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That Was The Heatwave That Was!

August 2, 2021
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By Paul Homewood

 Summer weather July 2021

There’s been  much ado about the UK heatwave last month. Much ado about nothing as it turns out.

The month ended up as only the 21st hottest since 1878. It was not even as hot as years like 1911 and 1921:

 

image

 https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html

 

 

Daily temperatures in Central England never even exceeded 30C.

It is instructive to compare daily temperatures with those of a hundred years ago:

 

image

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html

 

Clearly the heatwave was much longer lasting and intense in 1921, and that July ended up being a full two degrees hotter.

But back then the Met Office did not have a thermometer next to the runway at Heathrow with which to con the public.

39 Comments
  1. August 2, 2021 2:23 pm

    What can be the motivation of these state bodies in peddling, at best, a one sided view of such a controversial issue as AGW policies as governments, except for shrewd Eastern ones, favour to the detriment of Western nations and people? Contrary opinions are dismissed with no concession to scientific realities.

    It is not based on science but leftwing politics, despite a “Tory” government Inn the UK.

    • Harry Davidson permalink
      August 2, 2021 6:18 pm

      They are all journalists and politicians, for whom correlation is proof if everyone says it is.

      They are doing God’s work, so their actions cannot be challenged, least of all by themselves.

      Eastern heathens can be expected to nothing of godliness.

      • Harry Passfield permalink
        August 3, 2021 6:57 pm

        They are all journalists and politicians….who want to keep their jobs. They sell their souls for that; they believe what they are told to believe; they will sell their children’s future. Just to keep their job.

    • 2hmp permalink
      August 2, 2021 6:27 pm

      The BBC are not allowed by OFCOM to publish anything that conflicts with the Climate Change Crisis theory which is assumed as proven.

      • August 2, 2021 6:55 pm

        On whose authority?
        Complaints can be made but would anyone take notice?

        They disregard the motto of the Royal Society “Nullius in verba”
        Take no one’s word for it” so a scientific disgrace of great moment.

      • Mike Jackson permalink
        August 3, 2021 11:50 am

        The BBC have an obligation under their Charter. They were the ones who decided 14 years ago on the “best scientific advice” (that turned out to be three scientists and 27 assorted activists and BBC apparatchiks) that the science was settled and there was no longer any reason to provide “balance”!

      • Gerry, England permalink
        August 3, 2021 12:26 pm

        Don’t forget Mike that the Head of Comedy was at the 28Gate meeting but they wouldn’t see the irony of that.

    • StephenP permalink
      August 3, 2021 7:19 am

      The last thing the government wants in the run-up to COP26 is for someone to show that there is no problem with the weather/climate.

  2. Robert Christopher permalink
    August 2, 2021 3:24 pm

    This quote, taken from a recent Free Speech Union email, would be amusing if it wasn’t so serious, and can be applied in many disciplines on many media channels:

    Reverse Voltaire: “I agree profoundly with what you have to say, but I will defend the right to no-platform you for saying it.”

    • Harry Passfield permalink
      August 2, 2021 5:39 pm

      So, not to the death. 🙂

  3. lapford permalink
    August 2, 2021 3:41 pm

    July temperature near enough average here in mid-devon. Nothing to get excited about that’s for sure.

  4. Eddy Barrows permalink
    August 2, 2021 3:49 pm

    Normally the Met Office record temperatures are found at Heathrow or Kew Gardens but I was intrigued to hear that their most recent came from Cambridge and I suppose I shouldn’t have been surprised to find upon investigation that it came from The Cambridge Botanical Gardens.
    Do these organisations I wonder ever have perhaps the tiniest pangs of guilt at their continuous blatant deceit of the public.

    • Gerry, England permalink
      August 3, 2021 12:29 pm

      No, as it keeps the money rolling in and new supercomputers every few years.

      The Cambridge site was not a MetO site but as it was offering a record temperature they rushed there to ‘check’ it and declare it valid. People here noted that there were problems that at best made it a WMO category 2 site but if the dug earth pic found was correct it would be category 4 out of 4 categories.

  5. Doug permalink
    August 2, 2021 6:33 pm

    Why has bbc weather just claimed it was “the joint 5th hottest July on record”

    • August 2, 2021 10:40 pm

      That’s interesting!

      CET is based on rural stations. The official Met Office data is calculated from mainly urban ones, incl junk like Heathrow.

