism.

  2. August 9, 2016 1:27 pm

    Reblogged this on Patti Kellar.

  3. A C Osborn permalink
    August 9, 2016 2:51 pm

    Record cold set in Greenland this July.

  4. B Buckner permalink
    August 9, 2016 4:19 pm

    The presence of the arctic ice limits temperature rise as the excess heat goes into melting ice and not raising air temperatures. And winter temperatures have gone up a lot.

    • August 9, 2016 5:12 pm

      Yes, that’s a point I’ve made before

      • rms permalink
        August 10, 2016 5:51 am

        Why does this preferential heating happen? Why does heat chose to melt ice (which seems hard) rather than heat air (which seems easier).

    • Tim Hammond permalink
      August 10, 2016 7:17 am

      Not sure how that works. What is “excess heat”? And how does the ice know that it’s supposed to use that “excess” to melt? And where is the “excess heat” if it’s not in the air already?

      And if the heat’s not in the air, how do you know it’s there in the first place?

    • AndyG55 permalink
      August 11, 2016 2:24 am

      Except the ice isn’t really melting either.

      The has been less melt the last two years that there has been since around 2005, which is exactly what one would expect as the AMO starts to turn downwards again.

  5. Ben Vorlich permalink
    August 9, 2016 5:14 pm

    The DMI Arctic Charts going back to 1958 show very little change in summer temperatures, recent winters during the last decade have been warmer than average; but to have an average you need temperatures above and below that value.

  6. August 9, 2016 5:19 pm

    Let’s see if the predicted Maunder Minimum turns up in the 2020s.

  7. August 9, 2016 8:44 pm

    Here’s a detailed fresh look at the oldest high Arctic weather station in Nunavut. And yes, the alarms are put out by artists and journalist, undeterred by any data to the contrary.

    • AndyG55 permalink
      August 11, 2016 2:27 am

      And even if there were some melt, all it would do would be to take the Arctic sea ice levels back towards the often zero summer levels of the first 3/4 of the Holocene.

      They have started from a rather EXTREME HIGH level in the late 1970’s, which was not that much less than during the Little Ice Age.


  8. August 9, 2016 9:34 pm

    Your comment “It is significant though that the summer last year was virtually bang on the 1979-2015 mean.” should read “insignificant” or more factually correct as “It is as significant as any other datapoint in the non-weighted average”.

  9. AZ1971 permalink
    August 10, 2016 4:21 am

    All I remember about the Arctic temperatures last year had to do with the “unprecedented” warmth which occurred on or about Dec 31st at the North Pole. I quite enjoy how Mother Nature f—ks with the alarmist predictions about impending doom. She will do what she wants to do and not pay regards to our choice in driving vehicle.

  10. Peter Duffy permalink
    August 10, 2016 10:00 am

    I thought this might interest you: referred by Steven Aftergood, custodian of the excellent Federation of American Scientists’ Secrecy News page (Steven Aftergood and

    He highlights a series of Congressional Research papers “not available to the public”, including this: “Changes in the Arctic”

    Keep up the good work!! Peter Duffy

  11. nightspore permalink
    August 10, 2016 6:46 pm

    In 2 of the past 5 years the DMI shows summer temperatures that are generally lower than any back to the beginning of their records (about 45 years).

  12. RAH permalink
    August 13, 2016 8:20 pm

    Not getting warmer in the summer in the Arctic but running about 2C warmer in the winter.

    Joe Bastardi will get to the Arctic at about the 9:32 mark in the video.

  13. Richard de Viloma permalink
    August 14, 2016 7:29 am

    “…not the message we are repeatedly given, which says that the Arctic is screaming.” I’ve listened as hard as I can but I don’t hear shouts from the North Pole?

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