      Hence the difference

  6. August 2, 2021 7:45 pm

    Another storm — of warmist propaganda — in a teacup.

  7. Phoenix44 permalink
    August 2, 2021 8:11 pm

    It is extraordinary that desiring constantly told that we are already experiencing climate change it is quite obvious thst we are in fact nit.

  8. Mal Fraser permalink
    August 2, 2021 8:56 pm

    We are and always will be experiencing climate change, the planets core will eventually go cold and ‘earth’ will be another lifeless satellite of the sun. However, the arrogance of mankind to think we can influence these matters is beyond belief. As in most crimes follow the money, Carbon capture…really!
    Carbon trading exchange….again really!
    Wind turbines are economically viable… really!
    Electric cars, buses and LGV’s, obviously not efficient!
    A few people are getting very rich from conning a lot of politicians around the globe!
    As usual the arguments put climate change and environmental issues in the same bucket, when they are totally different issues.

  9. Peter permalink
    August 3, 2021 1:07 am

    “But back then the Met Office did not have a thermometer next to the runway at Heathrow with which to con the public.”

    And they did not have a temperature data logger, which records the temperature every second. Back then they had an actual person who went out there a couple of times per day to record the temperature.

    • Gerry, England permalink
      August 3, 2021 12:34 pm

      Exactly what was seen in Australia when BOM went digital. How can you seriously claim a temperature record that lasted a second? An honest minimum would be an hour but we all know these are not honest people. That would also be a difference between now and 1921.

    • Ray Sanders permalink
      August 4, 2021 9:41 am

      “Back then they had an actual person who went out there a couple of times per day to record the temperature.”
      Meteorology and climate science have always had a poor standard of rigour. Average daily temperatures in Europe were based on readings taken at 7.00 am, 2.00pm and 9.00pm. In order to save anyone taking a reading at 2.00am they opted to simply double the 9.00pm reading, add the earlier 2 readings and then divide by 4. When I tell people that they think I am joking…I’m not.
      https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tagesmitteltemperatur#Berechnung_bis_zum_31._M.C3.A4rz_2001
      (google translator works well on this.)

      • Jack Broughton permalink
        August 4, 2021 5:35 pm

        Of course weather records were just that and precision was less important than reliability and simplicity: they were right. The modern attempts to claim instantaneous temperatures as meaningful and to alter old records are scientifically despicable.

  10. cookers52 permalink
    August 3, 2021 5:02 am

    It is remarkable that even when the weather doesn’t line up with currently favoured climate change scenario predictions, that apparently this is a sign of disruptive climate change.

  11. saighdear permalink
    August 3, 2021 9:27 pm

    Uhuh, … all this talk abot the HIGH temperatures, … what about the LOW temps we’ve being experiencing ALL Spring through to NOW ( August).Some day temps are low for the time of year, but the NIGHTS….Brrrr. FewBBQ’sto behador smellt this year. and we’re close to the “gulf stream” but regardless, even Southerly windflows have not prevented cold nights. Quick growing Brassicas have been chilled and are bolting, late flowering on some fruit trees has suffered as much as the normal time flowering – basically frozen off. No plums, few apples, few cherries – what came was birdfood before it even ripened, and now some late flowers in the cherry and plum trees has dropped off. ( Not a drought problem ) Some Spring barley and Oats will soon be ready for harvesting with straw only 1foot long, Potatoes planted end of May ( due to cold wet soil) is now already ready for harvesting ( 8-9 weeks from plant to harvest ) is something of a record for us! Benefit ? well yes, no / fewer Midges, Mosquitoes and Crop eating caterpillars, but plague of small hungry birds. Do they know summat of a winter to come?

  12. C Lynch permalink
    August 3, 2021 10:30 pm

    I know it’s a bit like whack a mole trying to counter all the alarmist claims that virtually every weather event is ‘unprecedented’.
    Our national Marxist gazette The Irish Times is claiming that the recent floods in Germany are ‘record’ floods.
    I suspect it’s it’s the usual nonsense and I’d like to rap their knuckles. Can anyone give me some facts to counteract and I’ll write to to them.

    • John Hultquist permalink
      August 4, 2021 4:48 am

      Both here and at No Tricks Zone there have been posts on past storms, with photos.

  13. Coeur de Lion permalink
    August 4, 2021 7:42 am

    It’s jolly cold down here in SW France for August! As I write I note that in U.K. coal is producing more lecky than wind. Again.

  14. Mack permalink
    August 4, 2021 8:24 am

    O/T Paul, but with Olympic and World records tumbling by the dozen at the Tokyo Olympics I think it might be well worth you revisiting your June post ‘Climate Change to Impair Olympic Athletes’, as broadcast at the time by the BBC, just to see how their doom laden forecasts have worked out!

  15. Susan Ewens permalink
    August 4, 2021 9:23 am

    Dear Paul,
    An unexpected dearth of posts for you since Monday. I hope all is well with you!

  16. steve jay permalink
    August 4, 2021 11:46 am

    Now for something completely different. I’m sure we all know that Boris is going to force us to have our houses fitted with internal insulation. Otherwise we can’t sell or rent them.(I wonder if the Government is prepared to pay our hotel bills when we have to move out for a few weeks?) In light of this major inconvenience, I had a mad idea. No madder than what the Government have in store for us. Is it possible that some bright entrepreneur could devise a paint with insulating properties? Much easier to decorate that have our houses turned inside out. There must be someone amongs Paul’s intelligent bloggers who might want to make a fortune?

  17. Susan Ewens permalink
    August 4, 2021 2:11 pm

    “There must be someone among Paul’s intelligent bloggers who might want to make a fortune?”

    I know a cheap and cheerful fix for cold internal walls. I have used it in a basement room.

    First, paste that very thin sheet polystyrene in lieu of a lining paper on to the wall (it comes in a roll just like wallpaper). Then paste a thick blown vinyl wallpaper on top of that, then emulsion it.

    It makes a huge difference to the wall temperature. It will easily last a decade or more before the need to repeat the process.

    Good luck all you DIYers!

    • August 4, 2021 4:30 pm

      Official “Climate Change solutions” do not include things that can be effective and cheap
      rather grand projects which cost masses of tax ££s and CO2 to start up
      and/or need massive subsidies from the public … are preferred
      Political Greens don’t try things like
      #1 restricting immigration into high CO2 countries
      #2 Getting people to live near their jobs

      but building huge solar/wind or wood burning plants
      and building huge railways and cycleways and Electric Car infrastructure are promoted by them.
      The “Shop yourself green” way

  18. NeilC permalink
    August 4, 2021 4:53 pm

    I have complete some analysis for 6 locations in the “warning area” and compared them with Faro in Portugal and 10 Mediterranean locations. It makes a mockery of this extreme heat warning. https://www.weather-research.com/articles/uk-met-office-extreme-heat-warning-failure

    • Jack Broughton permalink
      August 5, 2021 6:32 pm

      Thanks, Neil, you’ve posted some great information on actual weather. Interesting that the rate of temperature rises are : max T is 6 x 10^-5 K/day = 2 deg K / century: the minimum is rising at about 1 deg K/century. The RH is increasing at 1.4% / century while the rainfall is decreasing at 10 mm / century. The RH increase ties with the temperature rise, but why is the rainfall reducing, (this does tend to agree with the reducing hours of sunshine assuming that higher RH and lower sunshine equate with more cloud cover)?

      While overdoing the interpretation of statistics is always dangerous, the empirical understanding is probably more important than the half-baked models.

  19. Jack Broughton permalink
    August 4, 2021 5:40 pm

    The Met office are apparently forecasting more warm weather later in the month: I’m getting my wellies and sandbags ready and have dismantled the BBQ. Their accuracy beyond 3-days is pathetic: I’m sure my tea-bags (maybe I should go back to leaf-tea) could do better.

  20. August 4, 2021 11:05 pm

    I notice the BEEB are covering the fires in Greece as another “extreme climate event”

    but I remember this happening almost every year (I think) & the BEEB covering it !!!

    only quick link I found for fire season in Greece from 200- – http://www.fao.org/3/ad653e/ad653e64.htm

    last para – “Of course, these changes in the Forest Service will require additional funding compared to the current low level, but in the long term will reduce damage and the cost of firefighting . Otherwise, given the natural flammability of Greek forests, the problem may become worse in spite of spending more money in the battle against forest fires.”

    • NeilC permalink
      August 5, 2021 7:12 am

      We have been going to different Greek islands for the last 20 years, There have always been at least one large fire outbreak on either the island we were on or an adjacent one.
      It was interesting watch helicopters and or planes flying over the sea and picking up water then disposing over the fires.

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